Danny Marques | Investing Informant

Building world’s 1st ₿itcoin & AI IR firm @OGAdvisors | Research @Finblueprint | @VillanovaU ‘16

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

My working thesis is that the market, particularly across AI and data center infrastructure, is increasingly pricing in the probability of a Democratic sweep in November. If this plays out I suspect much of the political and regulatory uncertainty will have already been discounted by the time we get to the midterms.

My base case is that we establish a bottom ahead of the election, see some consolidation as the results and policy implications are digested, and then enter a much more constructive environment heading into 2027.

The underlying demand for compute and power infrastructure isn't going away, irrespective of who controls Congress. I think the market is conflating near-term political uncertainty with a structural impairment to the LT investment thesis.

Once that uncertainty begins to clear, attention should shift back toward fundamentals, execution, and capital deployment. Assuming liquidity conditions are supportive, I think smaller-cap infrastructure names could be among the biggest beneficiaries of that rotation.

In other words, I suspect the political cycle is influencing the timing of the opportunity far more than its underlying economics. Yes I know yields are higher too...but guess what? Get used to it that's the environment we're in and until economic productivity deteriorates it won't really affect the market as bad as you think (otherwise indexes wouldn't be at ATHs)

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@JonahLupton Price leads fundamentals and $BE did a 30x in 2 years. After parabolic moves like that should expect a -50/60% drop at least no matter what the fundamentals suggest

[3 random followers @scott32061303]

IREN - Almost to the spot where I've been calling for a bounce. No clue if we get it or not, it's just what it's done twice before. What IS different this time is that it's formed a not so clean head and shoulders. I really like clean setups but am continuing to do my best to provide my own play by play here. Currently, I believe we will bounce around $24.50, however, I'm afraid we are targeting the bubbled swing low longer term. If we were to reach that target, it would look like the major trendline was broken, just a heads up!

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

Make sure you tune in

[Big Digital Energy (NASDAQ: BGDE) @BigDigital]

$BGDE will release its Q3 2026 financial results after market close on Thursday, November 5, 2026.

Management will host a conference call and webcast on Thursday, November 5 at 5:00 p.m. ET to discuss the results.

Register here: https://t.co/USP8bZsN9W

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@QuantumSkynet sure not the same but I'm sure you were positioned for the entire move in $BWET

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

It's going to look comical in retrospect if $IREN and $CIFR find support along these long-term rising trendlines before entering their next major expansion phase.

The underlying fundamentals of AI infrastructure remain as bullish as ever, but the market is undergoing a broader recalibration of expectations, particularly for companies that have yet to fully deliver on their development pipelines.

It's not necessarily questioning whether the capacity is needed. It's repricing the cost of capital, execution risk, and the time required to convert development pipelines into contracted, revenue-generating infrastructure. A repricing of execution risk is normal, and sensible.

Both charts are approaching technically significant areas of support. I continue to believe we're looking at a cyclical correction within a much larger structural expansion.

@cantonmeow @CrypticTrades_ @Freedom_By_40 @Fibonacci_TA @chad_ventures @AlemzadehC

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@reelyphishy should've taken you up on offer only saw this now

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

Nebius $NBIS has now recovered and quickly bounced back to $200+. It will face a challenge to get past $229-260.

I don't expect to see a new ATH anytime soon, in fact I see it form a lower high and you'll be able to buy this near or lower than $150 again in the next few months

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

Nebius $NBIS hit a local "top" where I said it would 2 months ago. Long-term this will be fine but I wouldn't be so quick to start a position here just yet.

The market needs time to digest the move after a 10x and we've only now just got a glimpse of that. Think $100-130s are a great for long-term investors and should be the area of interest

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@MajusiMr

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@WSM_97

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

The importance of the 0.786 fibonnaci retracement on any stock is your best friend. I don't care what your fundamentals say, a stock almost NEVER clears through this fib on its first attempt in years after losing it during a secular downtrend

Moderna $MRNA

@cantonmeow

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

Gotta give credit where it's due. Big Mike has absolutely crushed it getting the counts right on these HPC/AI stocks all year $IREN $CIFR $HUT $WULF

@Michael_EWpro

Not sure why he has me blocked tho lol!

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@Lucelex I'm barely 30 lol

If that happens, then at least I'm rich in other areas of life thankfully :)

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@Lucelex I'm looking at the next 10 years not the next few months

why sell?

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@Terryffwcs The when is not too important to me as I'm in this for the long-run but I'm thinking 2028-2030

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

If we're going to be purely technical about it, it's entirely possible they run $IREN to $19 and that's where it'll bottom right at the trendline, similar to how Bitcoin bitcoin:native formed a bottom

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

I got a lot of criticism when I said that many of these neoclouds like $NBIS were NOT going to see all time highs again for a while

We're entering a period where discounts and real opportunities are beginning to emerge but notice how FEAR is controlling the narrative. That's the signal

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

Nebius $NBIS has now recovered and quickly bounced back to $200+. It will face a challenge to get past $229-260.

I don't expect to see a new ATH anytime soon, in fact I see it form a lower high and you'll be able to buy this near or lower than $150 again in the next few months

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@ChrisCamillo smart money ain't that smart

[xenomecha @xenomecha]

@cantonmeow made a great video recently about the importance of the 0.886 fib, especially when a stock pushes past the 1 multiple and doesn't extend all the way to the 1.618.

He may be right (once again), as $IREN is showing early signs of wanting to revisit that same fib at around $19.40.

It would be one more to add to the list.

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@xenomecha @cantonmeow tell me more 😘

https://t.co/GrfV6QiELz

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

The market is running a remarkably similar playbook to what we saw with Bitcoin bitcoin:native near $58K, only now we're seeing it play out across AI infrastructure stocks like $CIFR

Look at the similarities in these 2 monthly charts.

bitcoin:native found its bottom around the 0.887 fib, while $CIFR has now broken below its equivalent level with the next major support around the 0.786 at $7.

Both exhibit characteristics of an expanded flat correction within a much larger bullish structure. Notice how FEAR tends to PEAK around these levels, when investors increasingly mistake a cyclical correction for a structural breakdown.

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

@JureUrsic love this might quote it haha!

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

The market is running a remarkably similar playbook to what we saw with Bitcoin bitcoin:native near $58K, only now we're seeing it play out across AI infrastructure stocks like $CIFR

Look at the similarities in these 2 monthly charts.

bitcoin:native found its bottom around the 0.887 fib, while $CIFR has now broken below its equivalent level with the next major support around the 0.786 at $7.

Both exhibit characteristics of an expanded flat correction within a much larger bullish structure. Notice how FEAR tends to PEAK around these levels, when investors increasingly mistake a cyclical correction for a structural breakdown.

[Danny Marques | Investing Informant @Invst_Informant]

$IREN vs $CIFR have two very different but also similar technical structures. Both have endured substantial corrections amid the broader weakness in AI infrastructure, but an important distinction in where each sits relative to its long-term technical structure.

$IREN hit its macro 1.272 fib at $69 before this correction. A correction of this magnitude isn't particularly unusual, especially following the first test of an important macro extension.

$CIFR fell short of its 1.272 extension at $42 and has now retraced to its 0.887 fib which converges with a significant historical demand zone and the vicinity of its longer-term ascending trendline.

From a purely technical perspective, CIFR's is already testing, and marginally undercutting, an area of support that IREN has yet to revisit on a comparable basis.

For IREN, that equivalent 0.887 retracement sits near $19.40, roughly 30% below current levels, and coincides with the broader trendline structure I've drawn.

That doesn't mean IREN needs to trade there. But it illustrates why I see a more immediately identifiable technical risk/reward setup developing in CIFR.

Sentiment across AI infrastructure has deteriorated considerably, and we're seeing the kind of fear and volatility that historically accompanies important inflection points.

But the indicators I track aren't yet suggesting that the selling is conclusively over. Both of these have lost important monthly EMAs like the 21m EMA which in my experience ends a trend. IREN would need to reclaim $34 by month-end and CIFR $13. Until that happens, one needs to remain open to further weakness in months ahead, even if we experience a sharp relief rally.

And yet, when I consider what these businesses are building, their expanding contractual commitments, and the earnings potential emerging over the next 12-18 months, it's difficult not to be interested at these prices.

It reminds me of April 2025, when several names across the sector lost important technical levels, sentiment collapsed, and what appeared to be a breakdown ultimately developed into one of the more attractive entry opportunities of the cycle. I've followed this sector long enough to recognize that the greatest asymmetries come when the prevailing narrative becomes overwhelmingly negative and price begins discounting outcomes considerably worse than what the underlying fundamentals are showing.

It's not supposed to be comfortable. But I do think we're in an area where the longer-term risk/reward is becoming increasingly compelling, particularly for investors who can look beyond the next several months.

Just be disciplined in your accumulation, position sizing, and be patient.