Top Tweets for #frozenconflicts
#FrozenConflicts: Without financial revenues from trade and with scarce gas supplies, the separatist regime in Transnistria is unable to meet its budgetary obligations: 1) Russia is unevenly using financing for gas supplies to Transnistria to destabilize the region ahead of the parliamentary elections in Moldova;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: As expected, the Transnistrian region rejects the new EU aid (60 million euros) and resumes gas imports from Europe via Hungarian traders (MET Gas and Energy Marketing AG): 1) Moldova will not prevent gas imports to the breakaway region;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The temporary mechanism of gas delivery to the Transnistrian region kicked off: 1) The Moldovan side is already buying gas on the 20 million euro part of the EU's 30 million euro grant. Right now, the gas is already being delivered to the separatist region, where the power generation has been relaunched. 2) This process will continue until 10 February. No decision was found to manage the energy crisis until the end of the winter season and beyond that. Tiraspol seeks a long-term solution that would involve intermediary companies and Russian gas. Chisinau buys gas from European traders and has no interest in returning to imports of Russian gas;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: A potential "roadmap/mechanism" for managing the energy crisis in Moldova and Transnistria has taken shape and may look as follows. A thread 🧵:
#FrozenConflicts: The 30 million euro EU grant for purchasing gas to ensure power generation in Transnistria for the needs of the separatist region and Moldova is becoming a highly contentious issue. A thread 🧵: ⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The Transnistrian separatist region seeks to formalise the mechanism for receiving the aid promised by the EU: neither the credit-based gas nor the EU grant has yet been effectively transmitted. 1) Tiraspol wants the deal signed as soon as possible (even today), accusing Chisinau of being too slow (proposing to meet only tomorrow); 2) There is no clarity on how the mechanism will work: who buys the gas, who pays for it, and how this is done, as well as how the gas is transmitted to Transnistria for power generation and system maintenance;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The Transnistrian separatist region seeks to formalise the mechanism for receiving the aid promised by the EU: neither the credit-based gas nor the EU grant has yet been effectively transmitted. 1) Tiraspol wants the deal signed as soon as possible (even today), accusing Chisinau of being too slow (proposing to meet only tomorrow); 2) There is no clarity on how the mechanism will work: who buys the gas, who pays for it, and how this is done, as well as how the gas is transmitted to Transnistria for power generation and system maintenance;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Transnistria will receive gas from Europe (3 million m3). The separatist regime will either buy the gas (Tiraspoltransgaz) or return it by the beginning of March. Many voices present this as a defeat of Russia, which doesn't look this way if we overcome the wishful thinking: 1) Russia wanted to supply the region with Russian gas via the Turkish Stream, but Chisinau opposed it at the last moment because it was asking for help from the EU; 2) The EU aid has two components: the gas for Transnistria to stabilise its gas system and the gas that Transnistria will use to produce electricity sold to Chisinau (30 million euros);⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The energy crisis in the Transnistrian region is showing signs of externalization: 1) The administration of the separatist regime is demanding the UN to intervene to help resolve the energy crisis; 2) President Sandu is travelling to Kyiv in an attempt to transfer image capital from Zelensky and mitigate public pressure in Moldova;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Russia has decided to supply its gas to the Transnistrian region. A Cyprus company has booked the capacities for 3.1 million m³ for 160 million dollars in February-April 2025 (but it is highly likely to be extended if transit via Ukraine is not resumed). Just as in the case of the electricity supply to Abkhazia (Georgia), Russia seeks to use the technique of "humanitarian aid" in the form of energy supplies to the separatist region in Moldova. The use of the Turkish Stream hints at one of the scenarios discussed previously.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The separatist regime has agreed with Chisinau on the condition that it will be supplied with Russian gas. The gas supply will be provided by Moldovagaz, a company controlled by Russia, but also regulated by Chisinau. The Moldovan govt does not accept other companies to get involved in gas supply mechanisms. Another important aspect: the separatist regime is ready to pay the costs of transit and transport. The price of the gas will be covered by Russia, which will deliver it to the separatist region in the form of “humanitarian aid.”⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Following yesterday's statement by the Ukrainian side, the likely scenario for supplying the Transnistrian region could become the purchase of gas on the European market. Kyiv does not agree to allow Russian gas to transit, even if it arrives via the Turkish Stream and in reverse via the Trans-Balkan route. Ukraine has not expressed any resistance to the idea of supplying gas from Europe to the separatist region.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Following yesterday's statement by the Ukrainian side, the likely scenario for supplying the Transnistrian region could become the purchase of gas on the European market. Kyiv does not agree to allow Russian gas to transit, even if it arrives via the Turkish Stream and in reverse via the Trans-Balkan route. Ukraine has not expressed any resistance to the idea of supplying gas from Europe to the separatist region.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The separatist regime confirmed that Russia will resume the gas supply to Transnistria shortly. This means Russia will pay for the transport costs, and the gas will be supplied via the Turkish Stream. Notably, the separatist regime claims that the following: 1) the gas will be offered for humanitarian purposes; 2) the gas will be used strictly for the region's needs, meaning it will not produce electricity for sale to Chisinau. ⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The separatist regime confirmed that Russia will resume the gas supply to Transnistria shortly. This means Russia will pay for the transport costs, and the gas will be supplied via the Turkish Stream. Notably, the separatist regime claims that the following: 1) the gas will be offered for humanitarian purposes; 2) the gas will be used strictly for the region's needs, meaning it will not produce electricity for sale to Chisinau. ⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Moldovan authorities allowed the leader of the breakaway region Krasnoselky to travel to Moscow, where he called for the resumption of gas supplies. Since Chisinau did not want to engage in direct talks with Moscow, accusing it of organizing the energy crisis,⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Moldovan authorities allowed the leader of the breakaway region Krasnoselky to travel to Moscow, where he called for the resumption of gas supplies. Since Chisinau did not want to engage in direct talks with Moscow, accusing it of organizing the energy crisis,⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The residents in the villages across the Security Zone in Moldova are against power connection to the grid controlled by Chisinau. They opposed the Moldovan authorities' initiative to connect the villages to the national grid during the visit of President Sandu (who, up until the end of December, was avoiding tackling a very costly in terms of reputation issue). The reason why the villagers in the contested area reject the energy offer of Chisinau is the higher price of electricity compared to the tariffs paid when the Transnistrian region received free-of-charge gas from Russia. The separatist regime still has massive control over the public agenda in the region, selling the population the idea that the flow of Russian gas will be resumed soon.
#FrozenConflicts: Abkhazia aims to control internet use to fight micro-mining of cryptocurrencies. Georgia's breakaway region faces a difficult dilemma: 1) curb illegal cryptocurrency mining activity by limiting internet access for the population;⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The separatist regime in Transnistria has created an exceptional situation in the energy sector. The electricity generating company MGRES has switched from Russian gas to coal. This means that Russian gas is already in short supply. One way to alleviate the crisis is to use coal.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Russia exerts significant energy influence in the breakaway regions of Moldova and Georgia. 1) The Transnistrian energy region is almost exclusively dependent on the import of Russian natural gas transported via Ukraine.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Russia exerts significant energy influence in the breakaway regions of Moldova and Georgia. 1) The Transnistrian energy region is almost exclusively dependent on the import of Russian natural gas transported via Ukraine.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The Moldovan govt is on high alert regarding gas supplies to the Transnistria region. For almost three years, Chisinau has maintained hostile rhetoric against Russia, as part of its diplomacy condemning Russian military aggression against Ukraine. Today, Moldovan officials are slightly changing their approach, ⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: Thousands of people protest in occupied Abkhazia following the arrest of opposition leaders. The Russian-controlled separatist regime has been pressuring the opposition to accept the “investment deal” with Russia that allows the acquisition of property by Russian companies and citizens.⤵️
#FrozenConflicts: The breakaway region of Moldova is opposed to a quick solution to the conflict, fearing coercion from Chisinau. The separatist regime prefers a long-term compromise, contradicting the position of the Moldovan govt, who seeks to seize the geopolitical window of⤵️
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