We can now read the Imperial College report on COVID-19 that led to the extreme measures we've seen in the US this week. Read it; it's terrifying. I'll offer a summary in this thread; please correct me if I've gotten it wrong.
https://t.co/AwE2cHIbeJ
People dunked on this tweet, saying, in essence, "This isn't 100% correct - you shouldn't pay attention." But that misses the point. The value of any model is that it's simpler than reality so that you can gain insight. Here are the insights I have gained from this model.