Ben Vale

AI stocks • Bitcoin • S&P 500
Investing in the AI era.
Long-term focused. Research, markets & ideas.
Views are my own. Not financial advice.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@jukan05 Another sign that the semiconductor capex cycle is broadening beyond front-end fabs. Equipment, packaging and advanced integration are all becoming critical bottlenecks. 2027–2028 could be a very important ramp period.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@100trillionUSD 200WMA still matters. At $77K vs. ~$65K, BTC doesn’t look like a true cycle-bottom setup yet. Long-term bullish, short-term patient.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

Everyone seems worried about Monday.

I’m more interested in what gets cheaper if they’re right.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@mindsetdanni Discipline is hard today. Regret is harder tomorrow.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@TradingThomas3 AI panic feels overdone. A weak open could create better entries, not change the long-term thesis.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@MentoviaX The HBM ramp is accelerating. If $MU can scale capacity without sacrificing yield, 2027 could get very interesting.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@TheBTCTherapist Cycle multipliers have clearly been compressing as Bitcoin matures. If that trend continues, this cycle may be less about another crazy multiple and more about steady upside driven by liquidity and adoption. Even 2x–3x from the bottom would still be a huge move.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

One of the biggest earnings inflections in the market: $MU

FY2023:
Revenue: $15.5B
GAAP net loss: -$5.8B
Current analyst consensus:
FY2026 revenue: ~$130B
FY2027 revenue: ~$250B
FY2028 revenue: ~$280B
FY2027 net income estimates are already above $150B.

AI didn’t just improve Micron’s cycle.
It changed the economics of memory.
The real question now:
How long can tight supply and pricing power last?
Still bullish on $MU into 2027.

FY2026–FY2028 figures are analyst consensus estimates, not Micron guidance.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

The scale of this turnaround is incredible. From a $5.8B net loss in FY23 to Street estimates implying well over $150B in annual profit later in the cycle — AI has completely rewritten the economics of memory. The big question now is how long tight supply and pricing power can last.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@itsmichaelluu I’d actually welcome a September pullback. A reset here wouldn’t change the long-term thesis — it would just give patient investors better prices.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@babyfolio The 7,300% return is incredible, but helping people make better decisions may be the bigger achievement. That kind of impact is hard to measure. Respect.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

The memory shortage isn’t over.

AI demand keeps rising.
New supply takes years.

J.P. Morgan says the shortage could take years to unwind.

Still bullish on memory into 2027. $MU

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

AI needs more memory.
Memory needs more capacity.
Micron is moving fast.

Still bullish into 2027.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@AltcoinDaily Bitcoin still has a great future, but it’s not the only opportunity in the market. Some AI stocks could potentially outperform $BTC over the next cycle. Missing one winner isn’t the end — there will always be new opportunities ahead.💪

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@AshCrypto Liquidity is bullish for $BTC, but I’m not convinced the catch-up happens immediately. Long-term bullish, short-term patient.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@cryptorover More liquidity, scarcer money.
That’s why I’m bullish on both $BTC and gold long term.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

Micron’s Taiwan employees are getting a huge FY2026 payout.

Total rewards for direct labor employees are worth roughly 35–68 months of pay.

That says a lot about how strong this memory cycle has become.

AI demand is driving record economics across the industry — and this time, employees are sharing in the upside too.

Good for workers. Good for morale. And another sign of how powerful this cycle is for $MU.😀

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@Tickertalk1 Strong earnings are great, but it’s even better when employees share in the upside. AI is transforming the memory industry — and the people building it deserve to benefit too.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

@MentoviaX 991 needs to hold. Above 1016, momentum could turn much stronger very quickly. Watching $MU closely.

[Ben Vale @ItsBenVale]

Wild reaction to CPI this morning.

Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM, in line.
Core CPI: +0.3% MoM, slightly hotter than expected.

Stocks sold off initially, then quickly reversed higher.
The 10Y Treasury yield briefly pushed toward 5% before pulling back.

This market isn’t calm — it’s repricing the Fed in real time.

Next week’s meeting just got more interesting.