@GuyGamb@MarinersONTap You realize that kind of winning percentage puts them at 108 or 126 wins in a season? So anything less than 108 games is unacceptable?
@MarinerMuse not talked about a lot is how Leo Rivas started so many games for us in replacement of JP and then Donovan. I honestly think he is a large portion of why we struggled so much early. Even if Emerson regresses a lot he is soooo much better than Rivas and it makes a huge difference
@TheOtherMichaeC@SamiOnTap He's already surpassed Metcalf in my opinion, but the other two are good arguments. Obviously his peak is better than either Baldwin or Lockett, but I'd like to see one more absolutely dominant year to make up for their longevity as great receivers on this team.
@BuildingMyLEGOs@Target@AskTarget Find a better hobby. I think knitting might suit you well. Unless you bitch at hobby lobby for messing up your yarn. Then I guess you better just stare at clouds.
@MaytownMichael@MarinerMuse Regardless of arm strength, a 3B gets half as many plays as a SS in a regular game. Even if he is terrible at 3B, getting a clearly better SS in Emerson to play the most valuable position will help us win games. And I'm not convinced JP will be terrible at 3B
@xXBigSteveXx@JoshinTacoma@hawkblogger@minakimes@BenjaminSolak 2 of your images are about a single game and a playoff run. The other two are that he throws well in certain parts of the field. You don’t get to complain about small sample size my man.
@THEL0VESPACE Yeah Seattle sucks. Definitely don’t come in May-September when we have perfect weather and lush green mountains. You’ll hate it here. Definitely don’t move here, it will be terrible.
@Grazi_2385@hawkblogger@EvanHillHB If you come into a high leverage kick and make it, you get credit for both a high game leverage and a high win probability. And I believe the third metric was game score differential. A close game would mean a high leverage situation. Those all seem pretty strongly correlated.
@hawkblogger@EvanHillHB Not trying to dismiss her analysis, but being high on the y axis is not as impressive as being far on the x axis (distance of kick/likelihood of making it) because the y axis 3x the same metric, so getting high leverage kicks often would make you seem more impressive.
@hawkblogger@EvanHillHB I'm not a math wizard, but doesn't she triple count the same(ish) stat three times? WP added, game situation leverage and score differential all say the same thing: How leveraged was the kick. I can't see her algorithm, but counting that thrice would skew his numbers. Am I wrong?
@BSUhawk2@OwenRich129158@MarinerMuse Your point is he shouldn’t have a bulk of the AB in a season and I agree. But not being a full time player and not being good are two different things. He is a great bench bat and backup catcher for league minimum. He is not worth it at $12m a year as our main DH
@BSUhawk2@OwenRich129158@MarinerMuse Running a victory lap after 16 AB is a wild take and brings me back to my main point. YDKB. He has a 132 wrc vs lefties in his career. As a 12m a year DH he was bad. But now he’s making vet minimum. Find me a better backup catcher for 2.5 million a year.
@NoContextHawks@SeahawksForever Totally agree, and should have caveated my comment with that. I'm not claiming Fowler will be amazing like Lawrence but adding talent through veterans like that is what led to our Superbowl, along with the blue chip draftees. You have to add talent everywhere.