From my perspective as a bio-threat expert, based on current information, the Irkutsk story isn’t about plague. It’s about what fear does to a hospital. The story should sound familiar.
Darya Shipilova was twenty-eight years old, a laboratory technician at the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Institute in Siberia. On September 25, she broke a test tube of live plague bacteria. She felt fine at first. Then the stress took over. She could not sleep. She started imagining symptoms. By September 28 she was exhausted, feverish, and coughing.
On September 29 she went to Shelekhov District Hospital. The doctors heard “plague lab” and panicked. They gave her broad-spectrum antibiotics, heavy sedation, and eventually a ventilator. The propofol and the antibiotics were too much for her system. The ventilator itself did damage. The tube bypassed her natural defenses, and the machine pushed air into lungs that were already inflamed. She died in the early hours of October 2.
The hospital quarantined the ward. Nearly 200 contacts were identified and placed under observation, many hospitalized. The governor flew in the chief sanitary doctor. Several Irkutsk hospitals closed to visitors. The Irkutsk aluminum plant ordered masks for staff. Masks appeared in public and at kindergartens.
The real story might be simpler and sadder. A stressed young woman broke a tube, lost sleep, got sick from the stress, and then got overtreated by a system that was terrified of plague. The overreaction killed her, not the bacteria.
But the story does not stop with her. It repeats. The nearly 200 contacts locked inside will face the same conditions. Weeks indoors with no sunlight will crash their vitamin D levels, and vitamin D is what keeps the immune system calibrated. The isolation itself will become a stressor, and stress suppresses immune function. The broad-spectrum antibiotics given as prophylaxis will wipe out their gut flora, which is where a huge share of immune signaling happens. The sedation, when it comes, will dull their cough reflexes and let secretions pool in their lungs. The ventilator, if it comes, will be the final insult. The tube bypasses natural defenses, and the machine pushes air into lungs that are already inflamed.
The hospital environment will add its own dangers. Antibiotic-resistant bacteria thrive in wards where everyone is on the same drugs. Fungi like Candida and Aspergillus move in when the normal flora is gone. The people who walked in healthy will walk out colonized with organisms their bodies can no longer fight.
Then Rospotrebnadzor tested her samples and found nothing. No plague. No tularemia. No anthrax. Just pneumonia of unknown cause. The biosafety review found no lab accident. The official line was that she died of something unrelated to her work.
The fear feeds itself. The response becomes the disease.
my therapist told me:
"if you're an anxious person, do everything for fun. go to a job interview for fun. exercise for fun. start a blog for fun. anxiety feeds on importance. don't treat everything like a life-or-death situation."
and then it all made sense.
In 2001, scientists climbed the Pyramid to find out. They discovered droppings beneath a single shrub growing on a tiny ledge.
Because the insects are nocturnal, they returned after dark.
There, clinging to the bush, were three living Lord Howe Island stick insects.
3/n
The Earth is in a protracted ice age, and average global temperatures are around 15°C, still far lower than the long-term historical average of 18°C to 26°C.
The world is just too cold to be facing a crisis of global warming. Polar ice sheets are almost entirely isolated from warmer tropical waters, and any significant glacial ice loss is likely to last thousands of years, potentially raising sea levels by only a few millimeters a year.
Any protracted warming or carbon dioxide rise is more likely to benefit plant growth, improved living conditions, and higher food production. This has already been identified in NASA satellite studies.
Predicted extreme temperature rise scenarios—such as warming reaching up to 5°C by 2050—have been increasingly set aside in recent years by climate modeling cohorts and United Nations assessments as support fades for extreme high-emissions scenarios in favor of more realistic baselines.
The evidence of our ice age world is sitting there like a sudden winter snowdrift. Ten percent of the world's land area is still under glacial ice, which covers 15 million square kilometers (5.8 million square miles)—roughly a third of its peak extent during the Last Glacial Maximum (26,000 to 19,000 years ago).
The Antarctic ice sheet is the largest and thickest ice formation on Earth, reaching up to 4.8 kilometers (about 3 miles) deep. It holds 90% of the world's ice by volume and accounts for around 85% of total global glacial ice cover, spanning roughly 14 million square kilometers (5.4 million square miles)—8.3% of the world's land surface.
The Late Cenozoic Ice Age has not ended, having lasted for 34 million years, triggered by the glaciation of Antarctica, orbital anomalies (Milankovitch cycles), and tectonic shifts that isolated the Antarctic continent as Australia and South America drifted northward.
Human civilisation has risen almost entirely during the benevolently warm Holocene interglacial period, which has lasted for 11,700 years. The alternating cycles of glacial and interglacial periods have been taking place continually for 2.58 million years. These are very long-standing geological cycles, driven by orbital shifts (known as Milankovitch cycles).
However, the oceans are the Earth's greatest and most abundant physical feature visible from space. Oceans cover three quarters (72%) of the globe to an average depth of 2.3 miles, while forests cover 31% and deserts 33%. Most of the rest of the world is still wilderness.
Furthermore, the oceans contain 86% of the surface carbon reservoir and 91% of all retained heat energy; by contrast, the atmosphere holds a mere 1 to 2% of each.
For four decades, public debate has been dominated by fear and guilt, centered on claims of a looming climate crisis caused by us. The UN has led this campaign, which is unrelated to its mandated purpose of resolving international conflicts.
Much of the scientific basis for the campaign was based on worst-case computer model scenarios and forecasts of soaring world temperatures. The intensity of this campaign has progressively been diminishing.