Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Hunter Goodman
Byron Buxton
Ian Happ
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Kody Clemens 50.0% (1/2)
Miguel Vargas 40.0% (2/5)
Juan Soto 27.8% (5/18)
Byron Buxton 23.5% (4/17)
Ian Happ 20.0% (2/10)
Hunter Goodman 18.2% (2/11)
Pete Alonso 12.5% (1/8)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0% (0/6)
Dillon Dingler 0.0% (0/2)
Julio Rodríguez 0.0% (0/1)
Luke Raley 0.0% (0/1)
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Thursday's GOATed MLB Slate Preview🗞️
Small 8 game slate today but one that looks like it could very well deliver!
Top 3 ERA (Best)
Justin Wrobleski (2.37)
Christian Scott (2.50)
Tyler Phillips (3.12)
Bottom 3 ERA (Worst)
Hunter Dobbins (6.23)
Merrill Kelly (5.71)
Edward Cabrera (4.99)
Top 3 K% (Best)
Christian Scott (25.6%)
Bryan Woo (24.7%)
Kyle Bradish (22.6%)
Bottom 3 K% (Worst)
Merrill Kelly (14.4%)
Justin Wrobleski (16.2%)
Keider Montero (16.6%)
Top 3 BB% (Best)
Bryan Woo (4.7%)
Justin Wrobleski (5.3%)
Keider Montero (6.2%)
Bottom 3 BB% (Worst)
Hunter Dobbins (26.3%)
Christian Scott (14.0%)
Kyle Bradish (12.4%)
Top 3 Batter ENVs (Best)
CHC @ COL (+19%)
SEA @ BAL (+18%)
ATL @ CWS (+9%)
-------------------------------------------
Wednesday's Yardwatch Recap 💣
4 Bombs (of 10) 🔥
Kyle Schwarber
Bryce Harper
Ian Happ
James Wood
Full Box Scores
1. K Schwarber - H:2 R:2 RBI:2 TB:5 HR:1 K:2 BB:1
2. N Kurtz - H:1 R:0 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:1 BB:1
3. S Langeliers - H:1 R:0 RBI:0 TB:2 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
4. B Harper - H:2 R:3 RBI:1 TB:6 HR:1 K:0 BB:1
5. P C-Armstrong - H:1 R:1 RBI:0 TB:3 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
6. I Happ - H:1 R:1 RBI:1 TB:4 HR:1 K:1 BB:0
7. J Wood - H:1 R:2 RBI:2 TB:4 HR:1 K:1 BB:1
8. B Rooker - DNP
9. T Soderstrom - H:1 R:0 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
10. C Schmitt - H:1 R:0 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
11. J Bauers - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:4 BB:0
TOTALS - H:11 R:9 RBI:6 TB:27 HR:4 K:10 BB:4
Solid day for the bomb squad. Those Philly boys showed out! (PA gang 💪)
Can't forget about the free play from @OGCoachsCorner yesterday either!
- Paul Goldschmidt 2+ Hits +240✅
- Jung Hoo Lee 2+ Hits +220✅
+988 Parlay CASHED💰
Today's home run projections will post at 11AM🔔
- Reminder, you can create a free account at https://t.co/7DAoo3Eeew and get them there as well, ALWAYS on time (10 mins before the scheduled X drop time)
#MLB #HomeRunProps
🚨Website Update💣
Want Yardwatch Home Run Projections daily, 10 mins before the scheduled X drop time, with a direct and on time notification?
We've finally wired it into our website!
You can keep getting it here free daily
or create a free account, and get it there ⏬
https://t.co/DxKCoMmKgz
Pros to the site vs X
- There are times I'm busy with something IRL or away temporarily without cell signal to do it on the fly --- these situations don't matter for the automated site post. YW is scheduled every morning, to run + post to Discord at a set time, automatically. And it does. The free X drop is always set for 10 mins after it fires to Discord, to allow time for the graphic redesign. So if any of the above scenarios happen, it's late by the time I get the image redesigned and posted to X. It's on time every time with the automated post
- If you ever decided to subscribe to a premium sport package, you'll need a site account for that as well. So it's a "two birds with one stone" type of thing.
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Wednesday's GOATed MLB Slate Preview🗞️
Top 3 ERA (Best)
Austin Warren (0.00)
Chris Sale (2.23)
Parker Messick (2.40)
Bottom 3 ERA (Worst)
Ryan Gusto (13.50)
Jack Perkins (11.25)
Max Scherzer (9.64)
Top 3 K% (Best)
Jack Perkins (31.6%)
Chris Sale (29.2%)
Reid Detmers (28.4%)
Bottom 3 K% (Worst)
Austin Warren (0.0%)
Jake Bennett (9.8%)
Ryan Gusto (10.0%)
Top 3 BB% (Best)
Austin Warren (0.0%)
Drew Rasmussen (4.9%)
George Kirby (5.7%)
Bottom 3 BB% (Worst)
Carlos Rodón (15.6%)
Robbie Ray (12.8%)
Peter Lambert (11.9%)
Top 3 Batter ENVs (Best)
CHC @ COL (+32%)
ATL @ CWS (+13%)
SEA @ BAL (+13%)
Some very batter friendly matchups + environments today, as well as some elite pitching taking the mound. Another slate that has it all 🔥
------------------------------------------------
Tuesday's Yardwatch Recap💣
3 bombs (of 10) 🔥
Matt Olson
Miguel Vargas
Hunter Goodman
Full Box Scores
1. M Olson - H:2 R:2 RBI:3 TB:8 HR:2 K:0 BB:1
2. M Vargas - H:1 R:2 RBI:2 TB:4 HR:1 K:0 BB:1
3. C Montgomery - DNP
4. M Harris II - H:3 R:1 RBI:0 TB:3 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
5. P C-Armstrong - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:3 BB:1
6. H Goodman - H:1 R:2 RBI:2 TB:4 HR:1 K:0 BB:2
7. I Happ - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:1 BB:2
8. P Alonso - H:1 R:1 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
9. R Acuna Jr. - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
10. S Suzuki - H:1 R:0 RBI:1 TB:1 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
11. S Langeliers - H:1 R:1 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:2 BB:0
TOTALS - H:10 R:9 RBI:8 TB:22 HR:4 K:7 BB:7
Another productive night for the YW list. Technically 4 bombs, Olson went 2x, but 3 guys total.
----------------------------------------------------
Not posted to X, but we just rebuilt our MLB Player Prop Model's selection process + logic entirely over the last 10 days, and last night was the first night back in live production⏬
Overall: 6W-3L, +8.34u
✅ SD @ CIN: 2W-0L, +4.30u
✅ LAD @ PIT: 2W-1L, +2.38u
✅ TOR @ PHI: 1W-0L, +2.20u
✅ DET @ MIN: 1W-1L, +0.46u
❌ CLE @ NYY: 0W-1L, -1.00u
Hits: 1W-0L, +0.95u
TB: 4W-3L, +4.04u
RBIs: 1W-0L, +3.35u
Batter markets got where we wanted them in testing first. The two pitcher markets aren't yet where we want them, but they'll be back soon as well. A very good first night back!
ALSO🚨
Our top 11 home run projections list is great - but the full roster, game for game, GOATed MLB Projections are now live in the Discord (and soon on the site as well)!
PARK / CONTEXT
- Vegas total + implied team totals (both sides)
- Run environment % with park / weather / umpire breakdown
- Park HR factor, altitude, roof status
- Wind speed + direction, temperature, humidity, barometric pressure
- Home plate umpire K% and BB% vs league
PITCHER
- Confirmed starter with throwing hand
- Season ERA, K%, BB%
- Last-5 starts IP average
- Opposing lineup's MLB rank in K%, BB%, OPS
- Outs + Strikeouts projections + ranges
BATTER
- Confirmed lineup
- Projected hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, HRs
- Floor + ceiling range on every projection
- Team records: overall, home/away, vs RHP, vs LHP, last 5
Every game, every day, every player. Set to run and post in time-grouped, automated batches throughout the day like the props model.
The BEST part?
They're joined into our MLB Premium Package for $29.99/mo at no extra cost!
You get
- all of our MLB Player Prop Model picks
- game for game Player Projections, every game
- Discord community access + @OGCoachsCorner personal plays (in all sports)
Available at the link in our bio 💎
Hope to see you in the cord - but whether you join the premium GOATed gang or not, we'll still be here delivering the free goods daily ⏬
Today's home run projections post in 1hr - 11AM🔔
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Matt Olson
Miguel Vargas
Colson Montgomery
Michael Harris II
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Colson Montgomery 44.4% (4/9)
Seiya Suzuki 27.3% (3/11)
Matt Olson 26.9% (7/26)
Miguel Vargas 25.0% (1/4)
Shea Langeliers 23.5% (4/17)
Pete Alonso 14.3% (1/7)
Ian Happ 12.5% (1/8)
Hunter Goodman 10.0% (1/10)
Michael Harris II 0.0% (0/10)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0% (0/4)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0% (0/7)
Who are you taking today and why 👀
- doesn't have to be from YW, talk to us
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Matt Olson
Miguel Vargas
Colson Montgomery
Michael Harris II
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Colson Montgomery 44.4% (4/9)
Seiya Suzuki 27.3% (3/11)
Matt Olson 26.9% (7/26)
Miguel Vargas 25.0% (1/4)
Shea Langeliers 23.5% (4/17)
Pete Alonso 14.3% (1/7)
Ian Happ 12.5% (1/8)
Hunter Goodman 10.0% (1/10)
Michael Harris II 0.0% (0/10)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0% (0/4)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0% (0/7)
Who are you taking today and why 👀
- doesn't have to be from YW, talk to us
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Tuesday's GOATed MLB Slate Preview🗞️
This slate has it all. Elite pitching, less than elite pitching, a lot of batter friendly environments - should be a solid day for betting baseball!
Top 3 ERA (Best)
Troy Melton (1.74)
Andrew Alvarez (1.93)
Gerrit Cole (2.00)
Bottom 3 ERA (Worst)
Trevor Rogers (6.29)
Adrian Houser (5.49)
Zac Gallen (5.32)
Top 3 K% (Best)
Dylan Cease (36.3%)
Chase Burns (30.0%)
Paul Skenes (28.7%)
Bottom 3 K% (Worst)
Troy Melton (11.5%)
Eric Lauer (13.6%)
Tomoyuki Sugano (13.6%)
Top 3 BB% (Best)
Nick Martinez (4.6%)
Nathan Eovaldi (5.4%)
Stephen Kolek (5.4%)
Bottom 3 BB% (Worst)
Lucas Giolito (17.3%)
Walbert Urena (12.4%)
J.T. Ginn (11.9%)
Top 3 Batter ENVs (Best)
CHC @ COL (+38%)
ATL @ CWS (+13%)
SEA @ BAL (+11%)
Monday's Yardwatch Recap 💣
2 Bombs: Jake Bauers, Yandy Díaz
Full Box Scores
1. Y Alvarez - H:0 R:1 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:3 BB:1
2. C Walker - H:2 R:0 RBI:2 TB:3 HR:0 K:1 BB:1
3. B Rice - H:2 R:2 RBI:0 TB:2 HR:0 K:0 BB:2
4. P Alonso - H:0 R:0 RBI:1 TB:0 HR:0 K:2 BB:0
5. W Contreras - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
6. J Chourio - H:3 R:3 RBI:1 TB:3 HR:0 K:1 BB:1
7. K Schwarber - H:1 R:0 RBI:0 TB:1 HR:0 K:1 BB:1
8. J Rodríguez - H:0 R:1 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:0 BB:1
9. J Bauers - H:2 R:1 RBI:3 TB:5 HR:1 K:1 BB:1
10. Y Díaz - H:1 R:1 RBI:2 TB:4 HR:1 K:0 BB:1
11. C Schmitt - H:2 R:0 RBI:0 TB:2 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
TOTALS - H:13 R:9 RBI:9 TB:20 HR:2 K:10 BB:9
Another highly productive night for Yardwatch. In addition to 2 dingers; 5/11 recorded 2+ hits, 5/11 recorded 1+ rbis, 6/11 recorded 2+ total bases, 6/11 recorded 1+ runs. If you're new here, the box is home run projections, but if you think outside of it - it's a best batter targets list. A little dd on top goes a long way!
Today's home run projections will post at 4PM 🔔
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Yordan Alvarez
Christian Walker
Ben Rice
Pete Alonso
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Willson Contreras 100.0% (2/2)
Ben Rice 30.8% (4/13)
Christian Walker 28.6% (2/7)
Kyle Schwarber 28.6% (8/28)
Yordan Alvarez 25.0% (6/24)
Pete Alonso 16.7% (1/6)
Casey Schmitt 16.7% (1/6)
Jackson Chourio 0.0% (0/2)
Jake Bauers 0.0% (0/5)
Julio Rodríguez First Appearance
Yandy Díaz First Appearance
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Yordan Alvarez
Christian Walker
Ben Rice
Pete Alonso
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Willson Contreras 100.0% (2/2)
Ben Rice 30.8% (4/13)
Christian Walker 28.6% (2/7)
Kyle Schwarber 28.6% (8/28)
Yordan Alvarez 25.0% (6/24)
Pete Alonso 16.7% (1/6)
Casey Schmitt 16.7% (1/6)
Jackson Chourio 0.0% (0/2)
Jake Bauers 0.0% (0/5)
Julio Rodríguez First Appearance
Yandy Díaz First Appearance
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Jackson Chourio
Juan Soto
Matt Olson
Shea Langeliers
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Colson Montgomery 50.0% (4/8)
Miguel Vargas 33.3% (1/3)
Kyle Schwarber 29.6% (8/27)
Juan Soto 29.4% (5/17)
Matt Olson 28.0% (7/25)
Yordan Alvarez 26.1% (6/23)
Shea Langeliers 25.0% (4/16)
Casey Schmitt 20.0% (1/5)
Jackson Chourio 0.0% (0/1)
Michael Harris II 0.0% (0/9)
Dillon Dingler 0.0% (0/1)
#MLB #HomeRunPicks
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Jackson Chourio
Juan Soto
Matt Olson
Shea Langeliers
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Colson Montgomery 50.0% (4/8)
Miguel Vargas 33.3% (1/3)
Kyle Schwarber 29.6% (8/27)
Juan Soto 29.4% (5/17)
Matt Olson 28.0% (7/25)
Yordan Alvarez 26.1% (6/23)
Shea Langeliers 25.0% (4/16)
Casey Schmitt 20.0% (1/5)
Jackson Chourio 0.0% (0/1)
Michael Harris II 0.0% (0/9)
Dillon Dingler 0.0% (0/1)
#MLB #HomeRunPicks
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Byron Buxton
Brandon Lowe
Jordan Walker
Juan Soto
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Miguel Vargas 50.0% (1/2)
Brandon Lowe 36.4% (4/11)
Juan Soto 31.2% (5/16)
Jordan Walker 28.6% (2/7)
JJ Bleday 28.6% (2/7)
Shea Langeliers 26.7% (4/15)
Byron Buxton 23.5% (4/17)
Oneil Cruz 22.2% (2/9)
Sal Stewart 15.4% (2/13)
JJ Wetherholt 0.0% (0/3)
Lars Nootbaar First Appearance
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
Byron Buxton
Brandon Lowe
Jordan Walker
Juan Soto
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Miguel Vargas 50.0% (1/2)
Brandon Lowe 36.4% (4/11)
Juan Soto 31.2% (5/16)
Jordan Walker 28.6% (2/7)
JJ Bleday 28.6% (2/7)
Shea Langeliers 26.7% (4/15)
Byron Buxton 23.5% (4/17)
Oneil Cruz 22.2% (2/9)
Sal Stewart 15.4% (2/13)
JJ Wetherholt 0.0% (0/3)
Lars Nootbaar First Appearance
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Friyay's Yardwatch Recap 💣
This has to go before the slate preview on this morning's post. The list went INSANE last night
4 Bombs🔥
James Wood
Willson Contreras
Hunter Goodman
Alec Burleson
and Coach called 2 of them in the replies - too bad Schwarber let us down on the dinger despite having himself a big game!
Full Box Scores
1. J Wood - H:2 R:3 RBI:1 TB:5 HR:1 K:2 BB:1
2. K Schwarber - H:4 R:2 RBI:0 TB:4 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
3. J Chourio - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:2 BB:0
4. I Happ - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
5. W Contreras - H:2 R:1 RBI:3 TB:5 HR:1 K:1 BB:0
6. H Goodman - H:1 R:1 RBI:2 TB:4 HR:1 K:1 BB:1
7. J Walker - H:3 R:0 RBI:1 TB:5 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
8. J Bauers - H:3 R:3 RBI:3 TB:5 HR:0 K:1 BB:0
9. B Buxton - H:0 R:0 RBI:0 TB:0 HR:0 K:0 BB:0
10. A Burleson - H:2 R:4 RBI:1 TB:5 HR:1 K:0 BB:1
11. A Judge - DNP
TOTALS - H:17 R:14 RBI:11 TB:33 HR:4 K:10 BB:3
4 of 10 went yard
7 of 10 recorded 4+ total bases
5 of 10 recorded 2+ hits, 7 of 10 with 1
6 of 10 recorded runs
6 of 10 recorded 1+ rbis
COME ON!!! 🐐
---------------------------------------------
Saturday's GOATed MLB Slate Preview 🗞️
Top 3 ERA (Best)
Brandon Eisert (0.00)
Lake Bachar (0.00)
Bryce Miller (1.12)
Bottom 3 ERA (Worst)
Griffin Canning (7.16)
Luinder Avila (6.75)
Andrew Painter (6.14)
Top 3 K% (Best)
Jacob Misiorowski (39.9%)
Lake Bachar (33.3%)
Spencer Strider (31.1%)
Bottom 3 K% (Worst)
Zack Littell (14.8%)
Jack Kochanowicz (15.7%)
Andrew Painter (16.9%)
Top 3 BB% (Best)
Brandon Eisert (0.0%)
Bryce Miller (5.0%)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (5.5%)
Bottom 3 BB% (Worst)
Tatsuya Imai (20.1%)
Luinder Avila (17.9%)
Spencer Strider (13.9%)
Top 3 Batter ENVs (Best)
MIL @ COL (+27%)
BOS @ NYY (+24%)
CWS @ PHI (+19%)
Let's have a day!
Today's home run projections post at 10:50AM 🔔
#MLB #HomeRunProps
Yardwatch 💣
(Top 11 Home Run Projections)
Top 4
James Wood
Kyle Schwarber
Jackson Chourio
Ian Happ
Full list ranked by HR % on Yardwatch
Willson Contreras 100.0% (1/1)
Aaron Judge 39.1% (9/23)
Jordan Walker 33.3% (2/6)
Kyle Schwarber 30.8% (8/26)
Byron Buxton 25.0% (4/16)
James Wood 23.8% (5/21)
Ian Happ 14.3% (1/7)
Hunter Goodman 0.0% (0/9)
Jake Bauers 0.0% (0/4)
Alec Burleson 0.0% (0/2)
Jackson Chourio First Appearance
#MLB #HomeRunProps