Juarez Coelho

I believe the core of trading is not about predicting every rise and fall, but about building an executable system and discipline. Here, I share my analysis pro

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

I've been in $IREN for almost two years now.

Watched it go from a Bitcoin miner trying to break into AI to a $4B contracted ARR AI cloud play with Microsoft, NVIDIA, Perplexity and a bunch of others, sitting on 5GW+ of power.

The vibe is totally different now. I've never seen people this hyped.

Chamath just called it one of the winners of the open-source AI shift. JPMorgan flipped from Underweight to Overweight. Zero sell ratings, price targets stretching toward $99. NVIDIA even has warrants on 30 million shares at $70.

And the actual business is finally catching up.

Horizon 1 is delivered and accepted by Microsoft. H2 is commissioning, H3 and H4 right behind it. 2026 capacity is pretty much sold out. They're building toward 1.2GW in 2027.

Demand's getting stronger. Pricing's getting better.

The market used to treat the AI story like it might happen.

It's happening. Demand, pricing, customers, infrastructure, execution, narrative — all lining up at the same time.

I think the run into year-end could be special.

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

$IREN used to be a Bitcoin miner. That’s not the story anymore.

They own the scarce stuff: power, data centers, and GPU clusters. Then they rent that compute to AI companies.

Microsoft is in for $9.7B over five years. Horizon 1 is already live. NVIDIA signed off on the hardware. About $4B of 2026 ARR is contracted. They’ve locked up ~2.9GW of power.

The stock’s around $46. A lot of the Street sits closer to $79.

Bull case: demand is real, power is tight, pricing is rising. Bear case: huge capex, financing risk, and they have to deliver on time.
Simple setup. High beta. It works if the megawatts show up.

$IREN $NVDA $MSFT

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

$IREN is no longer a “Bitcoin-mining beta.” It is a high-volatility growth stock on scarce power × AI cloud delivery.

Whether the story holds will not be decided by today’s tape. It will be decided over the next two quarters: can contracted capacity turn into real recognized revenue?

Not investment advice. For a high-vol name, position size and risk control matter more than the thesis.

#IREN #AIInfrastructure #Neocloud #Stocks

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@JonatasDiniz Marvelous

[Diniz Jonatas @JonatasDiniz]

Cost basis (Sep 15)
IREN: 1,500 shares × $41.23 = $61,845
NVDA: 500 shares × $212.26 = $106,130
MU: 100 shares × $922.61 = $92,261
Total cost: $260,236
Current snapshot
IREN ≈ $44.40 → 1,500 shares = $66,600 (unrealized +$4,755, +7.7%)
NVDA ≈ $219.40 → 500 shares = $109,700 (unrealized +$3,570, +3.4%)
MU ≈ $980 → 100 shares = $98,000 (unrealized +$5,739, +6.2%)
I’ll update my personal positions daily. This post is my personal opinion only — not financial advice.
$IREN $NVDA $MU

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@JonatasDiniz Agree. Naming Anthropic doesn’t move the needle. Pricing every new MW off the old Microsoft number does

[Diniz Jonatas @JonatasDiniz]

$IREN

Look, IREN still won’t name the “frontier lab.” I’ve said for a while I think it’s Anthropic

But the name isn’t the story. The story is what that contract does to the price of every megawatt

This is how Anthropic has been buying compute:
SpaceX when they need the cluster now
Nscale and Lambda when they’re locking in capacity later
Now look at IREN:
Microsoft was about $9.7M per MW on a five-year
New three-year deals are already over $20M per MW
Live talks are around $25M
2026 capacity is basically sold out

If the market is still pricing IREN off last year’s Microsoft number, every new megawatt is cheap
Keep guessing the logo if you want
The re-rate is in the dollars per MW

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

Leopold Aschenbrenner bought $IREN at $6 and 20x’d it���

Now he’s loading up on a new 10-bagger.

I think it’s hive:native 👀

Drop your takes below 👇

[Diniz Jonatas @JonatasDiniz]

Position check 📊 (Sept 17 morning)

Added these yesterday and they’re already running.

1,500 $IREN at $41.23 → $43.44
Up $3,315
500 $NVDA at $212.26 → $217.80
Up $2,770

100 $MU at $922.61 → $975
Up $5,239
Threw in $260k, sitting at ~$271.6k now.
Up $11.3k (+4.35%) in two days.

MU doing the heavy lifting today. Still holding.

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

Huge gap up this morning on $SPX and $QQQ.
SPX up almost 100 points — 7700 possible by tomorrow. QQQ +12 premarket, let’s see if it can run to 722 early next week.
Everybody on FinTwit was super bearish, market always does the opposite of what the crowd thinks.
AMD ripping +20 premarket, 550 in play. META to 700 next, DELL 600 coming.
If $MU and $SNDK hold this gap, MU to 1000, SNDK 1700 possible.
Good luck today, don’t chase this open!

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@JonatasDiniz Yeah this tracks. If GPU rental prices keep climbing, these names can actually absorb the higher financing costs. Nvidia just keeps selling scarce hardware and printing cash. The real question is how long those rental rates hold up

[Diniz Jonatas @JonatasDiniz]

As long as GPU rental prices keep rising, $CRWV, $IREN , $NBIS, $WULF and others can better absorb higher financing costs, while Nvidia keeps selling scarce hardware and generating massive cash flow of its own.

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

As far as I know, $IREN is the only neocloud that has locked in nearly 100% of FY2027 CapEx.
Immediate competitors $NBIS and $CRWV have secured 60–90%

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

From the main stage to the $IREN AI Cloud Lounge — the conversations continue.
Last chance to visit us at #AllInSummit 2026.

[Rookie Golden @goldennrookie]

Currently keeping exposure light with only four longs:
$DE and $TEVA are performing relatively well,
$ET and $CAH are slightly profitable and still holding above my stops.
$IWM is my hedge.
Market is under pressure — staying light and waiting patiently for a clearer signal.

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@kevinxu You explained this in a way that really clicked. Been following @JonatasDiniztoo and finding both of your posts valuable

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@WhaleScan You explained this in a way that really clicked. Been following @JonatasDiniz too and finding both of your posts valuable

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@StockOptionCole You explained this in a way that really clicked. Been following @JonatasDiniz too and finding both of your posts valuable

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@JUST_KAWS You explained this in a way that really clicked. Been following @JonatasDiniz too and finding both of your posts valuable

[Juarez Coelho @JuarezCoelhode1]

@amitisinvesting You explained this in a way that really clicked. Been following @JonatasDiniz too and finding both of your posts valuable.