Aleksandr Ivlev

Co-founder of @ZkNoid & @praxis_Base. Building at the intersection of research and product. ZK, onchain, smart contracts, fullstack.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

@Praxis_Base Another benefit of using YT for predictions is strategy design.
It turns APY into something users can actively shape: hedge it, amplify it, or choose a custom risk/reward profile.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Used TRON again and it feels way more complicated than the last time I touched it.

To get a reasonable transaction cost, you now have to think about staking/delegated Energy, otherwise fees get weird fast.

At this point, what is the reason for a normal user to use TRON?

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Been researching prediction markets and found a market on whether someone will get sued.

Honestly, “will they get sued?” deserves its own category at this point.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

The article about prediction market math is written, but still under editing.

The core idea: the only mathematically good time to trade is when you believe the market price is wrong.

If the price is right, your edge is gone. After fees, you’re playing a negative EV game.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

@Praxis_Base Counterintuitively, prediction markets can reduce uncertainty. Not by predicting perfectly, but by letting people hedge outcomes.
You can turn an all-or-nothing situation into one where both outcomes produce a manageable result.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Can you be right and still lose money in a prediction market?
Yes.
If Team A is priced at 80%, but its real chance is 60%, betting on A still wins often.
But the price is wrong. Over many such bets, “being right” becomes unprofitable.
Prediction math breakdown next week.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Prediction markets are like poker.

Luck decides one round.
Probability decides who wins long-term.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

@Superboard_ @Praxis_Base Appreciate it. We’re building Praxis on Base step by step — still early, but moving fast.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

One day I found advice to download a library of 1k+ agentic skills. I did it, forgot about it, and ended up using maybe 4 of them.

I thought they didn’t eat much context.

Turns out, they do 🙂

[Praxis Protocol @Praxis_Base]

Prediction markets are changing.

Get early access to their future.

Praxis waitlist is open ↓
https://t.co/9MGSwwZNY7

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Week summary:

WB: quiet testnet prep — code finalization and branch merges.

Praxis: built the vault/RYD registry, set up the indexer, fixed both main flows, and now vault + RYD work end-to-end.

Also wrote the internal product plan for what comes next.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

@praxis_base is more than just another prediction market on @base. It is a new financial primitive built around risking yield, not principal.

@jessepollak

[Praxis Protocol @Praxis_Base]

https://t.co/6LYq6jiD70

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

Been having a sleepless night for god knows what reason, so I decided to do a little vibe coding. Woke up $100 poorer, but with a working personal planner designed exactly for me. Lol.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

@pendle_fi IL solution is simple, but clever: by maturity, both sides of the AMM pool become the same asset, so impermanent loss matters much less. More liquidity, less friction. Elegant solutions look obvious in hindsight, but they’re some of the hardest to build.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

I used to think cold showers were the easier option. Turned out the opposite was true.

Cold baths are simpler: get in, stay still, done. Cold showers require constant movement and repeated exposure.

Small lesson: the best tool is the one your mind resists less.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

New task in the routine: deck repetition.

Design is done, now the pitch has to be clear, precise, and confident.
The hard part is getting there without slowing down product shipping.

Different kind of work. Same standard for execution.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

8/
So the choice was clear.

Envio = fast setup + minimal overhead + solid performance

Exactly what you want when product velocity matters.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

1/
Today, I've been integrating @Praxis_Base smart contracts into the frontend, and one thing becomes obvious fast:

Raw on-chain data is usually not enough.

[Aleksandr Ivlev @ivlevspace]

7/
Third: Speed.

It wasn’t the main factor for us, but it’s still a strong bonus.

Faster indexing → faster UI → better UX.