Avoid Boring People in 2020: Year in Review
- 5 favourite free articles, subscriber articles, and links
- Reflecting on the newsletter
- Reader competition
- Reflecting on my year
https://t.co/v7PQfualom
1/23
Who is Claude Shannon?
Claude Shannon published two foundational papers that earned him the title 'father of the information age' and invented the bit.
https://t.co/EuyFw0t5Vw
Book Review: Fooled by Randomness
Nassim Taleb's 'Fooled by Randomness' argues that in expectation, a dentist is richer than a rock star when accounting for all who enter each profession.
https://t.co/60DzBaxO3V
The scaling property of randomness means a 93% yearly success probability for an investment drops to 50% per second, hiding short-term volatility. (4/5)
Public secrets
Industry insiders reveal that companies gain little value from M&A talks with investment bankers, as they already know the landscape better.
https://t.co/5cgB0TeKJt
This structure lets the company buy back stock risk while raising some cash, making it ideal for firms seeking repurchases more than pure funding. (5/5)
Convertible arbitrage and short exposure
GoPro's 2017 convertible issuance let arbitrage investors short the stock directly to the company through derivatives, avoiding expensive market borrowing.
https://t.co/KYGhE1cE4K
The solution involves the underwriting bank selling the company's stock to itself via a forward contract, then passing the short exposure to arbs through a swap. (4/5)