HoffLocks

gambler, enjoyer of collegiate ball

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@Moneyplayzz is Douglas Longest Reception O17.5 hitting

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@TheDegenWeekly I have O2.5 Receptions is that safe

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

.@DK_Assist neither Frazier nor Bowens played so this should void the leg correct?

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

Color me shocked

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

.@spshoot this will find a way to lose

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@th3bunnyhunter That’s all hindsight. If you go for 2 up 22-14 and don’t get it, it’s still a one-possession game. JVST could tie with a TD + 2pt. If you kick the XP to make it 23-14, you guarantee a two-possession lead.

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@brayden22h Front and center on mine

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@brayden22h Everyone eats 🤝

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@Stuckey2 They’re last years fsu

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

‘25 FSU —> ‘26 UW comp

Both teams that I feel are consistently overvalued by the market.

When FSU upset Bama and beat up on a directional school last year in September, they got a sizable bump from the power ratings which I don’t think they ever truly came down to earth from.

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

They’ve underachieved in every game so far and I don’t think Vegas has dropped their rating far enough. I’ll be fading them this week and likely again next week if all goes well. Line in the USC game should be Trojans -11.5 at best.

There’s my case study

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

‘25 FSU —> ‘26 UW comp

Both teams that I feel are consistently overvalued by the market.

When FSU upset Bama and beat up on a directional school last year in September, they got a sizable bump from the power ratings which I don’t think they ever truly came down to earth from.

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

So far this year they have:

-been in a dogfight against Wazzu as a 21.5pt favorite (understandable though, rivalry game on a Sunday afternoon)

-beat a bad Utah St team by less than a FG as a 20+pt favorite

-lost outright at home as a 10pt favorite to a decent Minnesota team

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@TCTone Love the Baylor/ASU over

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@LinesNotTeams 145 at half. Broadcast counted 8 drops by receivers

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@bean2030 @JeffreyBenson12 If you give a mouse a cookie…

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

Thanks @JeffreyBenson12

[HoffLocks @Hoff_Locks]

@mjaybrod @ProphetX @pikkitsports Yup good looks