James Wolff

Chicago White Sox fan, Weather enthusiast, Stock market investor. These are my personal opinions, and positions, These opinions are not financial advice.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@nollaigoconnor I did film this in Crest Hill, IL last night. I give you permission to share.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

A few minute timelapse of the thunderstorms to my northwest this evening. #Ilwx

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@laabsTWC Tell @JimCantore I said hi. I give you permission to use my video. Taken in Crest Hill, IL looking northwest.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@ShimodaSpct I did take this video, you may use it if you like. This is Crest Hill, Il. Looking northwest.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@SaraBadilini I did film this, and I give you permission to use it.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@StoryfulNews I did take this footage, it is from Crest Hill, Il. You can share it.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@ComiskeyCrew Thank you for the photo credit. Most likely my first game. My dad needs to make prints from the slide.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@boggs328 @ChickenMan3010 @Cubs That 1990 season is one of my favorite seasons. Last season of old Comiskey, a young upstart White Sox team staying in a race with Oakland. Cecil Fielder clubbing home runs.

[Con @__Con_]

Long term investment idea:

$MRDN

I seriously don't know why this isn't talked about.

Look here. This seems like an asymmetric opportunity that fits a few categories (Fast Grower + Turnaround + Asset Play).

Fast Grower: This is a small cap with rapid scaling potential through organic growth and five synergistic subsidiaries (Expanse Studios growing 400%+, MexPlay +52%, RKings doubled). Revenue has been compounding double-digits, with clear line of sight to acceleration. ☑️

Turnaround: Post-reverse merger, the company delivered its first GAAP profitable quarter in Q1 2026. This is the classic inflection point we want: management fixing the core business and metrics turning (very bullish).☑️

Asset Play: Extremely tight share structure (very low public float + high insider ownership) combined with a valuation that still looks disconnected from the underlying business value and future cash flow potential (seems like a great play here).☑️

It has some cyclical exposure (consumer discretionary spend in EMs), but the dominant drivers are secular growth + event driven catalysts.

Now time for some financials (3 core metrics):

1) Total Revenue: TTM ~$190M. Q1 2026 came in at $50.1M (+17% YoY). Guidance and subsidiary momentum point to $210–250M+ annualized run-rate potential as Brazil scales.☑️

2) Gross Profit: Healthy and expanding margins. The company owns its tech stack and content (Expanse Studios), so it avoids the 15–25% aggregator fees that competitors pay. This structural advantage should widen as B2B content grows imo.☑️

3) Net Income: Clear inflection. Q1 2026 delivered GAAP net income of +$2.26M ($0.18 EPS) versus a loss in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA rose 26% to $6.3M. The prior big GAAP loss was largely a non-cash goodwill impairment (not just an operational cash burn btw).☑️

If we look at this in relation to our economy, I get even more bullish:

Government & Regulatory Tailwinds: Global wave of sports betting/iGaming legalization for tax revenue. MRDN has a 25+ year regulatory track record and focuses on compliance/CSR, which helps it win licenses and crowd out black-market operators.☑️

Brazil + World Cup Catalyst: The 2026 FIFA World Cup (which kicked off June 11, recently) is projected to be the largest betting event in history. Brazil is experiencing its first major regulated World Cup as a legal market. MRDN already holds the coveted Federal license and has local retail + digital infrastructure.☑️

Consumer Psychology & EM Growth: Rising mobile/5G penetration + young populations in Africa, Latin America, and parts of Europe support long-term growth in discretionary entertainment spend. Sports betting is sticky, especially around major tournaments (just look at any person this day in age lol).☑️

Risk on Environment: Benefits from broader digital entertainment and emerging market growth narratives, while being less exposed to saturated, high-CAC U.S. markets where big players dominate.☑️

There are a few more reasons I'm bullish this:

Valuation Disconnect: It's trading at roughly 0.85x TTM revenue while analysts see meaningful upside (average target ~$19.73). At more normalized sector multiples the stock would be substantially higher. The theses correctly highlight that this is not a story that fits neatly into simple DCF models because of the multi-subsidiary, multi-currency, high-growth nature.☑️

Share Structure Scarcity: Very low public float and high insider ownership (~80% range) mean that any meaningful institutional discovery or sustained buying can move the stock dramatically. Insiders rejected a $330M cash exit and have continued buying: strong alignment.☑️

Moat Durability: 25+ years operating in difficult emerging markets, low CAC through retail betshops + community trust, owned AI/tech stack, and owned content (Expanse). These are hard for large U.S. operators to replicate quickly.☑️

Management & Capital Discipline: CEO Zoran Milosevic emphasizes long-term execution over short-term promises and has a clear “we will not operate at a loss” philosophy. This matches the type of disciplined operator you tend to favor.☑️

Catalyst Path: Near-term (World Cup volume + Brazil ramp), medium-term (subsidiary cross-selling + margin expansion), and longer-term (continued global expansion and potential re-rating as a scaled international player).☑️

I mean cmon.

Read this:

It has just validated a profitability inflection, trades at a significant discount to its growth trajectory and sector multiples, and is entering a major catalyst window (2026 World Cup + Brazil ramp) with structural moats that larger competitors have struggled to replicate in emerging markets.

Now tell me you're not bullish.

You can't lol.

If we're looking at the technicals, it is also showing us a bullish structure.

We got a double formation on the bottom, showing great support and reaction off of a long-term support line.

Now, we're retesting this resistance line again for the 3rd time (resistance gets weaker ever time we hit it).

We also have a cup and handle formation here.

I wouldn't want to be short this here.

Just my 2c.

Seems like a great stock for a long-term pick outside of the classic AI enabler/beneficiary, crypto, robotics, or health niche.

What are your thoughts?

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@Brandonshipp1 Sure

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

A super quick time lapse of the tornado warned squall line right before 60+ mph winds came through. South Plainfield #ILWX

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@StoryfulNews I did capture this footage, and yes you can.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@AccuWeatherUGC @accuweather Sure thing.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@WeatherNation Sure thing.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

Looking west southwest at 3:28 near IL 59/Caton Farm rd #ILWX

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

Looking due west at 3:31 just before #SpotterNetwork report of a tornado to my west at 3:39 #ILWX near IL 59/Caton Farm rd.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@boggs328 @ChickenMan3010 My James Wolff game worn Franklins haha

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@boggs328 @ChickenMan3010 I’d end up wearing them in a game lol.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@LastComiskey Just having a home run land in the upper deck was an impressive feat. I miss having that, and at one point I remember a concept of adding a Ball Park at Arlington type upper deck at the Rate in the early 2000’s.

[James Wolff @James_Wolff3]

@boggs328 @FDiFoggio @ShepardAstros As I say to everyone that says last game. It doesn’t have to be. I’m still playing in adult leagues at 50.