John Eccles

The Silver & Blue Restoration Project

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Independent fan analysis. Not affiliated with the Cowboys, NFL, NFLPA or any player. Numbers from public reporting (links in replies); "my math" is mine. Nothing here claims to know what Dak or the team will do.

#CowboysNation

[Boston Celtics @celtics]

Finish the road trip 4-0 ☘️ #DifferentHere

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@stoolpresidente The Celtics are very similar to the Dodgers in this respect. When the Celtics hit their 3 pointers they beat everyone, when they don't they become very beatable. The Dodgers either hit home runs, and a lot of them or they are also very beatable.

[NBACentral @TheDunkCentral]

THE BOSTON CELTICS ARE NOW IN FIRST PLACE IN THE EAST 🔥

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@LandryHat The way out: extend Dak only with a real hometown discount, give CeeDee a smaller haircut on his second deal, then re-sign Porter and Pickens at year-1 hits that actually fit. That's how you keep this window open a couple more years. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@LandryHat Deadline just passed, and Dallas was neither a buyer nor a seller. You're right about QB purgatory. The flip side is cap purgatory: no discount, and you have to move productive guys like Pickens for little back. There's a third path. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@celtics @sixers @NBCSBoston @NBAonNBC @985TheSportsHub @SIRIUSXM That said, this should still be a good game. New rivals in Tatum and Brown, and even in Philly the spread is only 1.5. Tight one tonight. #NBA

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@celtics @sixers @NBCSBoston @NBAonNBC @985TheSportsHub @SIRIUSXM Celtics 8-2, Sixers 9-2, but the quality isn't close. Boston's 8 wins came against teams averaging 2.1 wins; the only one over a .500 team was 107-103 vs the 5-4 Knicks. Philly's 9 wins average 3.6, with two over New York and a road win at 7-3 Detroit. #NBA

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

From day one, President Trump made homeland security NATIONAL SECURITY.

The message is simple: this is our hemisphere. Act accordingly.

[Juanita Broaddrick @atensnut]

This is sooo SICK!! 😡😡😡

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

We will defend this republic. 🇺🇸

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Being in cap purgatory is not all that much fun either. Because of all the back to back restructures moving on now from Dak now would create a 2 yr dead cap money fiasco, but the question is when do you rip that band aide off and reset? It looks like from the numbers that extending Dak at a discount is only way out, and in order to keep both Porter and Pickens and possibly add to the Defense. We would need to extend Dak at a discount (to stretch it all out - the Mahomes strategy) and stagger the other restructures and also extend CeeDee at a minor discount as well - both will most likely not happen so unless we hit on 100% of every remaining draft pick (probability is very low - or make some big trades) we will just have to get used to being in cap purgatory for a while.

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@1053thefan Gavin's right to hesitate. Dallas is 3-0 against 2-win teams, 1-2 against 3-win teams, and 0-3 against the Giants, Ravens, and Packers. Buying only helps if this roster can beat good teams, and the record is a thin case for it.
https://t.co/ISKKjnE0xG
#CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Dallas survives Indy 27-23 and sits 4-5, two games behind the Giants (5-2-1), who already beat us 28-20 in Week 1. Deadline is tomorrow, 4 p.m. ET. To take the East, Dallas has to win two more games than New York the rest of the way. One isn't enough. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Deadline is tomorrow, 4 p.m. ET. Buying only helps if this roster can beat good teams, and it is 0-3 against teams with 4 or more wins. Models disagree on the East, but the on-field record is a thin case for buying. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Dallas survives Indy 27-23 and sits 4-5, two games behind the Giants (5-2-1), who already beat us 28-20 in Week 1. Deadline is tomorrow, 4 p.m. ET. To take the East, Dallas has to win two more games than New York the rest of the way. One isn't enough. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

The Giants are 5-2-1, but all five wins came against a combined 13-30, all below .500. They're 0-1 against winning teams. For Dallas to go 5-3 and New York 3-6, both have to break that pattern. Five of Dallas's last eight are against teams with 5 or more wins. #CowboysNation

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

@FirstTake @stephenasmith Wow, a little bit of truth sauce. Maybe even a lot.

[John Eccles @JTEx70]

Yeah, Dak will be better off. It’s going to sting from a cap perspective with dead money for the next two years and a performance drop-off. However, we may as well rip the band-aid off sooner rather than later and at least get some decent draft capital in return for him. There’s no way he and his agent Todd France are going to agree to stay in Dallas on a discounted extension so we can keep both Porter Jr. and Pickens. So yeah, now’s the time to do it. Keep the rest and add to it now. The Eagles traded away their QB and built up pretty fast after that. I used to be in the camp that said, extend Dak and keep building around him, but I just cant see it anymore. Unless you have Mahomes the cap busting QBs are just not the way to go anymore, and Mahomes isn't even busting the cap with those back to back long extensions. Our best opportunity with Dak was when he was on his rookie deal and his first tag, but we blew that window. Now he is a really good QB still but the impact of his contract to the rest of the team is too steep. Thats on the front office.