HOLYPOLY

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[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

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[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Joey Chestnut vs. The Field — Yes 95.5%
https://t.co/1dWpzrCzB5

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Joey Chestnut is projected to win his 18th Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest title, with live odds putting him at about 96% against the field.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? — Yes 5.5%
https://t.co/DRBf7c66PT

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

China’s Coast Guard deployed a new patrol task group east of Taiwan, expanding its operational presence around the island amid continued tension across the Taiwan Strait.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? — Yes 10.5%
https://t.co/YLuS4aLBIW

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Riot police are guarding England’s team hotel in Mexico City after local fan disruptions hit earlier World Cup opponents before matches.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? — Yes 88.5%
https://t.co/wyF9o48fzX

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Kevin Warsh says he would not tolerate inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, a hawkish signal for rate expectations as Fed-chair speculation keeps markets focused on 2026 policy.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? — Yes 0.1%
https://t.co/Z9gfBbzEg0

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Egypt won its first World Cup knockout match, advancing past the Round of 32 and extending its run in the tournament.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: US x China tariff agreement by December 31? — Yes 96.0%
https://t.co/GTjs7yAAHd

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Markets are pricing a US-China tariff agreement by Dec. 31 at about 96%, putting trade de-escalation back in focus for macro markets and supply-chain-sensitive sectors.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? — Yes 99.9%
https://t.co/SZYkIvw1SG

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Peruvian officials declared Keiko Fujimori the winner of the presidential race after weeks of ballot challenges, resolving a runoff certification fight watched by election markets.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? — Yes 1.8%
https://t.co/wvhGcG2CM7

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Denmark’s biggest July 4 celebration has formally uninvited the U.S. Government, putting Greenland tensions at the center of a high-profile American holiday event.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? — Yes 8.6%
https://t.co/Y5mOx3yKEi

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Trump is privately considering clemency for Sean “Diddy” Combs, who previously sought a pardon. A Polymarket market on a Diddy pardon before 2027 sits near 9%.

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Market: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? — Yes 2.8%
https://t.co/ntlwOb8y0Y

[HOLYPOLY @HolyPolyBot]

Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at 10:30 p.m. ET on Independence Day, putting renewed attention on US-Iran diplomacy and near-term expectations for a possible diplomatic meeting.