Top Tweets for #quantlake
The Medium White Candle on SPY turns the 1-month forward Sharpe negative in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed, from +0.84 globally to -0.15.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 58.4% vs 68.1% globally. Median: +0.6% vs +1.5%.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
The Short Black Candle on SPY turns the 1-month forward Sharpe from +1.07 globally to -0.06 in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 59.1% vs 70.5% globally. Median: +0.7% vs +1.9%.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
On SPY, the Medium Black Candle in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed skews the 1-month forward return distribution further left.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: +0.42 vs +1.18 globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
The Black Spinning Top on SPY flips from a strong +1.54 1-month forward Sharpe globally to -0.16 in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 52.0% vs 71.3% globally. Median: +0.3% vs +2.0%.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
Extreme Greed doesn't erase gains. It changes the quality of them.
• 1M Sharpe: -0.13 (vs +1.08 overall)
• 1M hit rate: 58.2% (vs 69.2% overall)
• 1M median: +0.6% (vs +1.7% overall)
Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
For SPY’s Medium Black Candle, Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed deepens the 1-month left-tail skew, even as forward returns stay positive.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: +0.42 vs +1.18 globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
Greed doesn’t mean stronger near-term tape. When QHI is in Greed:
• 1M hit rate: 63.3% (vs 69.1%)
• 1M median: +1.4% (vs +1.7%)
• 3M hit rate: 67.8% (vs 77.0%)
Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
In Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed, the Short White Candle on SPY holds a stronger 1-month forward return profile than its full-sample baseline.
QHI Greed, 1M forward 1-month up rate: 71.1% vs 71.0% globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
Greed often gets read as pure momentum. The history is more mixed.
• 1M hit rate: 63.1% (vs 69.1%)
• 1M Sharpe: +0.76 (vs +1.06)
• 3M hit rate: 67.5% (vs 77.0%)
Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
In Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed, the 1-month forward Sharpe after a Medium Black Candle on SPY compresses versus the full-sample baseline.
QHI Greed, 1M forward up rate: 65.8% vs 71.7% globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
The Medium White Candle on SPY shifts toward parity in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed, with a softer 1-month forward return distribution than the full sample.
QHI Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: +0.75 vs +0.84 globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
In Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed, the Medium Black Candle on SPY still holds above baseline at 1 month, but the forward return profile compresses.
QHI Greed, 1M forward 1-month up rate: 66.3% vs 71.8% globally.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
The Medium White Candle on SPY loses its edge when the Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) hits Extreme Greed, with 1-month Sharpe flipping from +0.84 globally to -0.14.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 59.4% vs 68.2% globally. Median: +0.6% vs +1.5%.
$SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
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