Top Tweets for #fedviews
Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/iGn1XU47kU | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Inflation #Labor
The ongoing decline in inflation is partly linked to restrictive monetary policy. The two most recent SEPs suggest that the funds rate is at or near its peak but likely to remain at restrictive levels through 2026.
#FedViews #EconTwitter #Inflation
According to our latest #FedViews, substantial progress has been made in bringing inflation back down to 2%. We expect that diminished supply constraints and slower growth in overall demand will support inflation returning close to the Fed’s 2% goal over the next three years.
Take a look back at our latest #FedViews, which said wage growth remained high relative to #inflation. The 4-quarter change in the employment cost index slowed modestly to 4.5% in the second quarter of 2023, but remained higher than the 4-quarter PCE inflation rate of 3.9%.
According to our latest #FedViews, wage growth remains high relative to #inflation. The 4-quarter change in the employment cost index slowed modestly to 4.5% in the second quarter of 2023, down from a peak of 5.1%, but remains higher than the 4-quarter PCE inflation rate of 3.9%.
Progress on services inflation remains slow, partly reflecting resilient consumer spending, supported by strong labor markets. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/DLP4nJreXA | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Inflation #LaborMarkets #ConsumerSpending #Labor
The decline in goods consumption together with improvements in global supply chains have contributed to a pronounced decline in goods price inflation since the middle of 2022.
#SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #SupplyChains #Inflation #Prices #FedViews
According to our latest #FedViews consumer spending patterns continue to normalize, as spending on goods moderates after surging during the pandemic, and spending on services continues to recover.
#SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Spending #Pandemic #ConsumerSpending #Economy
Supply-driven inflation has receded as supply chains have recovered, while demand-driven inflation has continued to grow, despite tighter monetary policy. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/IukQhivopd | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #SupplyandDemand #SupplyChains
According to our latest #FedViews inflation in core services excluding housing has been a persistent driver of elevated inflation and may take more time to decelerate as the economy cools.
#SFFedReseach #EconTwitter #Inflation #Housing
Current financial market conditions map to a proxy federal funds rate of about 6.9%, well above the actual funds rate. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/IukQhivopd | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Inflation
According to our latest #FedViews inflation in core services excluding housing has been a persistent driver of elevated inflation and may take more time to decelerate as the economy cools.
#SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Inflation #Economy
As new rental leases begin and existing leases are renewed, higher asking rents should flow into the stock of rental units, putting upward pressure on rent inflation. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/Xm8LIwZvPW | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Rent #Rental #Inflation
According to our latest #FedViews more than half of the excess savings built during the pandemic has been drawn down, but a considerable amount of accumulated savings remains to support spending in 2023.
#SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Pandemic #Savings
As new rental leases begin and existing leases are renewed, higher asking rents should flow into the stock of rental units, putting upward pressure on rent inflation. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/Xm8LIx03Fu | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Rent #Rental #Inflation
According to our latest #FedViews more than half of the excess savings built during the pandemic has been drawn down, but a considerable amount of accumulated savings remains to support spending in 2023. #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Pandemic #Savings
Research on the Beveridge curve relationship between unemployment and job vacancies suggests that the labor market can cool without causing a large increase in the unemployment rate. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/hkxkPH4Qp7 | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Labor
According to our latest #Fedviews, recent data suggest #inflation may have peaked. Price increases for some goods have slowed considerably while price increases in services remain high, largely due to shelter inflation which often trails adjustments in #housing market conditions.
Given rental contracts typically do not adjust for several quarters or years, we expect housing inflation to continue to push up PCE services inflation in the next few quarters. Read more in our latest #FedViews: https://t.co/DuZW4apMqH | #SFFedResearch #EconTwitter #Inflation
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