Jim

[Jim @JimBobby41]

The key word is occasionally. The most successful, “enlightened” people I know will go to the Super Bowl party or go back to their alumni tailgate to catch up with old friends. You don’t need to be emotional about it or even care. Genuinely what is the upside to turning things like this down? Is it to feel superior or are you just anti-social?

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@kaleeshnikov @1776enforcer @sports4casuals Yup. The only people I know who don’t do that occasionally are just loners. Its a social event. Do you have friends? You have 6,500 tweets. How many hours a day are you spending on this app? Is this where you learned how to reach this higher level of consciousness you speak of?

[Jim @JimBobby41]

I assure you that sports takes up a much smaller place in people’s lives than you assume. Its fun simple camaraderie. What do you do if your friends are all getting together to watch a big game - call them cattle, feel superior, then spend the evening alone scrolling Twitter? Real enlightenment dude.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@haralabob Wow you’re almost getting it! Its almost like sportsbooks would have much less latitude to cushion the losses of 99.9% of bettors via promo without limiting.

Really brave moral stance here that rec users should lose more money faster to you and $50B Wall Street firms!

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@haralabob Just so I understand your position: your morally grandstanding for a “P2P” platform where rec users lose more money faster to Wall Street mega funds because sportsbooks don’t allow the 0.1% of bettors who bought an OddsJam subscription to spam their miss-priced lines?

[Jim @JimBobby41]

Its more akin to a grocery store accidentally pricing something incorrectly and an opportunist attempting to clear out the store of all their inventory to the detriment of all other shoppers.

Arbing is not that impressive and not sure why people are shocked sportsbooks don’t allow ppl to spam/exploit what are essentially technical issues. If your actually modeling game results I have much more sympathy.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

Sure, but do you deny the simple premise that arbers eat into sportsbooks profits which reduces their ability to offer lower juice / give back more in promo to the benefit of 99% of bettors?

I have much more respect for actual modelers who sportsbooks are more willing to be reasonable with given the signal they provide. Too many whiney people on here who bought an OddsJam subscription and act like they cracked the Da Vinci code. Its part of the game and always has been.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

Every single dissertation in this miserable discourse is an unproven assumption. It’s called taking advantage of financial/time flexibility when your young to enjoy life with your spouse for a bit before life gets a lot more complicated/harder with kids. I.e. advice most normal married couple with kids would give to newlyweds.

How many kids do you have?

[Jim @JimBobby41]

Would love to see the statistics on birth rates of “normie” couples like the one here vs the chronically online posters writing daily manifestos screeching at incredibly mundane topics like “young couple enjoys going on vacation”

[INTERIOR PORN @INTERIORPORN1]

OMG, do you know how much of a flex this is?? 😭

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@MargBarCinema Ah yes, why take advice from one of the best directors to ever do it when you could instead listen to a pretentious film snob on Twitter.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@StraightGoats67 You are terrified at the thought of doing anything slightly outside of the norm that could invite negative judgment and cope by projecting your insecurities onto others.

Start living your own life and stop chasing approval. It's ironically transparently embarrassing behavior.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@MIK3MCDANIEL "I would have voted for Obama three times" ass tweet.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

And because of conference championships non-power conferences send like 20 teams that have no business being in March Madness every year. We have metrics that tell us accurately how good teams are adjusting for SOS. What are you proposing exactly? Strength of schedule should be ignored in a 400 team league?

[Jim @JimBobby41]

I think this is both true and false. With the built-in fee being comparable and often worse than traditional vig, the more the average rec bettors bet, the more they bet the more they will lose. PM's also need to attract market makers to offer parlays to be competitive with traditional OSB - market makers obviously building in a 'vig' where odds favor them, and Kalshi has an incentive to advertise, push customers towards their 'combos'. Recreational sports bettors wading into non-sports markets will also get their lunch eaten by much more knowledgeable traders and/or inside info.

Agree that traditional OSB incentive structure is more unambiguous but wouldn't be surprised if recreational PM participation is losing at the same if not higher rate.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@verifiedjeff @_FromTheIsland Survivor legends who are among the show's most popular players of all-time have more of a leash to do what they want than Carolyn? Shocking!

[Jim @JimBobby41]

Prediction markets do serve legitimate purposes. However, the way Kalshi frames these arguments through an army of affiliates (with the goal of swaying public opinion) is fundamentally dishonest. The only real controversy around prediction markets is whether they should be able to offer 'sports contracts'. Regulators aren't trying to ban markets that are relevant to the economy or have real hedging function.

There is no compelling argument that sports contracts serve a broader economic purpose unless one is hardcore libertarian or has a direct financial stake in the industry. This is why CFTC head Selig has avoided the 'sports' label in his public opposition, even though sports-related betting accounts for the vast majority of Kalshi’s volume

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@BoringBiz_ “I am being paid to make a product look legitimate and good for society by a bunch of people trying to get rich by offering unregulated sports betting.”

Have some shame.

[Jim @JimBobby41]

@BoringBiz_ Lmao

[Jim @JimBobby41]

I also barely watch shows anymore but still agree with this. Absolute top tier TV is hard to beat - they have the best characters because they have so long to develop and plot points hit a lot harder given we’ve spent so much time with them.

That said I haven’t seen a show that came close to those you listed in years. So it feels hard to justify burning 60 hours of my life watching a TV show I just think is “good” when I could watch 30 movies and get 30 very different, unique experienced in that timespan.