Jacob Torero

Yellow Black Sheep Bandit

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

If we’re all gonna die in 5 years, how would you live your life now?

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.

[Dan Bilzerian @DanBilzerian]

Make sure you enjoy your time, I’m not bullish on our future

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Ok really...
Same power, just get paid less???

[Alex Finn @AlexFinn]

You should NEVER be downloading AI agent skills from the internet

It's the biggest attack vector for security breaches right now

Tons of skills in the public skill sites you see are compromised with prompts that open your computer up

Do this instead:

If you see any skill you want your agent to have, give the link to your agent

Say "look at what this skill does. I want you to do something similar. Think about how this fits into our workflow and how you'd use it. Then build your own version of it, custom for what we do"

Your agent then will build its own, secure version that can't have dirty prompts from random people on the internet

This is the biggest security practice you can implement

[Alex Stanciu @ProfStanciu]

The fastest way to raise testosterone is to start winning. Small wins count.

Hit a PR, close a deal, wake up early and your body responds.

Men were built to chase. Stop sitting still.

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

If you find out you’re gonna die at 100, how does your 30 feel?
If you find out you’re gonna die at 50, how does your 30 feel?
I bet they’re tremendously different.
So if we don’t know when we die, then we wouldnt know how to feel ab our age. So why keep track of your age at all?

[Suryansh Tiwari @Suryanshti777]

Apple fired Steve Jobs.

He walked into MIT and gave the most honest 60-minute business lecture ever recorded.

No PR filter. No image to protect.

Just raw thinking from the guy who built Apple once — and was about to do it again.

Watch this instead of Netflix tonight.
Bookmark it for later

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

@iam_elias1 I’m sure the paper also written by AI lol

[Noisy @noisyb0y1]

https://t.co/IOfam4j2sI

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

A hedge within a hedge play! 🤯
Hold both USO and XOP if you're gonna do this.

[Ihtesham Ali @ihteshamali]

A Soviet psychologist walked into a café in 1927 and watched a waiter do something impossible.

He remembered every open order at every table. Perfectly. Without notes. Without effort.

Then a table paid their bill. She asked him to repeat the order.

He couldn't remember a single item.

She spent the next two years figuring out why. What she found is now the operating system underneath every platform fighting for your attention.

Her name was Bluma Zeigarnik, and she was a graduate student at the time, sitting with her professor Kurt Lewin, watching the waiters work the room. What caught her attention was something so ordinary that it had been happening in restaurants for centuries without anyone asking why.

The waiters could remember every open order with perfect accuracy. Table four wanted the schnitzel with no sauce. Table seven had changed their wine twice. Table twelve owed for three coffees and a dessert. Every detail, held without effort, without notes, without any visible system at all.

But the moment a table paid their bill, the information vanished. Completely. Lewin tested it on the spot. He called a waiter back minutes after a table had settled up and asked him to recite the order. The waiter could not do it. Not partially. Not approximately. The information was simply gone.

Zeigarnik went back to her lab and spent the next two years turning that observation into one of the most replicated findings in the history of psychology.

Here is what she proved, and why it changes how you think about attention, memory, and almost every piece of media you have ever consumed.

She gave participants a series of tasks. Some tasks they were allowed to finish. Others were interrupted before completion. Then she tested recall across both groups.

The unfinished tasks were remembered at nearly twice the rate of the completed ones.

Not slightly better. Nearly twice. The brain was holding the incomplete work in a state of active tension, returning to it, keeping it warm, refusing to file it away. The finished tasks were closed, archived, released. The unfinished ones were still running.

She called it the resumption goal. When the brain commits to a task and cannot complete it, it opens a file that stays open until resolution arrives. That open file consumes a portion of your cognitive bandwidth whether you are thinking about it consciously or not. It surfaces in idle moments. It pulls at the edge of your attention during other work. It is the thing you find yourself thinking about in the shower when you were not trying to think about anything at all.

This is not a flaw in human cognition. It is a feature. The brain evolved to finish things. An open loop is a signal that something important is unresolved. Keeping that signal active increases the probability that you will return to it and complete it. In an environment where most tasks had real survival stakes, this was an extraordinarily useful mechanism.

In the modern world, it is the most exploited vulnerability in human attention.

Netflix did not invent the cliffhanger. But it industrialized it in a way no medium before it ever had. When a show ends on an unresolved question, it does not just create curiosity. It opens a file in your brain that stays active until the next episode closes it. The autoplay countdown that begins at 15 seconds is not a convenience feature. It is a precise calculation about how long the average person can tolerate an open loop before the discomfort of not knowing overrides every other intention they had for the evening. One more episode is not a choice. It is your brain doing exactly what it was designed to do: return to what is unfinished.

The writers who built Lost, Breaking Bad, and Succession understood this intuitively without ever reading a psychology paper. Every episode ended on an open question. Every season finale answered three things and opened five more. The entire architecture of prestige television is a Zeigarnik machine running at industrial scale.

But television is not where this gets dangerous.

Every notification on your phone is an open loop. Every unread email is an open loop. Every task you wrote on a list and have not yet crossed off is an open loop. Each one is consuming a small but real portion of your available attention, pulling fractionally at your focus, degrading your capacity to be fully present in whatever you are actually doing right now. TikTok's algorithm does not just serve you content you like. It serves you content that ends one loop and immediately opens another, keeping the resumption system permanently activated so the cost of stopping always feels higher than the cost of continuing.

The research on this accumulation effect is striking. Psychologists studying cognitive load have found that unfinished tasks do not sit passively in memory. They actively interrupt. They surface at the wrong moments. They are the reason you are reading something and suddenly remember an email you forgot to send. The brain is not malfunctioning. It is running its resumption system exactly as designed. It is just running it across forty open loops simultaneously, in an environment that generates new ones faster than any human nervous system was built to process.

The most important practical implication Zeigarnik's research produced is one that most people use backwards.

David Allen built his entire Getting Things Done system on the insight that the only way to close a cognitive open loop is to either complete the task or make a trusted commitment to complete it later. Writing something down in a system you actually trust has the same effect on the brain as finishing it. The file closes. The bandwidth is released. This is why writing a task down feels like relief even before you have done anything about it. You have not solved the problem. You have simply told your brain that the loop is registered and will be returned to, which is enough for the resumption system to stand down.

The inverse is equally true and far more destructive. Every task that lives only in your head, unwritten and unscheduled, is an open loop burning cognitive resources around the clock. The mental cost is not proportional to the size of the task. A tiny nagging obligation consumes the same active tension as a major project. Your brain does not discriminate by importance. It discriminates by completion.

Zeigarnik published her findings in 1927. The paper sat in academic literature for decades before anyone outside psychology paid attention to it.

Then television got good. Then the smartphone arrived. Then the entire attention economy was engineered, largely by people who understood intuitively what she had proven scientifically: an open loop is the most powerful hook available to anyone who wants to hold human attention.

Netflix knew it. Instagram knew it. Every designer who ever made a notification badge red instead of grey knew it.

The café in Vienna is long gone.

The mechanism she discovered there is now the operating system underneath every platform fighting for your time.

Every "to be continued."

Every unread notification.

Every thread that ends with "part 2 tomorrow."

All of it is the same waiter, the same unpaid bill, the same brain refusing to let go of what it has not yet finished.

Zeigarnik noticed it over coffee in 1927.

A century later, it is the most valuable insight in the history of media.

And nobody taught it to you in school.

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

60 percent chance prolonged closure through Q3 2026. Incentives line up perfect nfor high oil. US wins overall. Position smart, manage risk, let it ride. Discipline wins. 💪 End

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

I sold all my stock and bought oil on the dip. ���️💰 Oil at 104 dollars up 8 percent today still climbing. Thesis playing out savage as hell. Game theory: does the US actually benefit from Hormuz staying closed? Pure incentives and cold math, no conspiracy. Thread starts now. 🔥🛢️

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Probability stays closed: Trump blockade talk, Lebanon out of ceasefire, Iran 10 demands guarantee failure, talks collapse in 21 hours, Navy starts Monday. ⚓

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Losers: US consumers pay around 150 billion per year extra gas pain, China scrambles for oil, Europe hits energy crisis 2.0, Iran faces full collapse. 😤

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Winners from closed Hormuz: US shale pockets the extra 50 billion per year, Venezuela gets premium sales, geopolitics crushes Iran, starves China, Europe begs for US LNG. 🇺🇸

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Now with closure: US produces 13.8 million bpd domestic, controls Venezuela scaling to 1.5 million by 2027, exports 4 to 5 million to allies, oil jumps to 100 plus. Total game changer. 🛢️🚀

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Raw numbers before closure: 20 million bpd through Hormuz, Iran exported 4.2 million, Gulf around 16 million, oil at 65 to 70 dollars.

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

Geopolitics crushes Iran economy, cuts China off from 40 percent of imports, hooks Europe on US LNG when closed. Just status quo with no leverage when open. Saudi and Gulf allies mixed either way but still bombed. 💥

[Jacob Torero @JacobTorero]

US profit calc if closed versus open: Shale gains plus 50 billion dollars per year at 100 versus 70 when closed, zero extra when open. 📈 Venezuela scores premium heavy crude when closed, normal pricing only when open.