I run the LASER Index, which is a portfolio of stocks that has generated ~40%/year since ‘23. I currently rank in the top ~1% of all analysts on TipRanks
@EugeneNg No primary source brother but I see 47% fcf margin.. for Q1’26? I believe… in a variety of articles on Google
Hurts to even read considering Ayden doing far less with half the growth lol
After the $STRIP investor update letter, I discovered that the underperformance was worse than anticipated...
41% STRIP H1 growth with 43% fcf margins
21% $ADYEY H1 growth with 30-35% fcf margins
Unbelievable underperformance
I'll say, in ADYEY's defense, Thiel and the PYPL Network literally run large parts of the politico-economy in America, and STRIP is one of their investments, so it stands to reason that STRIP is getting huge deals from this network at ADYEY's expense
That said, ADYEY should not be growing so slowly, and I do believe their recent CFO exchange is an ode to this reality
$ADYEY is up a bunch on its am print and LASER is long it
But man they are underperforming where they should be
Yes rates have ripped but the global economic system remains strong
For ADYEY to be scraping by at 20% growth with like 3% total global market share while STRIP grows 30%+, from estimates I’ve seen, indicates they’re Europerforming, which is to say underperforming
$ET is a wild stock
I recall reading, in 2016 during the shale bust, that all one had to do was buy ET and bet on the personality of Kelcy
5 yrs later, ET was back to $5/share, right back to the level it’d reached in early 2016
Today, it’s cruising at $21/share with a big dividend, transporting the Lifeblood (nat gas) of the Mind of God (data centers)
Thank you for your the correction
Yes, you’re right, and I made an error in the post
That said, the underperformance is real in my view, and the CFO exchange is on the heels of 2-3 years of this weaker growth
Google is saying 47% fcf margin for STRIP 🤔
Do you have a metric for it by chance?
Thanks for reaching out btw, Eugene
One way for $CPNG and $SE to avert the shareholder pain that will be experienced by way of Total Extinction Events for certain nations in their markets, e.g., Taiwan, will be to layer on new products atop their existing portfolio of products.
This is why I take such great umbrage with them burning cash on buybacks instead of morphing into vendors of compute (note that we will need much greater quantities of compute over time)
In order to thrive long term, they should be focused on building as many products as possible whereby they overcome the drag of collapsing populations
For years now, I have been asking that $SE and $CPNG use spare cash to become vendors of compute and to sell that compute to the Asian market. They're already building their own data centers and racks, so it would be seamless.
But they have refused. They won't become compute vendors, and instead are using the capital for buybacks... Just lighting this cash on fire...
Makes absolutely no sense to me
The mesmerizing natural phenomena of reality are all merely formulas waiting to be executed in a digital environment
We're gonna need a lot more compute $NBIS $NVDA $ANET $ALAB $AMD
$CPNG is one of the best, most dominant businesses on earth, but its long term success is gated by the Collapse of the Korean Nation, which should be seen as a national emergency
What I’ve found is that most people 1) don’t know the nation is demographically collapsing and 2) couldn’t remotely begin to tell you why or how to fix it
The robots will not save us
This is unironically what I mean when I say Worshiping at the Altar of these LLMs by internalizing a single word they say about the social structure of the world will serve to further collapse birth rates and drive earth towards economic collapse and civil war
Wait till you find out the majority of the country has no idea what you're talking about and, even the conservative boomers, are willing to vote for even more federal reserve/money printing-backed socialism lol
We're in a civilizational cycle, and it'll likely get worse before it gets better
It's incredible that $TSLA sustains a huge premium to fair value based on its robotics ambitions
Meanwhile, $AMZN already has a fleet of robots, which have automated large portions of its delivery network, and will almost certainly field a general purpose robotics product
$AXON is interesting to me in that it can aggregate all of the data from:
Officer location tracking
Body cam recordings
Verbal interactions captured by body cam
Vehicle dash cam
Drone video
Helicopter video
Interrogation room video
Physical evidence collection such as bullets
Digital evidence extraction from phones
Prior crimes of suspects
City CCTV cameras
Corporate CCTV such as in banks or stadiums
Ankle monitors
And more data revolving around a crime, and AXON leverage AI to build a case for the prosecution
AXON is not tasers or body cams
It is the all seeing intelligence of a municipality’s or state’s law enforcement arm