Jenevieve Treadwell

LSE Policy Fellow on the Leading for London programme

[email protected]

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

“Why are councils fucking taking more money off me and doing less?”

People don't realise how much councils spend on social care – they just see services declining

So they land on an understandable, if unfair, conclusion: councils are wasting their money

https://t.co/mdnUUkZJ4T

[Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani]

Yep.

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

@Valen10Francois @redbrickblog I’m sure it’ll be different this time!

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Worsening affordability & widening inequality are often cited as reasons for rent control

But international examples tell us that, far from fixing things, rent control can make these problems worse

My piece for @redbrickblog on what the experience of other cities can teach us

[redbrick @redbrickblog]

What can England learn from international experience of rent controls?

From Berlin to San Francisco, @JenMTreadwell at @lse_london examines who benefits, what happens to housing supply, and the difficult trade-offs involved in regulating rents.

https://t.co/AR6Zfksc3g

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Businesses do initially benefit. But this only lasts until they renew their lease or go through a rent review

After that, landlords set rent at a higher level to capture how much the tenant is actually willing to pay

So the cut effectively becomes a landlord subsidy

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Business Rate cuts are intended to help companies survive, but all they end up doing is subsidising landlords

[Andy Burnham @andyburnham]

I’m giving thousands of pubs, clubs and music venues a 20% cut in business rates.

I won’t stand by while these cherished local spaces disappear, replaced by boarded-up windows and ‘For Sale’ signs.

They’re the heart of our communities and it’s time we backed them.

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Business Rates look like a tax on doing business, so people assume that cuts work by making it cheaper to do business

But Business Rates are a property tax, so cutting them is just a subsidy for those who own the property

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Unsurprisingly, tackling crime is a priority for those who feel unsafe

Nearly half of those who feel London is becoming less safe named crime as a top issue at the local elections

But so too did a third of those who feel London is becoming safer for them personally

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Crime anxiety in London goes beyond the fear of being a victim yourself. It's a broader feeling that the city is becoming unsafe and in decline

Here's what LSE's polling says about Londoners' experiences of crime

[LSE School of Public Policy @LSEPublicPolicy]

How safe do Londoners feel in the capital?

Our Policy Fellow, @JenMTreadwell, speaks to the Evening Standard about new polling commissioned by LSE on perceptions of safety in London.

Read more:
https://t.co/0ZnIa2Mjp1

#LSEPublicPolicy

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Londoners are undeniably concerned about crime

The feeling that safety is declining is shared widely, with more people believing Ldn is becoming less safe than safer across income groups, ethnicity, gender, & age

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

We should be able to forgive MRPs for missing these internal dynamics – that's not really what they're designed to do

But when commentators & parties treat them as a prediction for control, it can lead to misunderstandings, & in the case of parties, misallocation of resources

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

London polling ahead of local elections was broadly good, but the interpretation often assumed that vote share translates neatly into council control

It doesn't. And that's a lesson insurgent parties & commentators need to learn

https://t.co/wAAYXWXLH4

Me in @LSEpoliticsblog

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

Reform's ~30% was fairly stable across the borough. It's enough to be competitive almost everywhere, but rarely enough to finish first

MRPs can't pick up the internal quirks which are central to local elections, so they average the support to estimate borough-wide vote shares

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

House prices indicate an area's strength. When an area is struggling, people feel locked into a declining area & resent it

Our 'place' shapes our values & politics. So, immigration becomes a tool to explain an area's loss of status: if I'm losing, someone else must be winning

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

There’s a view floating around that immigration is a fundamental obstacle to YIMBY & pro-growth politics

The idea is that migration drives housing scarcity, which destroys consent for housebuilding as ppl fear only migrants will benefit

I've had a look at how this holds up👇

[Build for Britain @BuildForBritain]

"So long as pro-growth advocates refuse to confront mass immigration, they will never build a durable coalition"

More on this today from @CJAWorrall on why YIMBYism failed.

[Jenevieve Treadwell @JenMTreadwell]

We can see this clearly when we plot Reform's vote share against local house prices. Reform does best where housing is cheapest, not where immigration pressure on housing is highest

House prices are actually a better predictor of Reform vote than average income

@Moreincommon_