KSplit | Strikeout Analytics

Bottom up Strikeout Modeling | Owner @AMPAnalytics_ |

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

MLB Regular Season Recap

Straights: +58.4u ✅
Parlays: -38.0u ❌

Overall +20.4u, +2.04% ROI ✅

Disappointing season, I’ve learned a lot this year, just gotta be better moving forward!

[+EV Dingers @EV_Dingers]

If you make a 8-9 leg SGP on one game, you're not allowed to complain when you fall 1 leg short

Let's skip the discussion about correlation nerfing your odds deep into the -EV category on certain books (cough* FD)

But let's dive deeper into the fact that these SGPs are full of legs that are overtly -EV as well. You can compound your Expected Value by taking multiple EV legs, sure. But the vast majority are taking the -200, -300 types of builders cause they're "safer"

Yeah sure 7+ Keon receptions is amazing EV at +1300 Bally vs +680 FD but you never see that leg included. No, you see the 3+ rec instead at -186 Bally compared to -180 Fanduel instead

There is no such thing as a safe leg, -200 Bijan didn't hit, -420 Oregon didn't hit, -340 LSU didn't hit

Gathering 90% hit rate legs just to get a bigger payout is already a losing game to begin with. The price you're sacrificing is so often overlooked these days

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

@MonolithPicks 🫡🫡

[MonolithPicks @MonolithPicks]

One last note! My for you tab has been lots of hockey bets, data, and now modeling - and I absolutely love it.

Some are new (even if just new to me), so I’m wanted to give a shoutout to guys that I appreciate for not only the work they do and the value they bring, but because it’s very cool to see likeminded people who love hockey:

@ShotPropz
@SushiBet
@AMPAnalytics_
(@KSplitAnalytics is the ⚾️ machine)

And the original:

@MoneyPuckdotcom

I will be adding to this list as I discover more. I wanted to show my support to them for their hard work also (it’s not easy, I can attest). They’re all worth a follow, and worth every cent to use their services as well!

🗿 X 🏒

[Ant 🎲🎲 @Dfsprodigy23]

A thousand reasons to pay attention tonight

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

Significant odds discrepancy on Kyle Tucker first plate appearance to result in a strikeout

+146 on FD
+295 on DK

Played +295, 0.6u risk

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

One more, Will Smith +260 on TheScore, +155on DK

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

Significant odds discrepancy on Kyle Tucker first plate appearance to result in a strikeout

+146 on FD
+295 on DK

Played +295, 0.6u risk

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

Significant odds discrepancy on Kyle Tucker first plate appearance to result in a strikeout

+146 on FD
+295 on DK

Played +295, 0.6u risk

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

@IIPatll

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

I know nothing about Hockey, profited about 5 units yesterday solely from the bot’s plays

🫡

[Pat 🧘‍♂️⚾️ @IIPatll]

One cool feature from the @AMPAnalytics_ discord I want to highlight is a bot that is set up to send plays from the website to the discord. For example, it posted these 2 lines yesterday afternoon. I hadn’t seen either line yet myself at the time, and was able to then go and place them along with anyone else following in the discord. All the info relevant for the bet is included, as well as a link to place the bet in the appropriate Sportsbook. Going forward, this bot should really help with identifying any potential value and subscribers won’t have to rely on me to be scanning for and posting lines all day.

Note: the website only uses lines from FanDuel, DraftKings and Caesars so any lines it posts should be available to most subscribers. Subs don’t have to worry about a bunch of off-market lines being spammed from the bot from books like MGM, bet365, TheScore, etc.

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

@IIPatll More so using a 42(?) year old Aaron Rogers career averages is just malicious lol

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

252.0 career YPG 🔥

😭😭😭

[Max Bets @MaxSportsBetts]

@AMPAnalytics_ @KSplitAnalytics big question for Mitchell will be does he come up a fourth time

[A.M.P Analytics Arena @AMPAnalytics_]

Batter total Ks from @KSplitAnalytics

+14000 3 leg .1u

Bauers o1.5 Ks +112 1u
Mitchell o1.5 Ks+171 1u
Mitchell o2.5 Ks +910 .3u

https://t.co/fEkhXT7HVc

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

@1tvnnxr Ras gonna shove

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

For the “odds don’t matter just pick winners” crowd

I went 14-16 yesterday, lost more bets than I won

AND I WENT UP 10 UNITS

Your price matters!!

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

I’m upset!

[A.M.P Analytics Arena @AMPAnalytics_]

Great night from @KSplitAnalytics

+200 ✅
+154 ✅
+130 ✅
-133 ✅

https://t.co/w4vkpZRwCU

[KSplit | Strikeout Analytics @KSplitAnalytics]

Alright! We got one!

[A.M.P Analytics Arena @AMPAnalytics_]

😪