Here to have fun and share knowledge. Look out for sarcasm, irony and humour. Interested in law, economics, finance, IT, Politics. Football, Rugby and Vayolens.
Avoid getting into a serious relationship with a woman you cannot lead, teach, or correct. Love and attraction are not enough to sustain a marriage. You need a woman who can listen without feeling inferior, accept correction without feeling attacked, and disagree without turning everything into a competition.
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Las cinco claves por las que Lula ganó la segunda vuelta en Brasil.
1. La movilización fue determinante. La abstención bajó del 21,08% al 19,21%. Cerca de tres millones más de brasile��os salieron a votar. El temor al regreso del bolsonarismo fue uno de los factores que activó al electorado de Lula.
2. Lula amplió el margen donde era fuerte y redujo las pérdidas en el sudeste del país. El Nordeste volvió a ser su principal bastión electoral, pero la remontada también se construyó en el Sudeste. Recuperó Minas Gerais y redujo las diferencias en São Paulo y Río de Janeiro.
3. Lula corrigió los errores de la primera vuelta. Dejó de concentrarse tanto en defender los resultados de su gobierno y comenzó a hablar de los problemas cotidianos de los brasileños: economía familiar, endeudamiento, costo de la vida, ingresos y propuestas concretas para los próximos cuatro años.
4. La campaña digital mejoró sustancialmente. Hubo un canal de WhatsApp que se llamaba “El Ejército do Lula” y fue uno de los fenómenos más interesantes de la segunda vuelta brasileña de 2026.��. Era una estructura de movilización digital, organizada por el diputado André Janones.
5. Flávio Bolsonaro cometió errores no forzados. Sus declaraciones sobre cambiar la Constitución, las contradicciones sobre la jornada laboral y algunas intervenciones en los debates debilitaron su intento de presentarse como una alternativa moderada. Lula tenía un desgaste importante, pero Flávio no consiguió convertir todo ese descontento en confianza hacia su candidatura.
Un último dato: Flávio Bolsonaro anunció que no reconoce el resultado y que buscará impugnar la elección. Lula anunció que regulará las elecciones.
This is propaganda.
1. The Election Amendment Bill was first introduced to parliament in May 2024 following the NADCO report. Parliament dropped the ball by not prioritizing it.
2. The amendment clearly states that IEBC shall PUBLISH results on an ONLINE PUBLIC PORTAL... 1/6 🧵
Raila Odinga anchored Kenya's opposition for a little close to 3 decades. With Baba gone, what will the 2027 elections look like? I modelled it county by county using the 2022 IEBC results, running a couple of assumptions. Here's what it takes to win or lose 2027 elections. I’m Calling this the WANTAM-nomics model.
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I advocate for people not to be obsessed with that, "I am a good person" image. You will be put through hell in life and in death. People should learn to fight for themselves. Bully back your bullies. Be petty and keep grudges. Avenge for yourself.
History will vindicate William Ruto. The problem with metrics like economic development & political sanity is that they can only be validated in hindsight:
1. Lamu Dangote refinery = 60,000+ jobs + 500 megawatts to the national grid (feeding directly into the Olkalou Microsoft data centre, paused because of power constraints).
2. Olkalou Microsoft data center = 1000s more jobs & attendant CSR rewards for the locals.
3. 1.01 million tonnes of sugarcane supplied in July, a 102% increase from last year. Meaning more money for farmers in Western Kenya. Between Jan-May sugarcane production was at +21.98%. We'll probaby double this if the trend continue.
4. By August, Kenya was the leading milk producer in Africa with 5.5 billion litres produced. Counties like Muranga got 10,000-litre milk coolers. Farmers selling milk for 60-70, from the paltry 40 offered by the cooperatives.
5. Meat exports increased 87% in August. With almost zero red meat imports because of govt non-tariff barriers. Barriers so tight it had American exporters begging Trump to intervene. Feeding into +BOT, partly explains the stable exchange rate.
6. We have 5 concurrent major road projects. Rironi-Mau alone created 10K+ jobs. We have Bura-Mto Mwagodi in Taita-Taveta, Kakamega-Musikoma Road, Kivandini-Museleni in Machakos etc. Jobs. Direct & indirect.
7. Not to mention LAPSSET corridor, an estimated 2-3% GDP injection. Basically, +revenue for Kenya. Opening Northern Frontier. 1000s of jobs in logistics etc.
8. Turkana oil rig, 20,000+ barrels of crude oil per day if it kicks off. Estimated commencement date December 2026.
9. SHA, for all its frailties, is actively helping people. In fact, it's almost ironic, that the regions with the utmost criticism for SHA are also the counties leading in its uptake. Nairobi, Kiambu, Nakuru, Mombasa etc. The sentiments & actions don't tally.
He has his faults like everyone else, but man puts in the work.
This is the devolution you all speak of. That everyone in the country gets something. This is what economic growth looks like. And devolution, as envisaged in THE CONSTITUTION. For the champions of rule of law.
Kenya has introduced a new law that changes how trusts are created, registered, managed and monitored.
We have done a deeper analysis of the new law.
Read and save the thread below.
Edwin Sifuna and Babu Owino - The modern day Raila Odinga and William Ruto.
Sifuna like Raila is a revolutionary politician. They have the charm and wit. The charisma and are naturally loved by the masses.
But revolutionary politics rarely ascend to power, it is those with the ability to put the matter to a close end who get power.
The likes of Ruto and Babu's of this world. Those who are willing to do anything to get power will often win.
Because political power rests in the end of physical force, to which people like Sifuna and Raila are not capable of contributing but which the likes of Babu and Ruto thrive in.
The more things change the more they remain the same.
My interpretation: Corrupt Lawyers are costing taxpayers billions of shillings on flimsy legal defense of government in court. JurisPesa is a small rat compared to the mongrel that is WakiliPesa. Kick corruption out of the Bar!
Ababu Namwamba might have been the best Sports CS we have had under this regime.
There was something about how quickly he moved to address certain football issues, particularly those involving management wrangles. He was hands-on and seemed willing to get into the trenches when the situation demanded it.
He was also instrumental in Kenya’s AFCON 2027 bid and had spoken about Nairobi’s ambition to host the 2029 World Athletics Championships long before the formal bid was eventually submitted.
Looking back, perhaps we did not appreciate his time in the Sports docket enough.
@pepeta_ke
I couldn't do it simply because romance is fulfilling, but only a small facet of my life. There's arts, books, playing sports, work, business, hiking, dreams. I want to expend as little energy as possible labouring over one at the expense of others.
So the question I aways find myself asking when I come to a place where I have to constantly watch over my shoulder with a lover is: "Why do I have to deal with the pains you constantly deal me, when I can just go back to the robust existence I lead before you?"
And the answer is always to leave you exactly where I found you.
I love the people I date, they are wonderful humans, but never at the expense of my peace, enough to warrant invigilation. I think that's why I have never understood violence in relationships. I literally can just leave you if we are incompatible and go back to the very fulfilling existence I built for myself before you.
I treat romance as an adventure. And the primary goal has never been to hold on to people but to experience them in their fullness. I will give it the best I have, but not with the sole purpose of making you stay. You are an adult like me. Do what's right because you want to be here and keep what we have, not because I make you.