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Kickback Bets
@Kickback_Bets
Data-driven sports betting powered by sharp models and smart insights. Kickback and cash in with picks you can trust.
Joined May 2025
112 Following
54 Followers
395 Posts
โพ ACTIVE AGAIN: Guardians Rebound After a Loss (This Season)
๐ฅ 7-0 on the ML | 129.38% ROI
๐จ Active on Guardians -110 at Cardinals
โ ๏ธ Per @BetMGM: 76% Tickets, 84% Handle is on Guardians ML (+110 Open โก๏ธ -110 Now)
(via TrendsCenter)
https://t.co/FQtDK8SxYe
CASH IT ๐ธ
Back like we never left. Great to be back in the win column.
#Kickbackbets #modeldriven #data #NFL
We are back with an NFL pick here for week 14!
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 59.89 when the line opened at 55.5.
Trust the data! Let's get back to our winning ways!
#NFL #SportsBettingX #Kickbackbets #ModelDriven #DataDriven
We are back with an NFL pick here for week 14!
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 59.89 when the line opened at 55.5.
Trust the data! Let's get back to our winning ways!
#NFL #SportsBettingX #Kickbackbets #ModelDriven #DataDriven
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
Rangers vs. Mariners this evening โ our model flags this one at a projected 8.99 total runs when the line opened at 7.5.
Rangers starter Kumar Rocker holds a 4.95 ERA in the month of July, coming off of an outing where he allowed 3 earned runs. Additionally, Texas has averaged 5.8 runs per game over their last 5 games.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing the OVER 7.5 runs in Seattle.
#MLB #Mariners #Rangers #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
We are back๐โ
๐ต
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers this afternoon at 1PM EST โ our model flags this one at a projected 8.04 total runs when the line opened at 9.5.
The Diamondbacks have been on a 4-game skid, and in which have only managed to average 0.8 runs per game in their last 5. Additionally, Arizona starter, Ryne Nelson, is coming off of back-to-back great outings. He has allowed a single earned run in his last 12 IP. In which he only has allowed 5 hits and racked up 8 Ks.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing UNDER 9.5 total runs in Detroit.
#MLB #Tigers #Diamondbacks #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
Final #MLB play of the day (1U) โพ๏ธ๐ฅ
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 9.08 when the line opened at 7.5.
No gut feelings here. This pick is all numbers โ backed by the model, backed by the data. We like the value, and we're locking it in.
#KickbackBets #MLB #SportsBettingX #DataDriven #ModelDriven #Rockies #Guardians
Next 1 Unit #MLB play of the day โพ๏ธ๐ฅ
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 7.47 when the line opened at 9.5.
Letโs keep riding the data wave. Projections say weโre in for another win.
#MLB #SportsBettingX #Kickbackbets #ModelDriven #DataDriven #philliesbaseball #WhiteSox
Looking for a bounce back day to end the month of July. Let's get hot in the #MLB today ๐ช
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 8.84 when the line opened at 7.5.
No gut feelings here. This pick is all numbers โ backed by the model, backed by the data. We like the value, and we're locking it in.
#KickbackBets #MLB #SportsBettingX #DataDriven #ModelDriven #Nationals #Astros
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers this afternoon at 1PM EST โ our model flags this one at a projected 8.04 total runs when the line opened at 9.5.
The Diamondbacks have been on a 4-game skid, and in which have only managed to average 0.8 runs per game in their last 5. Additionally, Arizona starter, Ryne Nelson, is coming off of back-to-back great outings. He has allowed a single earned run in his last 12 IP. In which he only has allowed 5 hits and racked up 8 Ks.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing UNDER 9.5 total runs in Detroit.
#MLB #Tigers #Diamondbacks #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
Next #MLB bet of the day โพ๏ธ๐ฅ
After a nice bounce back day yesterday (+1.44U) we look to continue the heat into today ๐ช
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 9.68 when the line opened at 7.5.
Letโs keep riding the data wave. Projections say weโre in for another win.
#MLB #SportsBettingX #Kickbackbets #ModelDriven #DataDriven #MarlinsBeisbol #Cardinals
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
We cashed our Couch Cushion yesterday let's run it back today with a winner ๐ช
Braves vs. Royals tonight โ our model flags this one at a projected 7.11 total runs when the line opened at 9.5.
Over their last 5 games the Braves have struggled dropping 4 of them, only averaging 4.4 runs per game. They face tonight a solid home starter, Seth Lugo who has a 2.48 ERA in Kansas City.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing UNDER 9.5 total runs in Kansas City.
#MLB #BravesCountry #Royals #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
We are back ๐ช๐ฅ
Our model is ready to kill today's #MLB slate with 3 solid plays:
๐๏ธCOL/CLE o8.5 (-120)
-Proj. 10.00
LAD/CIN u9.5 (-130)
-Proj. 7.02
WAS/HOU o7.5 (-110)
-Proj. 9.82
#KickbackBets #ModelDriven #DataDriven #sportsbettingtwitter #MLB
Model has been cold lately taking the weekend off will be back Monday better with more winners ๐ช๐ฅ
Back with another #WNBA bet ๐ฅ๐
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 168.35 when the line opened at 156.5.
No gut feelings here. This pick is all numbers โ backed by the model, backed by the data. We like the value, and we're locking it in.
#KickbackBets #WNBA #SportsBettingX #DataDriven #ModelDriven #Sky #Storm
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
Looking for a big bounce back day and the model was all over this play right here. Vegas messed up with this line!!
A's vs. Astros tonight โ our model flags Houston at a team total of 5.01 total runs when the line opened at 3.5.
Starting for the A's tonight is Luis Severino who in July is posting a 5.14 ERA. Additionally, over their last 5 games, Houston has averaged 6 runs per game while the A's have allowed 5 runs per game.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing the Astros team total OVER 3.5 runs in Houston.
#MLB #Astros #As #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
Final #MLB play of the day ๐ฅโพ๏ธ(1U)
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 10.18 when the line opened at 8.5.
No gut feelings here. This pick is all numbers โ backed by the model, backed by the data. We like the value, and we're locking it in.
#KickbackBets #MLB #SportsBettingX #DataDriven #ModelDriven #Dodgers #Twins
Second #MLB bet of the day ๐ฅโพ๏ธ (1U)
Our betting model has this game projected at a total of 9.98 when the line opened at 8.5.
Letโs keep riding the data wave. Projections say weโre in for another win.
#MLB #SportsBettingX #Kickbackbets #ModelDriven #DataDriven #Astros #Dbacks
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
We nailed back-to-back CCOD looking for 3 in a row now ๐ฅ๐ช
Royals vs. Cubs this afternoon โ our model flags this one at a projected 7.70 total runs when the line opened at 10.5.
For Kansas City its Seth Lugo getting the start on the mound as he posts an ERA on the road just above 3 and holds opposing batters to .220 AVG. More importantly, its Colin Rea for the Cubs who has been red hot in July. He posts a 1.45 ERA and a 3-0 record for Chicago as he holds opponents to a .143 BA. He has not allowed more than 1 run in his last 3 starts lasting over 18 innings of work.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing UNDER 10.5 total runs in Chicago.
#MLB #Royals #Cubs #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven
CASH ANOTHER๐ตโ
Back-to-back days we cash our couch cushion of the day. Letโs get hot๐ฅ
Couch Cushion of the Day ๐๏ธ๐ฐ (2U)
Orioles vs. Guardians in an early evening matchup today โ our model flags this one at a projected 9.90 total runs when the line opened at 7.5.
In Baltimore's last 5 games they have allowed an average of 7.8 runs per game while Cleveland over their last 5 have scored an average 6.8. Additionally, Oriole starter, Brandon Young is coming off of a horrible outing allowing 7 earned runs off of 4 home runs and 9 hits in only 4.1 innings of work.
Based on our algorithmic projections, weโre confidently backing OVER 7.5 total runs in Cleveland.
#MLB #GuardsBall #Orioles #CouchCushion #Kickbackbets #SportsBettingX #ModelDriven #DataDriven
The #WNBA is back from break, and we are back with another play. The model has been red hot predicting these games lets continue that streak ๐ช๐ฅ๐
Our betting model has this game at a projected score of 87.45 - 81.34 in favor of Atlanta.
No gut feelings here. This pick is all numbers โ backed by the model, backed by the data. We like the value, and we're locking it in.
#KickbackBets #WNBA #SportsBettingX #DataDriven #ModelDriven #Dream #Aces
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