Justin LoFranco

SoCal.

[Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux @ameliatd]

Emily is the ABSOLUTE BEST and anyone who wants delightful, innovative art on basically any topic should work with her.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

DDHQ's @geoffreyvs joined @ChrisCillizza for a lively Substack conversation about redistricting, the 2026 midterm picture, Trump's job approval rating, and some political history. You can watch it on DDHQ's Substack here: https://t.co/LEEsl2BI8m

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

A check on polling this week shows a significant souring of public opinion toward Trump and his administration.

Presidential approval is now five points underwater, and recent polling shows Americans moving firmly toward the belief that the country is on the wrong track.

7-day change in averages:

🟠Presidential Disapproval +3.0%
🟣Trump Unfavorable +1.5%
🟣Vance Unfavorable +2.7%
🟣Musk Unfavorable +3.4%
🟢Schumer Favorable +2.2%
🟤Wrong Track +6.9%
🔵Democratic Generic Ballot +0.1%

You can follow the polling movement, including tracking crosstab averages on Presidential approval at https://t.co/a3TUfOcxjA.

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

Kalshi takes over NYC

Live odds of the mayoral race, citywide

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

DDHQ Race Update (est. 98% in): PA US Senate

David McCormick (R): 3,370,959 (+35,063)
(49.0%)
Bob Casey Jr. (D): 3,335,896
(48.5%)

Casey gained 4,342 votes since last update.

Follow more results here:
https://t.co/9ywEJlD3F9

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects that Republicans have won enough seats to control the US House.

#DecisionMade: 7:13pm ET

[Justin LoFranco @JayLow]

.@AP has called the race but DDHQ's team still isn't confident.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

DDHQ Race Update (est. 97% in): PA US Senate

David McCormick (R): 3,350,574 (+34,661)
(49.0%)
Bob Casey Jr. (D): 3,315,913
(48.5%)

Once all Cambria County votes are counted, we expect McCormick's lead to grow.

Across Pennsylvania, we estimate there are approximately 90,000 to 110,000 outstanding provisional ballots to be adjudicated, around 18,000 election-day votes to count in Cambria County, and an undetermined number of outstanding UOCAVA ballots still arriving, likely fewer than 10,000 statewide. These provisional and UOCAVA ballots still need to be counted.

We are working to get a clearer accounting on the number of provisional ballots and need to see at least some of them tabulated to assess whether we can project a winner in this race.

Follow more results here:
https://t.co/g1njWOxDut

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects Young Kim (R) wins the US House election in California's 40th congressional district.

#DecisionMade: 8:41 PM EDT

Follow live results here:
https://t.co/iXSZEzVu4L

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects Donald J. Trump wins the Presidential election in Arizona.

#DecisionMade: 8:59 PM EDT

Follow live results here:
https://t.co/i61IF3hUqp

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

As of 12:26pm ET, Republicans have a 95% chance to control the House.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

As of 11:31am ET, Republicans have a 79% chance to control the House.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects that Republicans have won enough seats to control the United States Senate.

#DecisionMade: 11:58pm ET

Follow live results here: https://t.co/RpCLBvuTZM

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

As of 11:12pm ET, Republicans have a 99% chance to control the Senate.

[The Hill @thehill]

Check out the latest Illinois election results by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill here: https://t.co/cVxggfKKqW

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Donald Trump has a 76% chance of winning Georgia, with 12% of the estimated vote reported.

[Justin LoFranco @JayLow]

RT @DecisionDeskHQ: As of 7:25pm ET, Donald Trump has a 61% chance of winning the presidency.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

The first polls close tonight at 6pm ET in Indiana and Kentucky. Decision Desk HQ has you covered with election results and analysis for more than 30,000 races, from the presidency down to school board.

Follow along with our election results coverage on our website:
https://t.co/mO2pWUlEhv

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

The first polls close in less than 5 hours. According to our final forecast, Republicans are favored to win the Senate, with a 76% chance.

Follow live results here tonight:
https://t.co/okRRK7zROh

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

The first polls close in just over 5 hours. Donald Trump has a 54% chance of winning the 2024 election according to our latest forecast.

Follow along with our live results tonight:
https://t.co/okRRK7zROh

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

The first polls close in less than 3 hours. According to our final forecast, Republicans are favored to win the House, with a 52% chance.

Follow live results here tonight:
https://t.co/okRRK7zROh