Josh Gotbaum

Former Midwesterner. Fixes problems in govt & business. @BrookingsInst writes on economic, retirement & regulatory issues. Sings well, bikes badly. RT≠...

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

One would not expect an academic economist to have useful advice for the #Democrats but this is an unusual economist https://t.co/wjm4LcBuMZ

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Most honest observers, even experts, admit they DK who the Democratic presidential nominee will be in 2028. Partly that's bc there's lots of talent out there that might surprise on social media. Here's another: Jon Ossoff https://t.co/hrbuVUGVRa via @politicalwire

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

A reminder from ⁦@FareedZakaria⁩ that pain should be taken seriously, that it is more than just economics. https://t.co/Ua6bDKrtWO

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Politicians will claim that "the One Big Beautiful Bill" helps everyone. The facts are otherwise: OBBBA will hurt as many families with children as it helps. On net it will ultimately hurt average and poor working families.

[Brookings Econ @BrookingsEcon]

Because of OBBBA's benefit cuts for working class and lower-income families, it will likely end up hurting roughly as many families with children as it helps.

New analysis from @JoshGotbaum -> https://t.co/TomDdK3LLW

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Some ways of helping children have bipartisan support. The distinctly non-bipartisan #OneBigBeautifulBill Act adopts several -- but #OBBBA will hurt as many children as it helps. @BrookingsEcon https://t.co/0zqFYtTqzk

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

In 2017 President Trump signed a law protecting federal workers from being ordered to break the law. Now his administration is violating that law, the Follow the Rules Act. https://t.co/dkHrwjJaHb

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

2025 Sammies Honoree: Federal Employee of the Year - Dave Lebryk  https://t.co/ixfSw419RE

"If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs..."

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Most people don't understand economists, despite efforts like @JustinWolfers's here.

They do, however, understand that tariffs raise prices, and are beginning to understand that tariffs are (import) taxes that they end up paying.

So there's progress. Keep it up, Justin.

[Justin Wolfers @JustinWolfers]

Lemme explain what bilateral trade deficits are, so that you can better understand -- and perhaps be infuriated by -- the intellectual error that's transforming our economy. #TeachEcon

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Absolutely true. #Retirement #pensions were created in the 19th century. Much has changed since but -- as our lives get healthier & longer & "careers" = many jobs -- the need for rethinking & reform remains. The challenge is deciding which changes make sense in the 21st C.

[BlackRock @BlackRock]

Why our definition of retirement is outmoded cc: @JoshGotbaum @LongevityCenter @Marc_Freedman
https://t.co/17ak4dyk2U

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

"...in light of the New Orleans #Terroristattack both political parties should ask: “Why is this massive industry not helping prevent such attacks? Why not a tip, as we [get] from banks and every financial institution worldwide...?” https://t.co/hdBFQXBK2B

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

From Dave Barry: "we’re looking forward to a beloved New Year’s Eve tradition...in Times Square...that giant ball starts to descend, [and] the people gazing up will all be united by a common hope — that the giant ball was not manufactured by Boeing." https://t.co/be9npruPmw

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

A reminder that Labor Day was a struggle for ordinary workers to have a better life. That struggle continues. Worth remembering when talking to your boss about your pay & politicians about your vote.

https://t.co/olItKcjCIA

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Starving #SocialSecurity instead of saving it?!? Seriously? You don't #SaveSocialSecurity by eliminating taxes that help pay for it. https://t.co/aQvKmj4P7D

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

WOYT. @WendyEdelberg tracks both prices and wages carefully. As of today, by the most common measures, #wages have caught up to #inflation. @BrookingsEcon

[Wendy Edelberg @WendyEdelberg]

Tomorrow morning I’ll be on CNBC’s Squawk Box (in person! not in a Zoom box!) to react to new CPI numbers. I’ll be thinking about our interactive showing how different inflation and pay measures affect conclusions about real pay: https://t.co/H3Fcl5YpeS

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Good #inflation news today. How about also reporting that, for the average person, pay has caught up to rising prices. People might feel better about the economy if they knew that. https://t.co/B6gS61KkqC

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

With all the focus on #inflation, it's worth noting that average pay has now caught up. Everyone knows prices have risen, but not that wages have, on average, caught up.

[Mark Zandi @Markzandi]

Inflation continues to cool, as strongly evidenced by today’s CPI report for June. Most encouraging, prices for staples, including food at home, gasoline, and new lease rents haven’t materially changed for more than a year. And aside from the vexed implicit cost of homeownership, so-called owner’s equivalent rent, inflation has completely cooled off. That is, excluding OER, inflation has been consistent with the Fed’s inflation target for more than a year.

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Perhaps also worth mentioning: Average pay has caught up with rising prices since January 2021

[Jason Furman @jasonfurman]

Amazing inflation data for June!!!

A big slowdown in shelter growth meant that core was up only 0.1% (0.8% annual rate). That + transitory gasoline decline drove headline down 0.1% (0.7% annual rate).

Over the last 3 / 6 /12 months core has been:

1.1% / 3.3% / 3.3%

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

@WhiteHouseCEA Perhaps also worth mentioning: Average pay has now caught up to average prices

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

And it continues to look as though #WagesAreCatchingUp to #inflation. Worth mentioning.

[Jason Furman @jasonfurman]

The economy added 206K jobs in June, continuing at about the same pace it has all year.

The unemployment rate rose by 0.1pp but at the same time participation rose 0.1pp so the employment rate was unchanged.

Hourly earnings up 0.3%.

[Josh Gotbaum @JoshGotbaum]

Today's @BLS_gov: #WagesareCatchingUp to #inflation. The @NYTimes took note, as did @POTUS. If enough people find out, maybe opinions about the economy will improve. @BrookingsEcon

https://t.co/B6gS61KSga