Jack Revnew

Future Meteorology student. I was born in Las Vegas, Nevada but currently live in Northern Houston.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

Hands down, no questions asked, heaviest sleet I have been in ever. Anywhere, period. Crazy winds w/ lightning and fast accumulation. WTF.

Near Conroe, TX
#txwx
@KHOU @TxStormChasers @StormChaserHTX @WeatherCast3

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

Pretty remarkable how noticeable the biases on these models are. GFS has an unbelievably terrible track record in the WCAR whilst EPS has a rough time with AEWs (struggles w/ ITCZ & monsoon trough interactions + BoE off Africa). Would be inclined to focus on Euro/EPS here.

[Brad Panovich @wxbrad]

My hurricane season PSA on long-range deterministic model posting. 7 days plus is fantasy land, as illustrated by last season's stats. Here's the verification that a storm actually formed when they show up at 168 hours out in both the GFS and ECMWF. GFS is a fantasy hurricane machine, and while the EURO is better, it is still not great for this time range. Patterns are good to look at, especially in the ensembles, but specific storm details are not. #tropics

[Brad Panovich @wxbrad]

My hurricane season PSA on long-range deterministic model posting. 7 days plus is fantasy land, as illustrated by last season's stats. Here's the verification that a storm actually formed when they show up at 168 hours out in both the GFS and ECMWF. GFS is a fantasy hurricane machine, and while the EURO is better, it is still not great for this time range. Patterns are good to look at, especially in the ensembles, but specific storm details are not. #tropics

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@AndyHazelton @rushtropicalwx The funny thing is that even if something went as far west as Texas, there'd still be a pretty good likelihood that Florida would get an anomalous amount of precipitation regardless.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@Emokwx @Motomaniac_tn So fun fact, I live directly off the interstate in Houston and this is exactly what I witness a lot in the year, it is particularly prominent when it comes to fog buildup.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@LORELLOFORECAST I will say that EPS initially about a week ago gave it pretty decent odds to really get going and do something around tonight into tomorrow so, if anything were to happen it'd be right about now.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@LORELLOFORECAST Where are you currently seeing 1003mb? I have only seen a modest trough (barely closed if not a sharp trough axis) at 1009/1010mb. I have however seen pretty low pressures (<1000mb) on some ensembles but that is highly improbable as of now.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@LORELLOFORECAST If NHC were to mention it in future discussions / TWO then it would likely be to disclose the nontropical nature & that any information regarding it would be best looked at via WPC (which will have MCDs and flood outlooks for it). (2/2)

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@LORELLOFORECAST While I could agree, this is frankly a swath of tropical moisture that'll soon interact with a stationary front over the northern Gulf. Recent discussions from NHC over special features in the Atlantic mention this. (1/2)

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

Welp, the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season starts in 15 minutes.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@NbergWX @termnalguidance Any changes for 18z?

[Nathaniel Tabor @WeatherCast3]

Probably going to be a noisy, and possibly windy night around town come 2-3 AM. Keep your ringers on for any weather updates or warnings that might come through, particularly regarding straight line wind possibilities.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@mattlanza Most definitely... Smells like a local power outage / solid power flicker kind of night.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@fl0m
Holy fuck...

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

Any proposed ETA as to when TIAH will be back and operational?
@NWSHouston

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@NWSHouston This timing is ironic

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@ProrokESPORT @Mateusz20508220 Yeah not sure what's up with that. I feel as though the schedule shook up to account for a possible overlap yesterday with Furia v Falcons & NAVI v Vitality. Either way, the top bracket games should theoretically be first. Now the bracket (in terms of time) is flipped entirely.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@soothaa @dust2us @IEM Yeah, was right up front here for the first map and I was breaking my neck, GGs.

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@Vitality_apEX My brother had one of the employees of IEM Atlanta say that he can't say things such as:

"FUCK YOU APEX!"

[Inverified @Inverified]

@ropz Yoo, done short-form cc for years. Could bring some fresh ideas to the table!

[Jack Revnew @JackRevnew]

@mgrtsss @OsamaSon135 @Vitality_apEX @RobuJohnson This is both maps, it's the series as an entirety lol.