India Intentions- Andhra Pradesh Weekly Tracker - This week a Chitralahari
Being part of grand alliance, how does BJP impact 2024 Andhra Pradesh election outcome?
47% says BJP will improve chances of TDP-JSP alliance winning...
44% says BJP will worsen chances of TDP-JSP alliance winning...
9% says BJP doesn't have any impact ...
6.5% of YSRCP voters believe that BJP will help TDP-JSP alliance defeat YSRCP
9% of TDP-JSP voters believe that BJP will worsen the chances of TDP-JSP alliance defeating YSRCP..
57% of neutral voters believe that BJP will help TDP-JSP alliance defeat YSRCP...
#indiaintentions #andhrapradesheelctions #apweeklytracker
India Intentions- Andhra Pradesh Weekly Tracker - This week a Chitralahari
Thinking about the way how CM Jagan Mohan Reddy delivered governance, would people vote Jagan again out of gratitude or would they not vote out of regret?
#indiaintentions#andhrapradesheelctions #apweeklytracker
India Intentions- Andhra Pradesh Weekly Tracker - This week a Chitralahari
Out of all the 99 seats that TDP-JSP alliance announced this week, How many seats can TDP-JSP alliance win?
YCP Voters predict that 37 out of 99 seats can be won by TDP-JSP Alliance.
TDP-JSP Alliance Voters predict that 78 out of 99 seats can be won by TDP-JSP Alliance.
Neutral Voters predict that 61 out of 99 seats can be won by TDP-JSP Alliance.
On an average, Voters predict that 57 out of 99 seats can be won by TDP-JSP Alliance #Indiaintentions #AndhraPradeshEelctions #APWeeklytracker
This week Chitralahari:
How strongly AP electorate is polarised when choosing a leader to vote for in the upcoming Assembly Elections?
48% Negatively polarized 36% Postively Polarized 16% Not Polarized at all.
Out of 48% natively polarized voters,
23% are polarized due to hatred towards Chandrababu Naidu
18% are polarized due to hatred towards YS Jagan
7% are polarized due to hatred towards Pawan Kalyan
Out 36% positively polarized voters
12% are polarized due to extreme liking for Chandrababu Naidu
14% are polarized due to extreme liking for YS Jagan
10% are polarized due to extreme liking for Pawan Kalyan #apweeklytracker #2024APElections #AndhraPradeshElections2024 #indiaintentions
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 13th November 2023*
*Perception on 24 Hour Free Power to Farmers*
82% voters believe that “Availability of Electricity” and “Free Power to Farmers” has improved in the last 10 years when compared to previous years.
Out of these 82%, 73% of the voters are happy about the way 24 Hours Free Power to farmers is delivered. Only 46% of the voter believe that quality 3-Phase power is given to farmers. A meagre 11% of the voters believe that 3-hour free power is enough for farming.
Further, 58% of the voters believe that the current situation of 24 Hour Free Power to Farmers will be changed if the government is changed. 51% voters believe that Congress will give only 3-5 Hours of Free Power to Farmers if Congress comes to power. A total of 87% of the voters DO NOT believe that Congress is giving 24 Hours Free Power to Farmers in the states where they are in the government.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023 Elections*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 42%, Congress is 35% and BJP is 16%. The HUNG believers are at 4% and those who are NOT SURE are at 3%
BJP is the biggest gainer of the week as their BC CM narrative has dominated the news and it forced BRS and Congress to speak about BCs coupled with PM Modi’s visit to Hyderabad addressing the SC Meeting. BJP gained 3 points from the last week. Even though few glitches in ticket distribution, their moves have improved their perceived winning chances.
BRS gained one percentage point from the last week. In addition to the narrative around 24 Hour Free Power to Farmers, Grand scale nominations of BRS candidates have played significant role
In spite of impressive nomination rallies, Congress has not gained anything this week. Congress is seen as they are on back foot due to BRS’s attack on them about 3- Hour power to Farmers. In addition, Nomination fiascos in few high profile constituencies have yielded mixed perceptions.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 6th November 2023*
*Perception on Kaleshwaram Project*
61% voters have positive outlook towards in Kaleshwaram project, while only 29% of the voters believe that it is a bad project and burden for the state. Over All, 41% of the voters say that Kaleshwaram project and the way the state handled the project has impact in their voting decision. 22% of the voters believe that corruption happened during design and construction of the project. Further 21% of the voters believe that Kaleshwaram is an EXPENSIVE project and it is costly affair for the government to operate and maintain.
In addition, 34% of the voters say that it is a much needed project for Telangana and 37% believe it changed overall irrigation scenario in Telangana for better. Further, 57% of the voters perceive that agriculture produce in the state has improved multi-fold in the recent years and it is all because of Kaleshwaram Project.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023 Elections*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 41%, Congress is 35% and BJP is 13%. The HUNG believers are at 7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 4%
All the three major parties – BRS, Congress and BJP - have gained 1% each from last week as all the three parties have switched gears in campaign and started attacking each other aggressively. The biggest blow came from BJP on Kaleshwaram’s recent damage at Medigadda. This narrative has put BJP back on the race.
While Congress heavily relied on new joinings and Rahul Gandhi meetings, their cumulative efforts have made them perform better this week. While BJP had lost leaders mainly to Congress and some to BRS, the impact of the new joinings is yet to be realised by the public.
While BRS also had good week in terms of joinings, their confrontation with Congress and BJP on Kaleshwaram project had dominated this week’s narratives and people started believing that BJP is also catching up to be the contender for BRS. KCR public meetings and his attacks in Congress started yielding better results for them.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 29th October 2023*
*Perception on Winnability of Congress Candidates*
53% voters believe that all the candidates announced by Congress party so far, are the best and strong candidates in the available options.
Out of these 53%, 47% perceive that Congress candidates will give tough fight to BRS Candidates. 34% of the voters perceive that Congress candidates can capitalize on BRS MLA Anti-Incumbency. 17% of the voters perceive that the Congress candidates have the ability to persuade Neutral Voters.
Further, 41% believe that the Congress candidates will get maximum Cadre and Secondary leaders support. 28% of the voters perceive that Congress candidates can actually mobilize the “CRUCIAL” resources needed to win. And, 14% of these voters think, that most of the Congress candidates may not stay with Congress, IF Congress falls short of Majority after the election.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023 Elections*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 40%, Congress is 34% and BJP is 12%. The HUNG believers are at 8% and those who are NOT SURE are at 6%
Congress is the biggest gainers of the week. They have gained 2% of the perception from last week as they have put up strong candidates to fight election and are successful in persuading leaders from BRS and BJP to join Congress. While the dissent is brewing from the leaders who have not got the tickets in Congress, it is not yet reached to a level that it could impact the winning prospects of the Congress candidates.
BRS had lost 2% from last week due to the negative stories on Kaleshwaram project and a significant section of voters started to think that it could impact BRS winning prospects. This further aided by BRS secondary leadership’s joining Congress due to differences with BRS MLA Candidates.
BJP has also gained 2% from the last week as they have announced “BC Candidate as CM” if they come to power. Even though this is seen as a long shot, people are perceiving that BJP will get some BC vote share.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 22nd October 2023*
*Perception on BRS Election Manifesto Promises*
67% voters believe that BRS Election Manifesto promises are good policies and it is a good move by the BRS party to counter Congress Six Guarantees.
Out of these 67%, 61% perceive that BRS Manifesto promises have impact on their voting decision in upcoming Assembly Elections. 44% think that BRS Manifesto Promises “Can Bring BRS back to power for the third time”.
Further, 19% believe that these MAY NOT be implemented if BRS comes to power, again. 16% believe that those beneficiaries who are now benefitted by BRS government may not show gratitude and not vote for BRS. While 29% see BRS Manifesto as good promises but misses addressing youth segment that is crucial to election, 24% of the voters sees the BRS Manifesto is nothing new but the extension of existing successful policies.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023 Elections*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 42%, Congress is 32% and BJP is 10%. The HUNG believers are at 9% and those who are NOT SURE are at 7%
From last week, BRS gained 2% with their newly announced Election Manifesto. It is further helped by KCR’s public meetings and speeches attacking Congress. Congress lost 1% in winning majority perception due to disappointment in congress cadre about the announced 55 tickets. But, Rahul Gandhi’s Bus Yatra has given momentum to the cadre but failed to attract large crowds. Further, the narratives of the week primarily revolved around secondary leaders switching sides from BRS to Congress and Congress to BRS.
The “HUNG” believers grown by 2% as voters are perceiving that both Congress and BJP will put up a strong fight in defeating BRS. Neutral voters have dropped 2% and most of these are moved to BRS because of their latest manifesto.
There is no major movement in BJP since last week.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 15th October 2023*
*Voter Confidence in Winning Vote*
Out of all 83% of the voters who have made up their mind on who to vote, only 78% of the voters are confident that the party they are voting is actually winning. The voter confidence in winning vote across the state is 78%.
Out of all the voters those who are voting for BRS, 93% are confident that BRS is winning. Out of all the voters those who are voting for Congress, 68% are confident that Congress is winning. Out of all the voters who are voting for BJP, 45% are confident that BJP is winning.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 40%, Congress is 33% and BJP is 10%. The HUNG believers are at 7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 10%
From last week, Congress lost 1% in winning majority perception due to its inability to be decisive and announce candidates soon. Further, the narratives of the week primarily revolved around Congress internal fights specially demands on tickets to BCs. As a result, Congress lost 1% in Winning Perception and it moved to “NOT SURE” voters.
There is no major movement in BRS and BJP since last week.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 15th October 2023*
*Voter Confidence in Winning Vote*
Out of all 83% of the voters who have made up their mind on who to vote, only 78% of the voters are confident that the party they are voting is actually winning. The voter confidence in winning vote across the state is 78%.
Out of all the voters those who are voting for BRS, 93% are confident that BRS is winning. Out of all the voters those who are voting for Congress, 68% are confident that Congress is winning. Out of all the voters who are voting for BJP, 45% are confident that BJP is winning.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 40%, Congress is 33% and BJP is 10%. The HUNG believers are at 7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 10%
From last week, Congress lost 1% in winning majority perception due to its inability to be decisive and announce candidates soon. Further, the narratives of the week primarily revolved around Congress internal fights specially demands on tickets to BCs. As a result, Congress lost 1% in Winning Perception and it moved to “NOT SURE” voters.
There is no major movement in BRS and BJP since last week.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 8th October 2023*
*Perception on PM Modi Attacking CM KCR with Allegations*
As claimed by PM Modi in Nizamabad public address last week, 27% voters believe Modi’s allegation that CM KCR approached PM Modi to be part of NDA Alliance and Modi had rejected the idea. Further, 9% of the voters believe that KCR tried to seek Modi’s blessing to make CM KCR’s son, KT Rama Rao as the Chief Minister and 34% of the Voters believe that CM KCR funded Congress in Karnataka Elections as claimed by Modi.
19% of the voters think that PM Modi can defeat CM KCR in upcoming Assembly Elections. In addition, 31% of the voters believe CM KCR and his family had looted Telangana as stated by PM Modi and 24% of the voters believe that PM Modi will bring out CM KCR’s alleged corruption.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 40%, Congress is 34% and BJP is 10%. The HUNG believers are at 7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 9%
From last week, BJP gained 2% in winning majority perception due to PM Modi’s back to back tour of Telangana and attacking KCR and his politics like never before. The narratives of the week primarily revolved around Modi’s attacks and announcement of Turmeric Board, Tribal University and Krishna Tribunal.
As a result, Congress lost 1% in Winning Perception to BJP since last week. 1% of “NOT SURE” voters have moved to BJP and another 1% voters moved to “HUNG” voters. With PM Modi’s aggressive speech and straight attacks on CM KCR, people started to give BJP and the possibility of a HUNG Assembly a serious chance.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
@KTRBRS@revanth_anumula@kishanreddybjp@INCTelangana@BJP4Telangana@BRSparty
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 1st October 2023*
*Neutral Voters of Telangana and Their Preferences*
38% voters of Telangana are Neutral Voters and doesn’t have any political affiliations.
Out of these 38%, 23% voters are preferring to vote based on Credibility of the various parties than their promises. For 22% voters, Anger over a party or a leader is driving their vote choice than hope they create. 26% of the voters are evaluating the voting choice based more on what is promised and delivered Retrospectively than the Prospective promise.
Further, 28% voters want to vote based more on the Leader competing to be the Chief Minister than their MLA Candidates. 20% Voters are basing their decision on how the political offering meets their self-interest than the community interest. 24% of the voters want to go with the flow and prefer to be part of rising wave than creating a wave themselves.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 40%, Congress is 35% and BJP is 8%. The HUNG believers are at 6% and those who are NOT SURE are at 11%
From last week, Congress gained 1.9% in winning majority perception with their continued campaign on Six Guarantees. The narratives of the week primarily revolved around high profile joinings from BRS. As a result, “HUNG” voters are moving towards Congress and creating a momentum for it. BJP has lost 1% since last week as there is no major noteworthy activity from them. BRS and NOT SURE voters stayed more of less the same from last week.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
@BRSparty@INCTelangana@BJP4Telangana@KTRBRS@revanth_anumula@kishanreddybjp
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 24th September 2023*
*Perception on Congress Six Guarantees Announced by Sonia Gandhi*
58% voters believe that Congress’s Six Guarantees are good policies and it is a good move by the Congress party.
Out of these 58%, 46% perceive that Sonia Gandhi’s announcement of 6 guarantees to fulfil if Congress comes to power impacts their voting decision in upcoming Assembly Elections. 37% think that 6 Guarantees “Can Bring Congress to Power”.
Further, 16% believe that these CANNOT be guaranteed to implement if Congress comes to power. 24% believe that 6 Guarantees are good policies but Congress Party is not winning the election. While 38% see 6 Guarantees as good policies but not implementable, 26% of the voters see as these policies lead to corruption.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 39.7%, Congress is 33.1% and BJP is 9%. The HUNG believers are at 7.7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 10.5%
From last week, Congress gained 2.8% in winning majority perception with their grand September 17th Public Meeting and the announcement of Six Guarantees. The narratives primarily revolved around Congress’s CWC meeting and their manifesto for Telangana Elections.
The Congress is closing the perception gap between BRS and itself and further making the contest for Telangana 2023 Elections a bi-polar fight between BRS and Congress. As a result, “HUNG” and “NOT SURE” voters are moving towards Congress and creating a momentum for it.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
[email protected]
*By Team Telangana Intentions.*
#TelanganaElections2023 #telanganaintentions #telanganaweeklytracker
@KTRBRS@BRSparty@INCTelangana@revanth_anumula@BJP4Telangana@kishanreddybjp
Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 24th September 2023
Perception on Congress Six Guarantees Announced by Sonia Gandhi
58% voters believe that Congress’s Six Guarantees are good policies and it is a good move by the Congress party.
Out of these 58%, 46% perceive that Sonia Gandhi’s announcement of 6 guarantees to fulfil if Congress comes to power impacts their voting decision in upcoming Assembly Elections. 37% think that 6 Guarantees “Can Bring Congress to Power”.
Further, 16% believe that these CANNOT be guaranteed to implement if Congress comes to power. 24% believe that 6 Guarantees are good policies but Congress Party is not winning the election. While 38% see 6 Guarantees as good policies but not implementable, 26% of the voters see as these policies lead to corruption.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
The Winning Perceptions for BRS is 39.7%, Congress is 33.1% and BJP is 9%. The HUNG believers are at 7.7% and those who are NOT SURE are at 10.5%
From last week, Congress gained 2.8% in winning majority perception with their grand September 17th Public Meeting and the announcement of Six Guarantees. The narratives primarily revolved around Congress’s CWC meeting and their manifesto for Telangana Elections.
The Congress is closing the perception gap between BRS and itself and further making the contest for Telangana 2023 Elections a bi-polar fight between BRS and Congress. As a result, “HUNG” and “NOT SURE” voters are moving towards Congress and creating a momentum for it.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
[email protected]
By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
@KTRBRS@BRSparty@revanth_anumula@INCTelangana@kishanreddybjp@BJP4Telangana
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 17th September 2023*
*Perception on ED Notices to MLC Kavitha In Liquor SCAM*
47% voters believe that ED notices to MLC Kavitha in liquor scam impacts their voting decision in upcoming Assembly Elections.
Over All, 28% believe that BJP is using ED and Liquor scam to threaten BRS with a false case and 18% believe that BJP will soon arrest MLC Kavitha. 21% believe that BRS and BJP have an internal arrangement and have colluded to no to arrest MLC Kavitha.
While 13% see it as a distraction created by both BJP in the Centre and BRS in the State, 11% think that the whole events around Liquor Scam and MLC Kavitha is a BRS ploy to evoke sentiment and get benefitted in upcoming elections.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
From last week, BRS gained 1% and Congress gained 1.3% in winning majority perception as this week’s narratives primarily revolved around BRS and Congress.
In continuation to the change seen in last week, the “ALT-BRS” believers have lost hope in BJP and reduced to negligible as most of them moved to HUNG and NOT SURE voters. The contest for Telangana elections for 2023 increasingly becoming a fight between BRS and Congress, especially since last two weeks.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023
@BJP4Telangana@INCTelangana@BRSparty@KTRBRS@revanth_anumula@kishanreddybjp
*Telangana Intentions – Weekly Election Tracker – 17th September 2023*
*Perception on ED Notices to MLC Kavitha In Liquor SCAM*
47% voters believe that ED notices to MLC Kavitha in liquor scam impacts their voting decision in upcoming Assembly Elections.
Over All, 28% believe that BJP is using ED and Liquor scam to threaten BRS with a false case and 18% believe that BJP will soon arrest MLC Kavitha. 21% believe that BRS and BJP have an internal arrangement and have colluded to no to arrest MLC Kavitha.
While 13% see it as a distraction created by both BJP in the Centre and BRS in the State, 11% think that the whole events around Liquor Scam and MLC Kavitha is a BRS ploy to evoke sentiment and get benefitted in upcoming elections.
*Perception on Winning Majority in 2023*
From last week, BRS gained 1% and Congress gained 1.3% in winning majority perception as this week’s narratives primarily revolved around BRS and Congress.
In continuation to the change seen in last week, the “ALT-BRS” believers have lost hope in BJP and reduced to negligible as most of them moved to HUNG and NOT SURE voters. The contest for Telangana elections for 2023 increasingly becoming a fight between BRS and Congress, especially since last two weeks.
Stay Tuned for Weekly Updates.
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By Team Telangana Intentions.
#telanganaweeklytracker #telanganaintentions #TelanganaElections2023