Top Tweets for #interestratepath

over 1 year ago

#RhinoAnalysis #RhinoNews #FinancialUpdates #Airdrop #Airdrops #Giveaway #Bitcoin #Crypto #Omnichain #Ethereum #DeFi #NFT #Rhinosmart #ECB #TrumpPolicies #RateCuts #EurozoneEconomy #InterestRatePath #EconomicRisk #EconomicRecovery - - - Trump's Policies Are Unpredictable, Is the ECB's Rate Cut Path Changing? - 🇺🇸 Trump's Unpredictability Challenges ECB's Rate Cut Path Although economists widely expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut rates three times this year, one major variable is rewriting the script. A Bloomberg survey reveals that Trump’s unpredictability in trade, international security, and domestic policies is severely testing market consensus on the ECB's rate path. - 📉Economic Recovery Outlook and Rate Cut Expectations Most respondents still believe that, unless there is a major shock, the Eurozone economy will gradually recover with inflation close to the 2% target. The ECB deposit rate is expected to be cut from 2.75% to 2%, with a 25 basis point rate cut next week almost certain. - 💥External Uncertainty Escalates Internal Divisions at the ECB Bill Diviney, Senior Economist at ING, warns: “The situation could change drastically in the coming months—new US tariffs could be more aggressive than expected, and the expansion of Eurozone defense spending could add fiscal pressure.” This uncertainty has divided the ECB internally. Dovish member Piero Cipollone advocates further rate cuts to offset the effects of quantitative tightening, while hawkish member Schnabel counters that "premature and excessive rate cuts could backfire." - 📊 The Impact of Trump's Policies and Risks to the Eurozone Scope Ratings economist Dennis Shen notes: "Core inflation remains sticky, and Trump's trade war and anti-globalization policies could push prices higher, making a rate pause in April a wise choice. Moreover, the Eurozone's unemployment rate is still at historically low levels, and there is a need to leave room for policy." As the two major engines of the Eurozone, Germany and France both saw their GDP shrink in Q4 of 2023. Germany was affected by a slump in exports and weak consumption, while France struggled due to a decline in investment. - 🚗Trump's Tariff Threat Could Add Pressure on Eurozone Economy Trump recently threatened to impose a 25% tariff on EU products like cars, which could undermine the already fragile economic recovery in the Eurozone. Over half of the surveyed economists consider US policies to be the biggest risk to Europe, with most expecting the EU to face tariff shocks, and retaliation measures could exceed 50% of the US’s initial strikes. - 🔮 ECB’s Policy Outlook and Future Divisions David Powell, Senior Economist for the Eurozone at Bloomberg Economics, analyzes: “The ECB acknowledged that growth risks were tilted to the downside in its January meeting, but the bigger threat now comes from external factors. While a rate cut next week is almost certain, policy divisions are widening, and the April meeting could become a turning point.” The ECB defines the neutral interest rate as between 1.75% and 2.25%, with most economists targeting the 2% level. About two-thirds of respondents expect the ECB to no longer use restrictive language in its statement next week, but more than 90% believe the ECB will avoid explicitly stating that it is entering the "neutral" range to avoid fueling speculation that the rate-cut cycle is nearing its end. - ⚖️ Lagarde Faces Internal Pressure More than 90% of respondents also expect no official forward guidance. Jussi Hiljanen, Head of Macro and Fixed Income Research at SEB, states: "When commenting on further rate cuts, Lagarde will have to balance the differing views within the Governing Council, which will be a challenge. Therefore, she will rely on a data-dependent approach and make no prior commitments." - 📱🅖🅞🅞🅖🅛🅔Play / Android 🔗https://t.co/WkKKwCTffK - 🍎 App Store / IOS 🔗https://39.107.190.69/deal.rhinosmart/#/InitData

100

FXKILLA 📊 @FX_PIPHunter

over 2 years ago

Wed 7 Feb, #Gold fell $1.18 (-0.06%) to 2034.28. $GLD prices held steady on Wednesday as #investors awaited clues from the #US #FederalReserveOfficials on the #InterestRatePath, while #AutoCatalyst #MetalPalladium #dropped to a five-year low on growing concerns over #demand. #XAU

Top Tweets for #interestratepath

Last Seen Hashtags on Sotwe

Trends for you

Most Popular Users