Buffet’s moat and Musk’s innovation points are not mutually exclusive and can coexist. I think another way to look at this, is that Musk focuses on the early stage of the S-curve where heavy investment is usually necessary to innovate and creat new products and growth. This high investment some times delivers return on capital but not always. Buffett on the other hand looks for steady businesses that usually occupy the mature stage of the S-curve, deliver steady cashflows, and have moats because they have had the time to develop them. So they can both be right.
You are making a reasonable point. But put yourself in Trump’s shoes and consider the scenario of the US just leaving and effectively giving Iran control of Hormuz, nukes, continued ballistic missiles, proxies the whole lot. Then think what that means for the loss of power for the US, the damage to the petrodollar and the second and third order consequences.
@iyad_elbaghdadi I think your assessment is directionally correct. One point which is perhaps overestimated in your analysis, is Iran's ability to continue responding as it has, given that itself will also be under increasing attack pressure from the US & Israel
@AndreasSteno Yes indeed, you didn't. My bad. Isn't Iran's biggest card right now choking Hormuz oil exports, and therefore creating economic pain everywhere? What negotiating cards would Iran have if oil flows normalize?
$PROP released its 2025 earnings & investor call a day earlier. Management is clearly running a coordinated playbook ahead of April 7 Series F deadline. They're flooding the market with positive operational data points and trying to build momentum in the stock
Only in California! Newsom is blocking oil production off California’s coast from reaching their own refineries, driving gasoline prices even higher for Californians!
Now, this oil production will have to be shipped elsewhere, lowering gas prices for other areas— just not for California! This is the opposite of common sense! The Trump administration is working every day to LOWER energy prices for ALL Americans!
Sable Offshore Corp. is seeking the Trump administration’s help to jumpstart a California oil project that’s awaiting regulatory approval.
The Houston-based company’s effort to tap hundred of millions of barrels of crude off the coast of Santa Barbara have been stymied by state regulators’ opposition to reopening pipelines that funnel the crude to refineries.
If state approval isn’t forthcoming soon, Sable is prepared to go all-in on a plan to use tanker ships to haul the crude away to other markets, said Chief Executive Officer Jim Flores.
#oott #SOC $SOC https://t.co/cJYmbCFU4e
The $SOC story is an interesting case in investment psychology and how our brains deal with uncertainty
- Threat response: Our brain often treats uncertainty like danger. The amygdala (fear center) lights up, pushing us toward caution
- Filling gaps: When information is missing, our brains instinctively “fill in the blanks”—usually with worst-case scenarios
- Stress & control: Uncertainty raises cortisol (stress hormone) because the brain craves predictability and control.
- Bias toward action: To reduce uncertainty, we often make quick decisions—even bad ones—just to escape the discomfort of “not knowing”
- Takeaway: take a deep breath, examine the facts, reach level-headed conclusions