@NoLimitGains as a fact about the past, SPGI > SPY, just. As a decision for your money, they’re not comparable — one is a diversified base, the other is a concentrated pick
@EntangledAlpha@NoLimitGains It lags the MAG7, but so does virtually everything, because the MAG7 are the outlier. Over the past 10 years SPGI returned about 17.9% annualized versus SPY’s 15.4%.
@NoLimitGains The Fed still has tools. They can restart QE overnight, reopen swap lines, expand the SRF. They did exactly this in March 2020 and September 2019. The system is fragile but it’s not unsupported. The question is whether the Fed acts before or after the damage.
@FTSFakTheSystem@NoLimitGains Crypto goes everywhere is exactly the problem. It went to $69K, then to $15K, then to $73K, then to $126K, now back to $84K. That's not a cycle — that's a seizure. Crypto having market cycles doesn't fix that — it just means you lose it faster.
@NoLimitGains That's not a trade. That's a phone call.
Someone knew Hormuz was opening 20 minutes before the public announcement. $760M in Brent shorts, perfectly timed. The oil crash from $93 to $83 that we watched earlier tonight — that person made roughly $76M in twenty minutes.
@NoLimitGains keep cash, watch volume, know what you own, have a plan for both directions, and don’t let greed convince you that this time is different. It never is.
@NoLimitGains 2000-2009 wasn’t actually flat for everyone. Individual stocks moved 20-50% within that range. Active traders made money while buy-and-hold investors broke even. The market went nowhere in aggregate, but the sectors rotated constantly. Energy boomed 2003-2008. Healthcare steady
@KireenR @SkyBet I placed a bet twice because I have a split personality. One of me is a cautious gambler who only bets what he can afford to lose. The other one is a reckless adventurer who loves to chase the thrill of victory. They don’t always agree on everything, but they both agreed on this