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Paul’s Gamerzone
Massillon, OH
4/11/26
Mixed Banlist
15 Players
4 Round Swiss
1. @UCousin21915 OSK Pants/Door 2EN2M
2. @ElementalLoki BTR Door/Bar
3. @ElysionTCG SBY 8 Door
4. Sansho OSK 8 Choice
#ws2tcg #ヴァイスシュバルツ #WeissSchwarz #WSpp
#WSPP $WSPP
We’re Flying 🚀 🔥
What's ahead for Hurricane #Beryl? No hype, just probabilities! Let's just say there's some disagreement between the two main #probabilistic models for hurricane #wind. The left plot is the #NHC Wind Speed Probability Product (#WSPP) output for 64-kt winds. The right plot is the experimental Forecasts of Hurricanes using Large ensembles Outputs (#FHLO) for the same threshold. The NHC product perturbs around the parameters of the official forecast, which is typically very reliable. FHLO leverages the large scale environmental information contained in the many ensemble members of one or more global ensemble forecast systems (in this case, the Global Ensemble Forecast System - #GEFS). FHLO uses a simple intensity module to represent physically plausible intensity predictions for each track that are consistent with the large-scale environment of each GEFS ensemble member.
Here's how the probabilities of 34-kt winds differ for a few places up the #Texas coastline:
NHC WSPP FHLO
#Galveston 8% 29%
#CorpusChristi 11% 35%
#Brownsville 22% 41%
Here are the probabilities of 64-kt winds:
NHC WSPP FHLO
#Galveston --- 8%
#CorpusChristi --- 10%
#Brownsville --- 12%
What should someone do when there's such a disparity between two skillful probabilistic models? Simply take the average. Over many forecast cases, that strategy has been shown to be more accurate than picking one probabilistic model over the other (Lin et al 2020).
It's possible that FHLO is overdoing re-intensification after #Beryl's Yucatan crossing. We shall see. As long as re-intensification doesn't get out of hand and the flooding isn't too bad, it's possible Beryl's rains could be beneficial for Texas. #TXwx
Data sources:
1) NHC WSPP probabilities from 07/04 15z: NHC website (https://t.co/IWBSabyXyQ)
2) FHLO probabilistic graphics from 07/04 06z: Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project (https://t.co/VdB1FMJ8ja) and https://t.co/Mj6lA7iVue
3) Pointwise probabilistic output from 07/04 06z:
#HurricaneRiskCalculator (https://t.co/povv3aLQFN)
Lin et al (2020): https://t.co/sp3DPv6lFt
Shout out to @pickleballinn for being the first person to spot me on the @OfficialAPPTour ESPN+ broadcast - get caught up on all the action here 👇👇👇 #pickleball #wspp
Dear, #WSPP Holders
you can open Mistery box to get $DF Token inside the Rocket wallet telegram apps .
open the bot
https://t.co/sXXfjamPmJ
Half a million people tuned in to watch pickleball on Sunday. Personally, I was a little disappointed that the Fox broadcast didn’t feature those football playing robots #pickleball #wspp
Taylor Swift talk only makes up 20% of this episode of the world’s shortest pickleball podcast #Pickleball #wspp
Dear #All WSPP Holder's
Please Migrate your #WSPP to #DF Token.
Here :
https://t.co/2AtYH7bYqr
Its Las't Call !!!
Follow @dailyforestx
The World’s Shortest Pickleball Podcast is back - come hear the story of pickleball’s #1 matchmaker #WSPP #pickleball
Did the PPA and MLP merger deadline come and go with no news? Is my DUPR overinflated? Will ALW get another triple crown this week? The answers (yes, yes, and yes) and more are all here on the World’s Shortest Pickleball Podcast #wspp #pickleball
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