loopy.fx

[Aleiah @AleiahLock]

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket

I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason.

Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow.

I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you.

Here is a small list of traders

1. gopfan2 (https://t.co/YL9YFLM8ly) - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable

2. enzocostapt81 (https://t.co/Oeu7Fc4Mp0)
is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London.

3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11
(https://t.co/Evj4DBXQg0)
100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto—focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges.

4. meropi (https://t.co/i0wiKiYeX2) - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather

5. 1pixel (https://t.co/uI1G5xpxNi) – $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London)

6. erb80 (https://t.co/XbkTNcSHzV)
Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one)

7. Hans323 (https://t.co/CtjrcNnllm) - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year

8. securebet (https://t.co/Knlq7qEF9j) - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data

9. automatedAItradingbot
(https://t.co/PYhWH92glh)
Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather

1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders

Tools and Automation
>https://t.co/x7ZUV7fM3n (https://t.co/ZLRP8gIvHO) - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets.

>https://t.co/pS4cMufbdI (https://t.co/xASeb4QPYX) — Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules

>Tropical Tidbits (https://t.co/THrV5lV2fs) - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high

>Climate Reanalyzer (https://t.co/W8HVmttk0d) - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities

>Windy (https://t.co/X32Owl09bn) - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online (https://t.co/Tv7sZGnPGs) - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction ?

>Center (https://t.co/2IYzCxknu1) - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center (https://t.co/5yx2Aei0VH) - long-term ENSO, droughts

>Open-Meteo (https://t.co/IMbtSlXw6R) - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations.

>OpenWeatherMap (https://t.co/AgGPtz6PgU) = Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution.

>Visual Crossing Weather (https://t.co/Ls1tEGnBQB) - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities

>WeatherAPI. com (https://t.co/UQ5EzXPsSn) - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed.

Quick Tips for Using These in Trading

>>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢.

>>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages.

>>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

[M̾r̾.̾𝕃i̾q̾u̾i̾d̾i̾t̾y̾ - Víctor @VJMG12]

○~》𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝗹𝗲𝘀 《~○

• >》 London 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐩𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
• >》New York 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐚𝐥
• >》Search and 𝐃𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐲

Always 𝑻𝒊𝒎𝒆 + 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 = 𝑳𝒊𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒅𝒊𝒕𝒚
~ Enjoy fam "𝕏"

Lo hablao se lo lleva el viento, lo escrito queda de asiento🪔

[M̾r̾.̾𝕃i̾q̾u̾i̾d̾i̾t̾y̾ - Víctor @VJMG12]

🧠💭▹𝐌𝐈𝐍𝐃𝐒𝐄𝐓 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄 》⊗⊛⊚...⚀
▪️↹𝕋ℝ𝔸𝔻𝕀ℕ𝔾 &🔄& 𝔸ℝ𝕋🎨

💎Nice combo ☆ ×2
~ 🫶🏼Enjoy Fam>⋯⋰⋱⋰⋱⋰⋱⋰⋱⛀⛁♟

[FlameseN アナリスト ₿ @TraderFlameseN]

High Probability CRT formations & Purge times:

Forex: 1, 5 & 9

Indices: 2, 6 & 10

Crypto: 4, 8 & 12

Commodities: 1, 5 & 9

Model X on $NQ: 6 & 10

Purge times are: 1, 3, 6 &9. 🐢

You can also expect High Probability Purges between 0300 to 0500 and 0800 to 1000 Est.

[Sham @SpeculatorFL]

CRT provides framework.
CRT provides narrative.

CRT makes MMXM meaningful.

Without CRT, ICT lacks clarity.

[loopy.fx @LoopyFx]

Hey guys, I just found the best indicator for CRT traders. Its called HTF Candel Overlay (Power of 3). You can put the number of candles and timeframe that you prefere. I use 4H because in my opinion is where you can catch best CRT Sequence like 159

#crt #candlerangetheory

[FlameseN アナリスト ₿ @TraderFlameseN]

This is how to trade CRT correctly.✍️🏽

1) H4 CRT formed
2) LTF Purge of CRT & Key Level
3) Model #1 Entry🐢
4) Kiss of Death Entry.

If you can understand this framework, you WILL retire early.

Credits: @SpeculatorFL @Romeotpt

[Sham @SpeculatorFL]

You only need:

- Key level
- CRT
- Turtle soup
- Correct timeframe alignment
- Key time
- SMT

And trade it with Model-1. (Enjoy)

[Luckshury @Luckshuryy]

How you should be thinking before you execute any trade:

[loopy.fx @LoopyFx]

This week I tried new strat from @Romeotpt CRT. Romeo is a genious

EURUSD -->

Acumulation: Monday
Manipularion: Tuesday
Distribution: W,T,F

PD: I don't have proof of exec because I didn't enter any trade because I was learning this strat.

[Raid @Romeotpt]

CRT.
Turtle soup.

1 MILLION dollars CASH for anyone who finds a better trading system than what I’ve developed.

Spoiler: you can’t.