JJ2597

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@SeaaaaMannnn @EmiSmithShowe @afcjxmes statistical significance is never talked about or related to the raw difference in two values (e.g. 10% vs 14%)

it is related to the confidence interval which is calculated based on the difference and sample size (100s of shots), this case definitely is statistically significant

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@JamesB_afc @LyesBouzidi10 Out of many I've only seen one youtuber have the correct take on this and it is Terry flewers, please check it

https://t.co/MSfbOyqFEp

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@JamesB_afc @LyesBouzidi10 Arsenal grapple at corners like every other team but when did our player, but when have we grabbed and forcefully restricted a GK similar today?

We don't do that. There's no irony or inconsistency, and to not realise that, I dont know how you can say lyes' was good video

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@JamesB_afc @LyesBouzidi10 He got it partly right but he is just so wrong in conceding that its ironic because arsenal have been doing the same all season, he has been brainwashed by the anti arsenal agenda like everyone else.

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite I would press red regardless of how it was presented as I trust that easily at least 50% of people could reason through the problem and arrive to the solution that red is the correct choice, so blue would still have no chance of winning

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite the framing obviously plays a part, you can equally make blue look like a su*c*de cult and red as the group to save themselves from it, e.g.

I think this is an equally unfair framing btw

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite This may also be an interesting video https://t.co/WzCT3kqKgS

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite i'm sorry if its not that case but its genuinely at the point where I'm just gonna assume you're trolling as your arguing like you've never met a human being before and don't understand their motivations and behaviours in these situations

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite I don't know what to say man, this is just craziness. People in general don't think through these thought experiments so esoterically and detached.

No actual parent will risk the near 100% of orphaning a kid just to be morally correct, that's weakness and abandoning your child

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite But anyway, I just don't think its even a debatable position that blue has a chance of winning so to me its crazy we're even having this disccussion.

you're fundamentally not getting that most people WON'T see blue as a way to save these people as their vote is inconsequential

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite I think regardless of whether its 30% or 10% the argument does not change, but ~20% of the world is under 13 yo and then there are people not equipped to understand the question or misunderstand it.

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite you can just as equally think the chance of their kid pressing red, in which case you pressing blue leaves them an orphan.

People would rationalise it to press red and see if their kid survived, and if not then maybe decide to k*ll themselves immediately after...

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite Take from it what you will but below is Gemini's analysis of the situation referencing various heavily studied theory

I don't want to be rude but I feel like you just don't intuitively understand humans if you think blue has even a remote chance

https://t.co/vfvT1vCFc4

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite the vast majority of people would suddenly start seriously considering the odds red wins, how they don't want to die or can't risk dying as they need to care for their kids etc, or that blue doesn't need 1 extra vote anyway so why risk it etc

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite Yea that's just crazy to me, I don't know how that could possibly be anyone's intuition.

Its completely different thinking what you'd ideally morally do in this thought experiment and what you would actually do in the moment when the stakes are real.

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite which is why I don't understand the thing about not being able to live with the guilt. its literally not your fault the other people voted blue, theres essentially nothing you couldve done to save them and you arent the one forcing this vote / experiment, whoever is is guilty

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite and not feel guilty about voting red as they are essentially being presented with the choice of living or suicide.

they have no control to opt out or influence other voters, so I feel its easily to rationalise in a way where an individual has ~0 guilt

[JJ2597 @JerichoJackson7]

@Evernova123 @notsoErudite I'm not saying that you can't argue esoterically that all red voters have a partial responsibility for killing blues, I'd agree with that, but its just not a significant or interesting though compared to the game theory analysis saying an blue voter is irrational