Setup discipline matters. For ADXGapper / 80-20 style reversals, the undercut is the only condition. The trade requires a 10-minute reclaim above the trigger. Yesterday’s Tech/Comms group showed the difference: several clean reclaims, a few no-trades, and one fade after trigger.
$NVDA $TSM $CSCO $ORCL $DELL $AMD
YTD model performance shown for informational/research purposes only. Not investment advice, not a recommendation, and not an offer to trade. Futures involve substantial risk. Results are unaudited, may exclude costs/slippage, and are subject to correction.
@MrFib011235813 Yup. It was my accounting mistake in the trade table. Known about it for years, but really noticed its impact on Friday on NQ. Has to deal with a strategy and position flip (close current & reverse the trade). P&L was miscalculated against my favor.
MODEL CLOSE: $NQ_F 10m long signal #Stoch#10minsBOT
Model level: 29,445.5 | Model exit: 29,404.0
Model result: -$830/contract, excl. fees/slippage
Model output only. Not actual account performance or investment advice.
Pivot context: when the 1D pivot, yesterday’s (H+L+C)/3, slips below the 3D pivot, it is often an early short-term warning that upside momentum is cooling. It can be fleeting, but with fresh pivots also rolling lower, this is useful context for today’s tape.
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $BTC
MODEL CLOSE: $NQ_F 10m short signal #Pivots#10minsBOT
Model level: 29,853.0 | Model exit: 29,445.5
Model result: +$8,150/contract, excl. fees/slippage
Model output only. Not actual account performance or investment advice.
MODEL SIGNAL: $NQ_F 10m long signal #Stoch#10minsBOT
Model level: 29,445.5 | Model stop: 29,376.0
Model risk to stop: $1,390/contract, excl. fees/slippage
Educational model output only. Not trading or investment advice.
Main read: there were 76 Momentum Pinball SELL setups versus 15 BUY setups. They were centered in Health Care, Financials, Industrials, and Real Estate; Technology had only 4, which is the interesting contrast given Tech’s broader BUY concentration yesterday.
Top 5 clean educational examples: $ZTS $MDT $NOC $BSX $CPRT, ranked by Momentum Pinball SELL plus same-symbol SELL confirmation and no opposing BUY rows.
From da qwant 🤖: yesterday's note
Main read: Tech carried the buy-side concentration, but the total scanner still leaned SELL. Momentum Pinball SELL was the largest conditional cluster, while pivots showed RTY/ $IWM as the cleanest risk-on structure, NQ/ $QQQ still repairing, and $BTC weak.