Top Tweets for #YIeld
[#PDVSA26_SWAPS | 2026-10-07 19:45:01] #PDVSA #bond #yield #curve #shifts #following #crude #export #authorization #report
Wed Oct 07 19:52:12 GMT-04:00 2026
THREE-YEAR #TREASURY AUCTION CLEARS AT HIGHEST #YIELD SINCE 2006 AS FOREIGN DEMAND SLIPS
Key Details:
Tuesday's $58bn 3-year note sale cleared at 4.932%, up from 4.475% at the prior auction and the highest since May 2006. Indirect bidders, the proxy for foreign official demand, took 57.59%, the lowest since February, against 62.15% previously. Bid-to-cover fell to 2.616 from 2.722. The 10-year and 30-year auctions follow today and Thursday.
Impact Assessment:
The data is measured evidence of fading overseas appetite at a time of record US #imports and a widening fiscal gap. Weak foreign take-up raises term premium, supports the #dollar only while #yields compensate, and increases the risk of basis-trade stress given leveraged funds' large #Treasury futures shorts. Equity sectors with high duration, notably utilities and software, are most exposed if today's 10-year sale tails.
Well looky here in the Dec US #10Year T-Note #Futures (ZNZ26): We have Positive Momentum Convergence, along with a declining price: The notes are down -0.22%/-0'075 ticks trading 104'085, with the Oct 10-Year #Yield futures (10YV26) trading up +0.65%/+0.034bps @ 5.281% this morn...
Buyers are- in the #Market... Posi-momentum shows us this. The footprints are visable.
And Stocks are down: Dec #NASDAQ100 futures (NQZ26) are down a -0.89%/-279pts, trading@ 31,204.25, Dec #Dow futures (YMZ26) down -1.08%/-559pts@ 51,257, Dec #Russell2000 #SmallCap futures (RTYZ26) trading down -1.28%/-36.40pts@ 2811.80 and the Dec #SP400 #MidCap futures (EMDZ26) down the big -1.72%/-64.10pts@ 3655.80@ 9:13am CDT...
Money is coming out of stocks and into #Bonds...
#OOTT
One thing I’m watching closely is the #US10Y #yield. Looking at the recent price action, yields bounced around 5.15%. That tells me 5.15% is an important level. As long as 5.15% holds, I’d say the uptrend is still intact.
Now if you go back to 2002 - 2007, yields faced resistance around 5.4/5.5%. So if 5.15% holds & yields keep moving higher, that’s the next area I’m watching.
This chart isn’t a stock. It’s the 10year #bond yield, and this is starting to look scary.
What concerns me is the price action. The #yield has broken out of a very strong continuation formation that had been building for a long time. When a formation like this breaks out, the measured target gives us an idea of where the move could go. In this case, that target is around 7%.
That doesn’t mean the 10-year yield is going straight to 7%, but the price action is telling us that 6/7% is now a possible destination. And this is where it becomes important for stocks. If the 10-year yield keeps moving higher, it means the market is demanding higher interest rates on LT money. That can put pressure on stock valuations and also reflect concerns about #inflation.
I hope this breakout fails and the yield turns back down. But I have to respect what the price action is saying right now.
#10YearYield
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