Hammer this NOW☢️
Jalen Brunson 23.5 Pts “O”
(-115)FD
NBA Play #4🏀Vs #Thunder
❤️FOR MY FULL LIST NEXT!
This read is mainly based on what the film showed me from the last matchup.
Brunson in the 1H had 6 points on 7 FGA’s. He was able to drive into the paint, then OKC sent doubles, which allowed OG and Mikal to hit 7 combined 3s in the first half, building a double-digit lead over OKC going into halftime.
Adjustments were made in the 2H as OKC decided to let Dort defend him 1-1 without sending help on the drives. This allowed OKC to claw back into the game and eventually steal the win. From a betting perspective, this is exactly where I want to target, as Brunson finished the game with 22 points, shooting 9/23 from the field. Clearly much more involved in the 2H.
He shot poorly but had the looks, and I believe OKC will defend him similarly throughout this game, which is why I’m targeting his points. I think we see a much larger scoring impact from JB early.
We also saw KAT is clearly playing banged up with his knee injury. I expect him to play, but if he sits, this will be around 27.5 points.
Brunson will naturally see the free throw line more today at home, which will also benefit us.
I feel like I have an elite breakdown of the film from game 1, and I’m confident in an active Brunson in tonight’s matchup, even with him landing on Lu Dort.