One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫

Competitive IPSC pistol shooter, beef farmer with cats
Contributor to The Daily Examiner @dailyexaminernz

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

This is not a "new economic theory", in fact a very old one but it requires accounting for human behaviour & negotiation, and a knowledge of transfer pricing practices.

Level 1: US govt takes in more tax from imported goods, which become more expensive. The assumption here is that suppliers of imported goods pass on all or some of the higher tariffs. There is also the assumption that as a consequence, the demand for some goods falls (depending on demand elasticity for the particular good) so much that it becomes uneconomic for the supplier to continue to sell into the US. This is the level at which many are freaking out.

Level 2: Suppliers of imported goods realise demand for their product has fallen in many cases and so possibly absorb more of the tariff &/or reduce their (foreign, non-US) input costs to keep any increase as low as possible, so as to not lose too much market share to US-supplied goods. US consumers switch to US-supplied goods which are now priced more attractively in comparison with imported goods. This increases demand for US-manufactured & grown goods, which in turn improves the businesses of US manufacturers & farmers. Initially, ceteris paribus, volume simply increases & profitability grows. Then US businesses will have funds to expand & increase their workforce. Unemployment goes down. US govt increases company tax take while tariff revenue falls, but unemployment costs also fall.

Level 3: Suppliers of imported goods try to avoid tariffs by switching some or all of their manufacturing to the US, for US-supplied goods. This was seen almost immediately by companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor that announced new investment for semiconductor manufacturing in the US. Of course, in Taiwan Semiconductor's case, the move is simultaneously an insurance against any geopolitical changes (like heightened tension in the South China Sea) that might hinder or block shipping of their product. Hyundai's proposed new steel plant in Louisiana is an example of new manufacturing of components, using US-sourced raw materials, to supply existing and expanded manufacturing capacity in the US. This produces more jobs in the US, lowering unemployment. Once again, US govt increases company tax take as above.

Level 4: Companies that have benefiting hugely from transfer pricing practices will now repatriate their offshore profits to avoid tariffs. Apple is an excellent example. Classic transfer pricing - it has been manufacturing iPhones in China for a very low cost (US$5 or thereabouts?), which it then "sells" to a subsidiary in a zero tax jurisdiction. That subsidiary then "sells" to the US subsidiary for a vastly higher amount that is closer to what the end consumer pays, say US$1000. The US subsidiary then sells the product to the US consumer for say, US$1010, thus reporting a profit of something less than US$10 (less US marketing, admin & logistics costs) on which tax is paid. Thus there is a significant profit that the overall corporate entity accumulates that is effectively quarantined in the zero tax jurisdiction. The interplay between higher tariffs & lower corporate tax will make it far more profitable for such companies to repatriate their offshore profits and switch manufacturing to the US. Apple has already seen this and announced a US$500b investment. Once again, unemployment goes down, US govt increases tax take etc etc.

Level 5: The increased tariffs break the status quo and force US trading partners to the negotiating table, not just on trade but in a myriad of other areas. The US is such a massive global consumer that its buying power simply cannot be ignored. This is a huge geopolitical advantage for the US.

All of this goes beyond mere economic theory of course. Also, there will be far wider effects I haven't thought of but which far smarter people, like Scott Bessent & the rest of Trump's team, have already mapped out. Timing with China's economic downturn is one massive potential disrupter. A potential massive depopulation in the next decade in developed countries (which Elon Musk & Edward Dowd have referred to numerous times) is another. I hope this is a sufficiently clear explanation.

[Penny Marie NZ @pennymarienz]

You won’t hear ANY of this in NZ media. Ask yourself why that is.

[The Uri @uricohenisrael]

The UN Security Council meeting today is going to be chaired by a person who twitted “Heil Hitler” two days ago.

[Right over Left Everytime @RightSide_Uk]

34-year-old Katie Fox was stabbed in the neck in Birmingham and has died.
Djeison Rafael is charged with her murder.
Just two days earlier, 19-year-old Lily Whitehouse was stabbed to death in Oldbury.
Mohammed Azim is charged with her murder. The same Mohammed Azim who previously served 11 years for manslaughter and 16 years for three rapes in 2013.
Every day, one of our wives, daughters, sisters and mothers is murdered or raped by men who never needed to be here.
The system imported the killers, gave them early release, and left our women to pay the price.
Enough.
They have to go. All of them.

[Trevor Hughes @TrevorH53038397]

Sonovamin, The Good Oil.

[Lozzy B 🇦🇺𝕏 @TruthFairy131]

Indian immigrant Shyam Acharya, faked being a doctor for 11 YEARS in Australia.

Acharya stole the identity of an Indian doctor, obtained Australian citizenship, gained registration with the NSW Medical Board & worked at FOUR NSW hospitals.

More foreign fake doctors are frequently emerging & many are getting away with it. Most are from India.

Who is overseeing this?

How does this even happen in a country like Australia? 😡

Many of these doctors aren’t just faking being trained for a week, or a month, or a year… in some cases, it’s more than a decade.

And they wonder why Aussies ask to see Aussie doctors. They call it racist while other racial groups ask for doctors of their racial group.

It is about trust & safety.

We once had a high trust society but now we need to worry about fake doctors.

To check whether a doctor is registered or not go to the Australian Health Practitioner Regulation Agency website.

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

But will @NZNationalParty stop the dangerous social media Bill?

[Laura Aboli Official @LauraAboli_X]

Signal is 100% right.

The greatest trick governments ever pulled was convincing people that freedom and privacy are obstacles to safety.

What we are witnessing is not child protection. It is the construction of a surveillance architecture that will eventually monitor, profile, categorize and control every aspect of our digital lives.

Today it is age verification and content scanning, tomorrow it is digital identity, then financial monitoring, then behavioural scoring, then access to services conditioned on compliance.

The destination is not difficult to see. It is a technocratic system where every interaction is tracked, every transaction recorded, every opinion assessed and every citizen reduced to a data profile managed by governments and corporations working hand in hand.

A form of digital neo feudalism where a small unelected class controls the platforms, the infrastructure, the money and ultimately the boundaries of acceptable behaviour.

The argument that only criminals should fear surveillance is as absurd as saying only criminals need freedom of speech. Privacy is not evidence of wrongdoing, it is the foundation of human dignity, individual sovereignty and genuine liberty.

The UK government is asking citizens to accept the presumption of guilt simply to communicate online. To prove who they are, verify their age and allow their devices to inspect their content before they can participate in modern society.

History teaches us that every power granted to the state eventually expands beyond its initial mandate. The technology introduced to detect one form of content today will be used to police entirely different forms of expression tomorrow.

The choice before us is not between privacy and child protection, it is between preserving a free society, or constructing the infrastructure of a digital prison that will further enslave us.

[Media Man @TheWarRoomNZ]

@2ETEKA Indeed infiltration, #NZ National Council of Women, Vanisa Dhiru 'explicitly including transgender women'

@MarkMitchellMP @pennymarienz @bobmccoskrienz @aniobrien @chrislynchmedia @kaiviti_cam @aunty @Dazmeister1000 @ThePosieParker @jk_rowling @rosey_nz

https://t.co/BkxVI4BOiQ

[Katrina Biggs @KatrinaBiggs2]

So, it seems like Rakesh Naidoo's wife, Vanisa Dhir, was instrumental in corrupting the National Council of Women with gender ideology, when she was president back in 2019. She and her husband sound like a pair of DEI menaces.

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

@Strange_G I have no doubt that the bureaucrats & politicians are owned.

[Diana Alastair💚🤍💜 ⚢ ❌❌✡️ @sappholives83]

In the UK, 11 trans people have been murdered since 2000.

In the same country, from 2009 - 2021, 16 women were murdered by serving or retired police officers. Not killed by officers in the line of duty — flat out murdered.

In 2022 alone, 11 British women were killed by male strangers. 12 were murdered by their own sons; 150 British women have been murdered by their own sons since 2012.

On average, a woman is murdered by a man in the UK once every 72 hours.

Where is the Day of Remembrance for the women murdered by their own sons? By their husbands, their fathers, their brothers? By serving police officers?

In the last 25 years, there have been nearly twice as many trans-identifying murderers than there have been murder victims - 20 murderers, versus 11 victims — and yet we’re told to believe that this is a genocide, while our own dead go ignored and unnamed.

These people are, per capita, the safest demographic in the UK, with a homicide rate of 0.38 per 100k (for women, it’s 0.50 per 100k, and for normal men, it’s 1.23.) but we’re supposed to believe that they’re being physically exterminated? Or is genocide another one of those words that has deliberately been stripped of its meaning, like “woman” and “female”?

Who gains when people are conditioned to roll their eyes at the word “genocide”? When “woman” has no meaning in law or policy? What is the end game here?

[Holyhekatuiteka @2ETEKA]

🚩FFS : David Seymour put out a press release calling out the murder of Henry Nowak and stupid identity politics and rules.

It appears that he’s forgotten championing (along with National) for Sikhs to be able to carry their daggers - even on a plane.

Winston Peters was the lone Politician who argued against allowing the carve outs, to which Seymour accused WP of being “culturally ignorant”.

Act and National both used their Indian MP’s - candidates to market the law/regulation change - Identity Politicking much?

[ ACT PRESS RELEASE Aug 14 2017]

“Winston Peters has yet again displayed ignorance of modern New Zealand when he attacked Sikhs’ pursuit to carry a kirpan, a ceremonial religious dagger in public places and workplaces, says David Seymour.

Winston yearns for the time Indians belonged in the corner dairy; in modern New Zealand, the Indian community is an important part of the economy, society, and culture.

ACT will ensure that in the next Parliament, we will ensure a bill is passed to allow Sikhs to wear the kirpan in public.”

[Herald August 14 2017]

As a Sikh, this is an attack my freedom of religion. Anyone who can’t tell the difference between a 2 metre long lethal weapon and a 10 centimetre ceremonial ornament needs to properly educate and inform themselves,” says ACT candidate, Bhupinder Singh” ENDS.

National list MP Kanwaljit Singh Bakshi has a private member's bill in the ballot to allow a baptised Sikh person to carry a kirpan in public places and workplaces, without this being an offence.

“Former PM John Key in 2015 said the Government was considering exempting kirpans from civil aviation rules, to allow them to be carried onboard and not stowed with luggage.

Those comments came after seven Sikh cricket fans were barred from watching a Cricket World Cup match at Eden Park because they were wearing kirpans.
A kirpan is a small sword or dagger, worn in a sheath on a strap or belt.

In August, a Sikh man was removed from an Air New Zealand flight from Christchurch to Invercargill, after another passenger noticed his kirpan.

Despite those problems, Peters said changing the Crimes Act to allow Sikhs to carry the kirpan would be a rule to favour them over others.

Perhaps it's time for a serious talk with the Sikh community to avoid people walking around with a dagger of cold hard steel."

ACT and National have always bowed to minorities and have been keen on mass immigration & replacing our culture and introducing a two tier society. Act have today introduced a policy for yet another visa pathway for immigrants - which avoids his little surcharge Seymour announced just the other week.

Worried about the Indian takeover ? DON’T VOTE ACT or NATIONAL … if they get this India FT deal through NZ as we know it will be finished.

ACT Press release 2017: https://t.co/OzfBUBLOPf

ACT Press release 2026
https://t.co/QIDX6wsldS

NZ Herald August 14 2017
https://t.co/ljm82cg2l7

[End Wokeness @EndWokeness]

Latin America since USAID defunding:

🇨🇱 Kast ("far right") wins in Chile
🇧🇴 Paz ("far right") wins in Bolivia
🇵🇪 Fujimori ("far right") wins in Peru
🇪🇨 Noboa ("far right") wins in Ecuador
🇭🇳 Asfura ("far right") wins in Honduras
🇨🇷 Fernandez ("far right") wins in Costa Rica

Extremely telling development

[Diana Alastair💚🤍💜 ⚢ ❌❌✡️ @sappholives83]

This fantastic video was made by @andysayshi1, and he would love to see it shared as widely as possible.

(he doesn’t even care about the credit, but i think he deserves a massive thank you)

[David Farrar @dpfdpf]

So Labour conspired with Naidoo over many months to run a special process just for him, to hide his intentions from Police.

Hipkins has made this far worse, by stating they didn't follow their normal process.

https://t.co/WQ8tFrTln3

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

@MarioNawfal The Strait accounts for 20% of the global oil trade so in reality, in time, supplies from other areas & routes will substitute. A drop in oil prices will come when sentiment catches up with reality.

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

@aniobrien Elliot is genuinely a New Zealand first person, not aligned with values that don't put NZ first. He is totally not globalist, he is not bought.

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

This is the "socialised healthcare" that is in New Zealand also. People in NZ have died in the Emergency waiting room, waiting for a ruptured appendix to be taken out.

[M.A. Rothman @MichaelARothman]

𝐒𝐇𝐄 𝐖𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐈𝐍 𝐅𝐎𝐑 𝐀 𝐊𝐍𝐄𝐄. 𝐒𝐇𝐄 𝐂𝐀𝐌𝐄 𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐖𝐈𝐓𝐇𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐀 𝐋𝐄𝐆. 𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐒 𝐈𝐒 𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 “𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄” 𝐇𝐄𝐀𝐋𝐓𝐇𝐂𝐀𝐑𝐄 𝐀𝐂𝐓𝐔𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘 𝐂𝐎𝐒𝐓𝐒

Roseanne Milburn, 61, of Winnipeg, had a routine procedure turn into an amputation — not because the surgery failed, but because Canada’s government-run system couldn’t find her a bed.

A surgeon at Winnipeg’s Health Sciences Centre removed dead tissue from her knee, then sent her to Concordia Hospital with the plan to bring her back that same day so a specialist could stitch the wound (CBC News). She was never brought back.

There was no bed at HSC. So she sat at Concordia with an 𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐰𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬, waiting for the system to make room.

As the video narrator put it: “𝘌𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘥𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘯 𝘸𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘊𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘥𝘢. 𝘕𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘊𝘶𝘣𝘢, 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘔𝘢𝘥𝘢𝘨𝘢𝘴𝘤𝘢𝘳, 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘢𝘳-𝘧𝘭𝘶𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘳𝘥-𝘸𝘰𝘳𝘭𝘥 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘺. 𝘕𝘰, 𝘯𝘰, 𝘯𝘰, 𝘪𝘯 𝘊𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘥𝘢.”

By the time a bed opened, the wound had rotted past saving. The doctors told her the leg couldn’t be salvaged. On a Friday in December, Roseanne Milburn lost her 𝐫𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐥𝐞𝐠 — over a missing hospital bed.

This is not a freak accident. It is the predictable output of a system that rations care by making people wait.

In 2025, the median Canadian waited 𝟐𝟖.𝟔 𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐬 from a GP referral to actual treatment (Fraser Institute). For orthopedic surgery — the exact category Milburn needed — the median wait is 𝟒𝟖.𝟔 𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐬. Nearly a full year. By design.

That is 222 percent longer than the 9.3-week wait Canadians faced in 1993 (Fraser Institute). The system isn’t getting better. It’s getting slower — and the waiting list itself becomes the rationing mechanism.

Defenders call it “𝘧𝘳𝘦𝘦”. It is not free. Roseanne Milburn paid for it. She paid with her leg.

Every politician selling “𝘔𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘈𝘭𝘭” is selling this — the bed that never opens, the specialist who never comes, the wound that turns black while a bureaucrat shuffles a list.

𝐀 𝐰𝐚𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐚 𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐚 𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐫 𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐚𝐜𝐡𝐞𝐝.

[Holyhekatuiteka @2ETEKA]

I bet Mark Mitchell now regrets not revealing the who was the Police senior who actioned an Investigation into the ‘Luxsingh’ facebook post.

Spoiler alert, NZ’s Sadiq Khan, Labours next great woke hope.

A nation wrecking slimeball.

[One of the Grumpy Few 🚜🔫 @IpscVictoria]

This is what has happened in New Zealand, especially for local body elections. Mail-in ballots & no voter ID required.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Once voting is this fraudulent, they can get whatever outcome they want, making a sham of democracy