BREAKING: All stocks of the semiconductor index, $SOX, are now trading below their 50-day moving averages, the first such occurrence since April 2025.
This marks a sharp reversal from early-June, when all 30 components were trading above their 50-day moving averages.
This comes as $SOX has declined -18.9% so far in July, on track for its largest monthly loss since 2008.
As a result, the index is trading -11% below its 50-day moving average, its widest gap since March 30th.
However, semiconductor stocks are still up +63% year-to-date.
Meanwhile, the semiconductor ETF, $SMH, has posted -$1.3 billion in outflows month-to-date, on pace for the 2nd-largest monthly outflow on record.
Chip stocks are becoming oversold.
Michael Burry's short positions on $MU and $NVDA, is about to get added to his extensive list of wrong calls...
His $NVDA short is already underwater. Even after this recent decentralized selling, it's still green MTD/YTD.
His 2008 comparison absolutely does not fit.
Subprime worked because the assets were fraudulent. AI compute is the opposite of worthless, HBM tells us enough... and $GOOGL just increased capex to $205B because it can't build fast enough.
His $MU short might work as memory is cyclical. But his idea of "one memory name is stretched" and "the whole bubble is about to pop" are very different trades.
BREAKING: The odds of the Fed cutting interest rates in 2026 are now down to just 21%.
Just months ago, markets saw up to 4 rate cuts this year.
"Higher for longer" is back.