@DickJackman1@saikatc@kai_newkirk The poll was a random sample of 424 AZ04 voters, not AFWH members. The poll from the firm hired by Stanton is certainly one-sided, and had a sample size of 422.
Our stunning poll in #AZ04 shows a rapidly changing primary between activist @kai_newkirk and AIPAC-backed Congressman Greg Stanton.
After a June Stanton poll showed the incumbent leading 56-23, we find his lead cut to 46-38—and Newkirk up 41-30 among those yet to vote!
@Renee05208714@PollTracker2024@AFWHpac They don't do the analysis, that was AFWH internal. But they are much more than a call center: they monitor the sampling for balance, programming and quality control on the survey instrument, coding and data processing, text to web outreach.
@Renee05208714@PollTracker2024 Braun Research conducts the highly rated Fox and Monmouth polls.
This poll is from an independent group, @AFWHpac. Full findings here: https://t.co/nHWdj3Qz3a
HUGE DEVELOPMENT! Independent pollster finds @kai_newkirk barely behind in #AZ04 and leading with those who haven’t voted yet. Voters shift dramatically to Newkirk after learning about Stanton’s AIPAC and corporate donors. High ED turnout = Newkirk win!
New poll by backers of Kai Newkirk finds the insurgent candidate trailing among voters who already voted in AZ04 but well ahead among the younger ones yet to cast ballots. Long shot but within striking distance.
When voters learn about Stanton's votes to arm Israel, donations from AIPAC, insurance and big tech—and Newkirk's support for a wealth tax and Medicare for All, Newkirk's lead surges to 65%-17% with those yet to vote.
See full details: https://t.co/822xa7molu
Newkirk vs. AIPAC pet Stanton is tight and rapidly moving. In a string of progressive victories, we've also seen near-miss disappointments in races that flew under the radar, like #COSen and #NY06. Now is the time to mobilize support to bring home another insurgent win in #AZ04!
We find Newkirk's rise powered by a strong desire for change. By 45-34, #AZ04 voters want Dems to replace Hakeem Jeffries as leader if the party takes back Congress.
National progressive stars have huge favorability, including Bernie Sanders (86), AOC (83) and Mamdani (81).
Our stunning poll in #AZ04 shows a rapidly changing primary between activist @kai_newkirk and AIPAC-backed Congressman Greg Stanton.
After a June Stanton poll showed the incumbent leading 56-23, we find his lead cut to 46-38—and Newkirk up 41-30 among those yet to vote!
#OTD in 1804, Aaron Burr shoots Alexander Hamilton in their infamous duel. The wounded Hamilton is brought to friend William Bayard’s house in #GrrenwichVillage, where he succumbs to his wounds. It’s one of many sites on our new Revolutionary War StoryMap: https://t.co/hn4l7ZpDOS
“The Twins” of Commerce Street are among Greenwich Village's most recognizable homes, combining early federal style simplicity with a grand Second Empire makeover. Learn the history behind these iconic houses + the legend surrounding them: https://t.co/4CrxfVR7Cx
Israel assassinated Mohammad al-Wahidi, the manager of the Egyptian Relief Committee in Gaza.
The strike was carried out just one hour before Egypt’s World Cup match began. The committee had been organizing public screenings of World Cup matches for displaced families across Gaza.
Does preservation matter if you’re only preserving a building and not necessarily the use that makes the building significant? We tackle that thorny question, and the resounding answer is yes, with some amazing examples in our neighborhoods that show why: https://t.co/GtVgx4Fkfa
#OTD in 1868, the Ninth Avenue Elevated begins operation, running through the West Village. The world‘s first truly elevated rail line, it utterly transformed our neighborhood and how New York grew. Learn more: https://t.co/0BQdRcGec4