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Capitulation event.
Market makers have decided to take action in response to the ongoing Mt. Gox and German selling news. People have started selling, and panic is rising. The box has been technically invalidated on the chart after lasting a year and providing great opportunities during this sideways period. I understand the panic, as #BTC is down 25% from its peak, but as someone who has been here for many years, I can tell you that the FUD we are witnessing right now is special.
Special because of numbers, the amount of selling pressure is huge and we need to know the source for this selling. While the source of selling is clear (Mt Gox and Germans) The selling pressure is 100% artificial and mixed with the fear of retails. We also experienced the second-largest liquidation event in BTC history. The largest liquidation event happened during the FTX crash in 2022. The same type of capitulation event happened back then when Bitcoin moved sideways in a box for five months before breaking down, marking the ultimate capitulation event. I compare today's capitulation event to the one in 2022 when Bitcoin was at $18,000, moving sideways for five months before dropping 15% to $16,000, marking a new phase of market depression. I see the same pattern of market makers using the same psychological patterns here. I would even say that the market makers from the 2022 box formation and capitulation event are the same market makers involved in the current box and capitulation event. For me, these events are nothing more than great opportunities to accumulate more. The same people back then that caused fear and panic and mass liquidations are leaving their finger prints in the chart. Its the same strategy, the same MM that sent us to a new ATH afterwards and you know exactly what happened.
Most people are losing hope right now, which is exactly what market makers want to see and cause. I wish you good luck with your shorts. I have been holding my spot positions since $16,000 and will keep adding ON each dip, just like now. Never judge based on wicks, capitulation events, and mass liquidations. These are always the beginning of a new reversal!
It's nothing but a capitulation. The local bottom is in this area. The box area and prediction were accurate for an entire year, providing great entry points. Even today, buying below the box is a gift. Q3 started bloody but will end with massive green candles!
Longs are triggered & not selling the spot. Its your turn to decide.
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In the coming Sunday Report Iam going to explain you why #BTC is indeed in phase three of bull market, indeed it’s time for the golden bull
Several indicators that need to match simultaneously at the same time are needed to confirm the golden bull
More in Sunday report ⏳
$𝗕𝗧𝗖 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲
1. AVWAP from 49K remains to be an important level.
Spot bids were absent post ETF approval and hence we dumped.
2. Current Value Area of range since early January remains solid. Price continues to range within the VaH and VaL for now
3. Our bias for swing trades has been to the downside since last week. The more time we spend ranging, the less confident I get on this bias. However, a good target is around January Low + nPOC marked.
4. In ranging conditions, Monday range is most important as always. Any deviation of range highs or lows will be an entry trigger.
5. Price is still fluctuating around the AVWAP + range POC. Price around POC suggests that from a volume perspective price is at a "fair" price. This is why I would abstain from entering new positions unless we leave this area.
$BTC Sunday update:
After a successful weekend trading longs in altcoins, now I need to be patient again.
The current trend in LTF is to the downside. I'm waiting for a reversal.
We have a wick to the downside and it will get filled. Potential reversal there, if not next wick.
Our special report of Bitfinex Alpha brings you our outlook for 2024 🔭 We remain very positive for #Bitcoin and crypto assets in general, but this does not mean that it’s a straight line from here!
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[THREAD] - POURQUOI BLACKROCK MODIFIE-T-IL SON ETF #BITCOIN ?
J'avais fait un tweet hier pour rebondir sur l'amendement déposé par BlackRock sur son ETF Bitcoin spot mais il a disparu 🤷♂️
J'en profite donc pour sortir une nouvelle version beaucoup plus complète !
Déroulez 🧵
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7 High IQ Things to do during this Bull Market 🚀
-According to someone with a low IQ.
(Just read Point 7 if you're in a Rush)
1. Don't be Sad because you missed one Pump. Create a sense of urgency to find a good entry, slow down and take it. In the Bull Market, there are so many opportunities, you can't catch them all but you can catch some and some is enough.
2. Avoid shorting coins unless scalping. The sense of respect you gain for yourself when making money via shorting is not worth the risk. Unless you take 500 trades per house like me and make a living as a scalper, don't short.
3. Don't be upset about missing a trade when others show off their winning. Be happy that someone made money and get inspired that you can do it too. Sadness of missing out induces fear of missing out and we all know what happens then.
4. This time is no different. No time is different. People change, maturity changes, size changes, market remains the same. It will be the same. Pump. Crawl. Makes you feel it's the end. Pump to moon. You feel it'll Pump more and it Dumps a 90%.
5. Avoid debate. Don't argue the narrative. You don't like a coin someone else is shilling, move on. They probably are a Paid Scammer or a Shiller.
6. If I could give you one Advice, it would be to know your exits. Know where you wanna sell, know when you wanna sell, and sell. Don't look back. Mark your levels, sell, don't regret.
7. If you make it big and I pray to the almighty that you do, don't tell anyone that you became rich.
When you become rich, even your closest friends and family envy you. They call you lucky, cry to the universe that they deserve your life. Will ask for help/money. You will give them some money to help and once you stop, they'll feel entitled to your wealth, call you arrogant for making boundaries.
If you become rich, keep it to yourself. This is one of the biggest mistake I made.
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I hope this THREAD has helped you to understand PO3 (Power of 3)
You can use it in all TF, and use this knowledge while trading $BTC or altcoins.
RT and FAV to spread this THREAD is appreciated.
[THREAD] - QUE FAUT-IL RETENIR DE L'AFFAIRE #BINANCE ?
J'ai beaucoup tweeté ces derniers jours sur le cas Binance et on en sait maintenant beaucoup plus.
Quels conséquences pour l'écosystème ? Qu'est-ce que cela signifie pour Binance ? Quelle est la suite ?
La réponse, ici 👇
#Bitcoin - whats next ?
The big Sunday report, all you need to know:
🚩 TA/ LCA/ Psychological Analysis: Bitcoin fully closed the monthly candle above the mother of all indicators and officialy ended the bear market with this move. The importance of WMA200 was described in last weeks Sunday report and was the last big indicator confirmation I was watching to determine if bear is over or not. Indeed, the bear is over and we enter into the pre bull market which is a slow and not so powerful bull. I expect a range between 26-41k till March which is described as Pre Bull range. After halving in August the mother of all bull market starts. Indeed, in last week Sunday report we took a long at $34.200, good profits !
So what is now ?
We spoke many times about the importance of WMA200, however there was not a single retest confirming this move, so we should watch for a possible retest in the coming weeks. For that, Iam placing tons of long orders in the region of WMA200, as you can see in the chart, this trade should be considered as swing trade for the big picture and lower risk. WMA200 is currently located nearby $30.300 and is moving day by day as its an average number.
For scalping I decided to place several long orders between $33.400 - $33.900. This is a short term trade and should be considered as higher risk than above mentioned trade idea. In other words, not gonna use high margin on this one. Reason for this trade is the liquidity pool that is located exactly in the mentioned area. So its expected that market makers gonna hunt down the liquidity in that region
Target 1 between $37.500 and $38.000 is short entry at the same time. I think we gonna see big FUD in the coming weeks regarding SEC, exchange regulations, terrorism financing and money laundering. The US is watching the world of crypto very closely right now, while the world of crypto lives in euphoria and happiness without even noticing the FUD that is loading. SEC mostly aims at Tether and Binance, keep an eye on that scenario !
Prepare for all scenarios, the bull run has not started yet ! Remember that COVID crash took place during pre bull run phase, few months before halving. Remember that pre bull is not real bull, its a slow and exhausting bull ! The real bull is still far away !
However, bottom was in at 16k, and I doubt we gonna visit bottom area again.
Funding rate was very hot few days ago but already cooled down and is in heatlhy region. Fear and greed reached levels of greed..
Prepare for all scenarios, and have the orders ready
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Calendar shows nothing important this week. Just a speak by Jerome Powell that can bring some volatility on Thursday
Is #Bitcoin bear market over ?
All you need to know:
Indeed, bear market ended after RSI breakout in the end of 2022, the time when I kept begging you to buy tons of BTC. Indeed, its the time when bear market ended, end of 2022 when BTC was between 16-18k. The reality is, end of bear market doesnt always mean start of bull, people underestimate the regeneration phase of market after end of bear, and start yelling bull market without basic knowledge. Once bear ends, market enters into price discovery to find the "Actual fair price". So what happened after RSI breakout in late 2022 ?
Who remembers the Tweets in Feburary and March this year in which I described the region between 18-21k as buy region for Binance ? This entry is now considered as institutional entry, an area which is strongly defended by tons of buyers in that region, most likely Binance that bought tons of BTC with minted TUSD. Indeed, a very clever play. After that, price went into next price discovery till kissing 30k, which was also expected and predicted. That was first time for BTC to retest WMA200 for the first time since more than a year after breakdown. What happened ? Exactly, it got rejected and we went full force short, while everyone was euphoric and called for a bull run prices dropped towrads 25k in a matter of few days. Do you know understand the difference between bull run and pre bull, and regeneration ? If market would be truly in a bull run, it would have broke through easily, which was not the case in that time.
Indeed, we shorted the 30k region and took tons of profits once it dumped back to $25.000 in which we went back into long. Same play, we kissed WMA200 again and got rejected once again, same play, short till $25.000, take profit and enter long again till $30.000. This time, we expected that BTC is going to dump more from 30-31k region and prepared the big short with target of 20-23k region. Indeed, BTC crashed exactly as we predicted, but only till 25k, and not towards 23k as we expected. We have not taken profits and closed our shorts back nearby entry. Indeed, it was not a good trade.
So where are we now ?
It takes many months to confirm the end of the bear market, now we can clearly say that bear market is over once WMA200 closes monthly candle above WMA200, which is most likely going to happen in the next hours. We have a full confirmation on chart that BTC bear market is over including the mentioned regeneration phase. We have a very strong momentum with recent RSI breakout including the breakout above the 30k resistance including the historical breakout above WMA200. Many indicators that shows us signs of a strong bull. Learn the difference between a relief rally with a weak bull, and an explosive strong bull. In other words, the explosive bull is the golden bull, the same bull that brought us to 60k few years ago, and sadly this bull has not arrived yet, but is preparing itself to fully explode in the next 6-12 months.
Bitcoin is now re-testing the previous bull market support of 2021 which is between $34.000 - $35.000 region. At the same time RSI is facing resistance, however bull is stronger than RSI resistance this time. Breakout above which is possible with current momentum can bring us easily to $37.000 - $38.000 target. From there, you can expect some sideway movement and possible dumps even to 26k region in the coming months, till the golden bull arrives
Dont get exhausted, greedy or care for long or short only. Remember that a legendary bull run is loading, you should have prepared your long term bags back then during absolute fear, however, everyone that buys below ATH will end up in profit according to BTC 4 years halving cycle. Indeed, Iam fully trusting BTC
Bear market is over, regeneration is over, pre bull arrived, golden bull is loading.
The bull run has not started yet, sideway movement still loading in big time frame and big range, the golden bull is preparing itself for the next 6-12 months
Be prepared
Merci d'avoir lu ce #Thread jusqu'au bout !
N'oubliez pas de partager ce thread en ❤️&🔁 afin de lui donner de la visibilité !!! 🙏
Le Thread a été réalisé en collaboration avec @Crypto_Quent
Un grand merci à lui 🙌
Merci beaucoup et à bientôt !! 🙏
Big warning for all that believe #FTX is going to liquidate assets worth billions on September 13th 🚨
Don’t fall for the trap !
Even if approval for the sale of FTX assets is granted by court on September 13th, execution won't transpire immediately on that date. Everyone that is sharing drama has absolutely no clue what he is talking about. There will be a structured framework to sell these tokens, such as $200m a week as it was reported, or do you think the SEC and CFTC will just watch how FTX is dumping once again on investors ?
Next point is the selling market place. Where do you think FTx is going to liquidate it’s assets ? I fully doubt that Binance will take care of it, as it’s not legally allowed to liquidate those assets directly through government channels on the secondary market. However, an underwriter will take care of this matter and liquidate these assets with Risk assessment, finding buyers that are most likely OTC, negotiate the terms of the sale, including price, payment terms, and any conditions to avoid chaos in markets. Underwriters ensure that the sale of assets complies with all applicable laws and regulations. This process takes months, and is nothing to fear about. Market makers love to plant the seed of fear in your mind. While they know the reality. This unnecessary FUD just confirms my believe in a sudden dump towards $23.500 region and a strong bounce that leaves all panic sellers and last minute shorts aside.
In other words, normal sell pressure yes, big nuke and huge out of sudden sell is illegal and won’t happen. Stop the panic and nonsense please
As promised a lot of FUD is currently emerging. This FUD will bring up a new market sentiment. Generating a new phase of big fear and new panic sellers. News that are based on nothing than FUD. Indeed, market will fake dump and act as if it’s affected by the ‘bad news’ to cause more fear and panic in the minds of retails.
Personally Iam more than convinced to see my plan playing out, hitting $23.500 first, then strongly bounce from there towards targets above $30.000.