Lourdes Alvarez

Economic Modeler | General Equilibrium, System Dynamics, Productivity and Industrial Organization | Impact Evaluation | Renewable Energy Sources | @LouAlvarezC

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

New working paper released at @bcrpoficial
"Productive Diversification in Peru: Multidimensional Evidence" (co-authored with Ruben Yanayaco & Nikita Cespedes) Don’t miss it! @MINPRODUCCION @MEF_Peru
https://t.co/nwIoKlrZKQ

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

La Diversificación Productiva en el Perú: Evidencia Multidimensional - Nikita Céspedes, Lourdes Alvarez, Ruben Yanayaco https://t.co/aXqUMmTXzP

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Fiscal policy should therefore be assessed not only by its effects on GDP and fiscal balances, but also by who absorbs the adjustment and under what employment conditions.

Thank you to @MiguelJaramillo @GRADEPeru for his valuable and insightful technical comments.

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Today, I presented our paper on the Macroeconomic role of informality using a Dynamic CGE model for Peru at the XLIV Meeting of Economists of the @bcrpoficial
We examine how informality changes the transmission of fiscal policy shocks. Link: https://t.co/nf3Df4tfCz

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Indirect taxes generate the largest distortions. By increasing the relative price of formal goods, they encourage shifts in consumption, employment and production toward the informal sector, weakening the formal tax base.

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Today, I presented Peru’s proposed Economic Circularity Index (ICE), an innovative tool to measure circular practices across businesses, households, and government. A key step toward better evidence, stronger policies, and a more circular economy. Link: https://t.co/eoxt9avXj0

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Today, presenting at the Ecomod 2026! @ecomod @Stockholm

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Today, we are contributing to the modernization of Peru’s official statistics through the rebasing of the National Accounts, by developing the methodologies and procedures that will support the implementation of the new base year for the Production Volume Index! @INEI_oficial

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Great news today! Our paper,The Macroeconomic Role of Informality in Peru: Evidence from a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model,has been accepted for presentation at the2026 BCRP Annual Meeting of Economists, organized by the @bcrpoficial @nikirufino @BraulioEscobar2

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

A ranking of 193 countries shows that human development is stalling almost everywhere https://t.co/011pqbKdqz

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Thrilled to present our paper on Peruvian Tax Reforms using a Dynamic CGE Model at Ecomod 2026! Looking forward to engaging discussions with researchers and policymakers on fiscal policy and economic development in Peru.
https://t.co/iNcpalQQdH
#Economod2026 #CGE #TaxReform #Peru

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Interesante discusión este martes 09 en la Pucp!

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Book available here: https://t.co/fNhZa6dZMf

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

“Informality, Green Jobs & Just Transition in ALC” Evidence shows that green jobs can promote formalization, inclusion & productive development, but only when policies effectively integrate decent work principles, gender equity & social dialogue. PPT here: https://t.co/aqRVp18Izw

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Note: Multivariate log-rank test: χ² = 154.9, p < 0.001. Each curve corresponds to a sector.

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Extended paper. The figure shows the survival curves of export sectors in LAC (1988–2024). Sectoral heterogeneity is pronounced and statistically significant (χ² =154.9; p<0.001, multivariate log-rank test). Electronic products seems the most resilient (median survival = 5 years)

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Whereas textiles & vehicles exhibit the highest vulnerability (median survival=1 year). This heterogeneity anticipates the emergence of a potential complexity trap in the region. Figure.Kaplan–Meier Survival Curves by Sector for LAC Exports,1988–2024

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

Productive Diversification in Peru: Multidimensional Evidence! the preprint presentation can be accessed here!: https://t.co/spx4CbAPyX

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

https://t.co/BshtQVxRzQ

[Ministerio de la Mujer y Poblaciones Vulnerables @MimpPeru]

#NotaDePrensa | 🇵🇪 MIMP impulsa la inclusión financiera de las mujeres con evidencia y acciones concretas

🟣 El MIMP destacó que las mujeres lideran el uso de billeteras digitales y registran menores niveles de morosidad en el sistema financiero, según el informe “Diagnóstico de brechas de inclusión y educación financiera de las mujeres con actividades económicas en la Amazonía del Perú”. Asimismo, se evidenció un incremento en el acceso al crédito de 29.6% en 2021 a 33.1% a diciembre de 2024, reduciendo la brecha con los hombres a 0.4 puntos porcentuales.

🔎 Lee la nota completa aquí: https://t.co/7smCZfMWkj

#MIMP #Amazonía #InclusiónFinanciera

[Lourdes Alvarez @LouAlvarezC]

La inclusión financiera efectiva de la mujer requiere más que ampliar cobertura. Se necesita rediseñar productos, usar mejor los datos y reducir sesgos en evaluación de riesgo. Hoy en en el panel de inclusión financiera y uso de datos @MEF_Peru @MimpPeru @MINPRODUCCION