HedgeView

Patience makes more money than predictions ever will.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

If AI keeps scaling, these layers win. Two stocks. Two layers of the AI economy.
1. The AI revolution runs on connectivity $ALAB owns that layer.
2.The physical world runs on intelligence $IOT owns that layer.

1. IOT (Samsara)
Thesis: AI + IoT platform becoming the operating system for real-world operations — fleets, logistics, infrastructure
Fundamentals:
• Revenue: $1.62B
• Growth: +30% YoY
• ARR: $1.89B (+30%)
• EPS: Turning positive ✅
• Gross Margin: ~73%
Edge:
• 25 trillion data points moat nobody can replicate
• Sticky enterprise contracts, low churn
• AI safety coaching = new revenue layer
Entry: $30–33
PT1: $45
PT2: $60
Time-short to mid term.

2. ALAB (Astera Labs)
Thesis: AI bottleneck = data movement → ALAB powers high-speed connectivity between GPUs and memory
Fundamentals:
• Revenue: $853M (+115% YoY)
• Growth: Accelerating
• EPS: $1.29 → $2.41 (2026E) ✅
• Gross Margin: ~75%
Edge:
• Only PCIe 6 fabric switch shipping at volume
• Amazon $6.5B locked 7-year deal
• Deep hyperscaler integration -hard to replace
Entry: $110–120
PT1: $170
PT2: $200
Time-short to mid term.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

Market Update – March 23
The reflex bounce came this morning. Trump posted that the U.S. and Iran had “very good and productive” talks and that military strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure are postponed for five days. SPY and QQQ both ripped 2%+, WTI Crude cratered over 9%.
Catch: Iran’s news agency immediately denied any direct or indirect contact with the U.S. Two completely contradictory stories. The market rallied on Trump’s version anyway.
This is exactly the distinction reflex bounce vs. real recovery. A five-day pause with both sides contradicting each other is not a resolution. Think of it as a pressure valve release, nothing more.
Two paths from here:
∙Talks are real → Strait reopens, oil normalizes, rate-cut path clears, market has a genuine fundamental reason to re-rate higher
∙Pause expires with no deal, strikes resume → last week’s lows get retested fast

What today actually confirms: The market was deeply oversold and hyper-sensitive to any geopolitical relief. The violence of this morning’s move in both equities and oil tells you the selloff has been driven by macro overlay, not fundamental deterioration. The moment that overhang showed even a crack, buyers flooded back in immediately which is consistent with this being a short-cycle risk-on disruption, not a structural bull market break.
Stay patient. The real signal comes when the five days are up.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

Final thought.
If you’re drawing 17 indicators waiting for “the algorithm” to bless your trade…
You might be overthinking it.
Price + liquidity + psychology.
That’s the game.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

Day trading strategies that actually work
(unlike the crap fake gurus sell you)

People keep asking for strategies, so here’s a list.

Some I've used myself, some come from Market Wizards traders like Al Brooks, Raschke, Hougaard, etc.

Not financial advice.
Your trades, your risk.

Read it. Steal it. Print money.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

17. Premarket & after-hours

• Premarket VWAP reclaim
Below VWAP → reclaim with volume → long.
• After-hours trap
Pump with low volume → fade it.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

16. Max pain Friday

Stocks tend to move toward max pain on expiration.
Mean reversion traders use this.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

15. Options data signals

• Gamma squeeze ignition
Massive OTM call buying.
Market makers hedge.
Stock can rip.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

14. 9:45 AM reversal

First 15 minutes = chaos.
9:45 is when the real move often starts.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

13. Psychological setups

• Bagholder bounce
Stock gaps down 20%+
Wait for flush → long first bounce.
Bagholders want out.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

12. Earnings overreaction

Stock rips or dumps hard in the first 5 minutes.
Most of the time it fades back.
Retail overreacts → institutions clean up.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

11. Trade reactions, not news.

• FOMC fade
First move after Fed minutes?
Usually fake.
Fade it.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

10.Big bid scalping
Huge hidden bid on Level 2?
Buy in front of it.
Scalp the bounce.
Works best in low-float stocks.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

9.Scalping setups
• 1-min rip & dip
First candle breaks premarket high
Next candle dips → reclaims
That’s a long.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

8. Market maker refill zones
Slow grind… then huge volume spike with no movement.
That’s a big player filling orders.
Trade WITH it.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

7.Liquidity traps — where real money hides.

• Stop loss hunting

Retail stops sit at:
– previous day high
– previous day low
Market pushes past → hard reversal.
Trade against retail.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

6.RSI exhaustion

RSI 90+ or below 10.

Wait for the first 2-minute reversal candle.

That’s the rubber band snap.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

5.Fake halt trap

Stock spikes like it’ll halt.

Then… no halt.

That’s a rug pull.

Short immediately.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

4. Mean reversion — buy panic, sell euphoria.

• Broken parabolic short

If a stock prints 5+ straight green 1-min candles

First red engulfing candle = short.

Gravity always wins.

[HedgeView @Hedgeview3]

3.First hour trend lock

Whatever the stock does in the first 30–60 minutes, stick with it.

Trend is usually set.

Don’t countertrade it.