Top Tweets for #NFPS
🇺🇸 US payroll employment increased 110k (vs 75k expected) in April, private payrolls increased 123k (vs 73k expected).
The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.3% (vs 4.3% expected).
#jobsreport #NFPs
Given the backdrop of the US economy, the net +178K increase in #NFPs is good relative to the +50K expected, rendering the biggest upside 'surprise' since January 2024
📢🇺🇸 #NFPs el informe de empleo de febrero ha sorprendido negativamente. Las nóminas no agrícolas han caído en 92 mil puestos de trabajo, muy por debajo de los 58 mil esperados
En conjunto, los datos apuntan a una clara desaceleración del mercado laboral estadounidense
I discuss market conditions, key markets to watch, core themes and top global macro event risk (including #NFPs) for next week's trading in this week ahead video:
https://t.co/lp8DLESugk
#NFPs beat expectations by the most in 10 months - a 130K vs 40K expected.
That said, revisions aggregated through 2025 have lowered the year's total by over 1 million
The delayed, January #NFPs are due tomorrow.
Taking a look at short-term implied volatility (VIX 1-Day - standard 30-day), looks like the markets are expecting it to barely register...
Given the limited impact of previous NFPs, not unreasonable, but still complacent
Does this mean we aren't going to get the #NFPs release on Friday?
We had just returned to our normal first Friday release after the last shutdown...
It's headlines versus scheduled event risk again over the coming week.
Dollar, gold and major US indices are top markets to watch. Short-term conditions are more breakout oriented than range.
More on conditions and top event risk like #NFPs:
https://t.co/zGDVYjd3AW
USA 🇺🇸 Mañana viernes se publicarán las nóminas no agrícolas de diciembre #NFPs
Las predicciones se sitúan en torno a los 60k puestos de trabajo
Un nivel bastante mediocre pero, debería ser suficiente para que la Fed se abstenga de recortar los tipos en su reunión de este mes
Here's the top event risk for tomorrow.
Final day of the week - so fading liquidity into the weekend - but a lot of capable event risk to stir things up.
We have: Japan h'hold spending; Chinese CPI; German and Taiwan trade; #NFPs; UofM; Supreme Court decision and more:
Recorded a video on market conditions and top event risk for this first full week of 2026.
Lot's of seasonal expectations, background headlines and top scheduled event risk - particularly for the US with releases like eg #NFPs, UofM sentiment and PMIs
https://t.co/uruHCzzxtD
The surprise factor from the #NFPs earlier was fairly tame, but that larger trend in labor conditions looks pretty clear...
Top event risk tomorrow is #NFPs. Here are some charts and data to chew on for the update.
Question is how market moving the event risk will prove
The $SPX has extended its 1.5% (as a percentage of spot) range to a 12th straight session.
Second most restrictive trading range in 7 years.
Does tomorrow's rare Tuesday #NFPs hold the punch to break this range?
While the market opened to a modest change from Friday with moderation of last week's volatility, we have some high profile event risk starting mid-week.
Top even risk this week includes $NVDA earnings; Sept #NFPs and Nov PMIs.
My analysis: https://t.co/vpQOSrb6Xa
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