James

饮食男女家长里短都是些琐琐碎碎，家国天下事业文章不外些言言行行。
从北到南，从近到远，见了各色人等；从东到西，从古到今翻了几页经典；我的信条是从常识和逻辑的观点看。From common sense & logic point of view.

[James @James75157366]

@meimei1935 莫言说：“这些话说的都很好，但授之有愧，因为我从没说过这些话。”

[Zhang Heqing @zhang_heqing]

柬埔寨公主用中文深情献唱中国民歌《沂蒙山小调》

[Reads with Ravi @readswithravi]

5 best books to understand Human Behavior:

1) Behave by Robert M. Sapolsky

A comprehensive look at human behavior through biology, examining what drives our actions from milliseconds before a decision (brain chemistry) to millennia ago (evolutionary pressures).

[James @James75157366]

现在人们玩的烟花和儿时的炮丈已经不可同日而语了（元宵节江边的烟花）

[James @James75157366]

从除夕到元宵广州江边的烟花就没有消停过。圆宵节也只有烟花而没有灯笼。For more than two weeks,fireworks blast through riverbanks in Guangzhou each every night celebrating the Spring Festival. They even displaced lanterns on the night of Lantern Festival.

[Eric @concealling]

Claude官方（Anthropic）的这个提示词（prompt）教程写得很详细，提示词工程（prompt engineering）看这个感觉就够了 https://t.co/2ALSFzsZfN

[James @James75157366]

十一维多利亚港的烟花依旧绚��
希望香港也能重现盛世繁华
（老二在工作单位的办公楼所拍）

[James @James75157366]

只要是闲钱，确信买的是物超所值的东西，一时的（股市）大闸蟹（被套）又何妨？

[James @James75157366]

中国政府股市直升机撒钱，全世界股民参予者有份，你收到了吗？昨日一天成交2.6万多亿（占08年金融危机4万亿大水漫灌经济的65%）。估计哪些居高临下、自以为是、指点（骂）江山的不仅自己赚不到，还难免误导粉丝赚不到。帮朋友盘点了一下帐号，其中最快的8个交易日翻倍，较差的翻红。约了明天庆祝一下。

[James @James75157366]

很多敢于底位买入并持有到上周行情爆发的中国股民在数钱，庆祝。朋友订了明天米其林餐厅。餐厅和股市一样火爆，只能等第二轮。

[James @James75157366]

@xinwendiaocha 放你妈的屁！知道今年的猪肉、牛肉有多便宜吗？！

[James @James75157366]

@fornewChina 身边很多人去新疆旅���（朋友持航司3000元全国任意飞的机票一年去了两次），我住的广州这边也有新疆人做生意，没有你说的那么恐怖

[James @James75157366]

Seems not lacking of logic & pragmaticism? 似乎在理兼实用？估计在两大世界阵营之外会越来越有市场

[Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand]

If you want to understand Asian geopolitics today, this is an absolute must-watch.

This is George Yeo, who was a Singaporean cabinet minister during 21 years, including Minister for Foreign Affairs during 7 years. In my humble opinion, very few people out there have such a subtle understanding of geopolitics in Asia as he does.

Here's a quick summary of what he says:

The US has little knowledge of China
He says that "the US political system is decentralized and because of the need to win votes, it goes through emotional phases and is entering such a phase now where China is demonized out of mass emotion. There's some manipulation behind the scenes, but it's not based on knowledge."

To him, the US "don't understand the nature of China", the fact that China "is constantly building walls around itself because it is happy in its own homogeneity". He says it is wrong for the US to believe that "China wants to displace them as the top dog in the world" and "trying to contain China, even pull it down" as a result. Not only is this a wrong understanding of China's objectives but the US "may exhaust itself in the process and I don't think it will succeed". He says that with its tariffs and sanctions the US risks making the same mistake as China's Qing dynasty and "become very weak".

He believes the primacy of the US dollar will break, and that US actions are "bringing forward that day"
He says that "the key event will be when the primacy of the US dollar breaks. We all know it's going to break sometime or other because it's abnormal. If it is 30 years from now, well, let's drink and be merry. But if it's five years, well, we've got to calculate, right? Do we know when the cookie will crumble? We don't know. But the way the US is moving is bringing forward that day."

It's "bringing forward that day" because "they try to control countries by sanctions" and as a result more and more countries put counter-measures in place, putting themselves out of the grasp of the US.

China is not in trouble and "overcapacity" is "information warfare"
He says "there's information warfare against China" and that he "doesn't think" China is in trouble. "Look at the factories, look at the EVs, look at how terrified the Europeans are, accusing China of having overcapacity. I mean, how can you blame China for overcapacity when you have, when you're taking liberties with yourself, having long summers and working short hours and you say no, no, no, no, no, you are working too hard! There are consequences. If families take liberties with their children, with themselves, there's consequences."

He believes that Asian societies' "wholesomeness" is an advantage versus the West
"Look at Asia, look at China, look at Southeast Asia, look at India. There are people who are hardworking, who are obsessed over their children, who want to have of them a higher education, in order that the kids will have a better education, better health, a better life. [...] They'll do well and we're lucky to be in the part of the world where strange values have not taken over societies. [...] Why is America such a big market for drugs today? And I was watching the Eurovision contest... [...] Parts of it, almost satanic. But it's now part of the fashion in most of Europe. What is happening?

PM Lee talked about how we should keep all these woke things away from us as much as possible. I fully agree with him. Keep our societies wholesome. Keep our families intact. I mean, AI is very important, but AI cannot answer moral questions for us. In the end, it is every individual, every child who must make the choice. Be immersed in technology. Make use of it. But have our own sense of what it means to be a human being. So if we use that as a template to judge human society, I say we are very lucky to be in a part of the world where society is by and large wholesome and will do well."

It's critical for ASEAN to stick together and not be balkanized, which is what the US is trying to do with the Philippines
"If we [ASEAN] don't stick together, we'll be balkanized and instead of becoming neighbours, become clients of big powers. Instead of using them, they make use of us. There's always a threat.

Look at the Philippines now. The Philippines have legitimate disputes with China. Both sides have their cases. The Americans see an opportunity there. And jump in, and bring in the Japanese. And now Philippine politics is caught up in this [...]

[China and the Philippines] had an agreement, a gentleman's agreement with Duterte, which Marcos has repudiated. So OK, so they must find a new way to equilibrium. And make use of the Americans and not be made use of by the Americans. But it's very difficult when you try to make use of a big power, you end up being made use of by them."

Most countries in ASEAN do not want China to be an enemy
For instance he says "Vietnam has made a very important decision to go with China": "it was not well reported, but Vietnam has agreed that Hanoi will be linked to Kunming and Nanning by high-speed rail. This is big because each connection is tens of billions of dollars. And will change the topological configuration of logistics and supply chain and human movement for decades to come."

Same with Indonesia, noting that "Prabowo's first visit [was] to China" and that when he met Xi Jinping "it was Xiao Di talking to Da Ge. A little brother talking to big brother. But when we went to Japan, then it's brother talking to brother."

He adds: "Look at the other countries, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei. No one wants China to be an enemy. And the Americans don't understand this, yet. That because China is getting bigger and bigger for us, all of us want the Americans to be in the room. But if the Americans say no, you have to choose between China and us, then they say no, we can't. How can we choose? I mean, China is where our bread is buttered, you know."

[Ho-fung Hung @hofunghung]

neoliberalism is always about repressing wage and screwing labor. everything else they talk about is cover-up... 1/4

[James @James75157366]

Happy Chinese New Year!
Spring Festival fireworks show in Guangzhou.
Best wishes from (to)Guangzhou!
Best wishes to China!
Best wishes to the world!
Let the Dragon dispurses Peace & prosperity!
祝福广州！祝福中国！祝福世界！
飞龙在天，布施好运！

[James @James75157366]

一人的冬日晚餐：蚝仔烙。浓郁的鲜是底蕴，和焦香、葱香混合后是无能言说的妙。Self-made oyster pancake for one man's supper。The mixture of umami of oyster with fragrance of fried ingredients ignites a cold winter night.

[James @James75157366]

也未必如众人担扰的那么坏：无论是在海鲜市场还是股票市场。日本核废水要排30年，也不能30年不吃海鲜。现在香港海鲜如果不是更便宜的话，至少和股票一样便宜。

[James @James75157366]

Some times going contrarian might not be that bad as crowds thought whether in seafood market or stock market.
Seafood becomes as cheap here in Hongkong as the stocks as local people avoid eating for fearing the treated radioactive water from Japan nuclear plant.有时做一个逆行者