QQQ isn't quite down -1.5%, but I looked up all days in history where
› -1.5% gap down follows
› +1.5% gap up
› Within 5 trading days of a -4% day
12 prior events:
5 between May 2000-May 2002
2 between Oct 2008-Jan 2009
1 Oct 2018
4 during COVID
*TRUMP: WE DON’T NEED A DEAL WITH IRAN
*TRUMP: THOSE DAYS HAVE LONG SINCE PASSED
*TRUMP TASKS VANCE TO TARGET CORRUPTION
*OIL ERASES LOSS AFTER TRUMP SAYS US DOESN'T NEED DEAL WITH IRAN
Paul Tudor Jones: I Watched the Richest Man in the World Go Broke in 7 Weeks. It Taught Me Liquidity
Bunker says, well, I think this silver here is the most valuable asset and resource on Earth. Someone asked him, what are you going to do with all that silver? And he goes, I'm going to bury it. I'm going to bury it. In fact, what I'm going to do is I'm going to buy 20 million more ounces, and then I'm going to bury that too. So he buys 20 million ounces at 35 bucks, and when that happened, it just, woohoo! It just roofed, right? It goes to 50 bucks. So at 50 bucks now, he's worth about $11 billion, and he's got a multiple of five or six on the next closest guy. I just couldn't even believe what I'd seen and how much money that this guy had made.
Anyway, so that was when COMEX decided. The commercials had been just eradicated, because they're sitting there holding physicals and having to put up this margin every day, and their bankers going, yeah, I can't do it. So anyway, they made it liquidation only. Silver collapsed and went from 50 bucks to under 10 bucks in the space of about eight weeks.
And that had a searing impact on me, to see him go from the richest guy to virtually bankrupt in this short space of six or seven weeks. Right then and there, I would never own anything, or trust anything, for the rest of my life. You know, again, my grandfather, when I was really young, said, "Son, you're only worth what you can write a check for tomorrow." That also had a really deep impression on me. And so liquidity has always been something that's been, it was in my DNA as a child, because that was my grandpa's favorite saying all the time.
Starting to roll out today: Claude Whiteboards, Claude Sheets and Claude Data.
Think a plan through on a board, build a tracker in a sheet, and tell a story with your data.
Food and energy came in hot. But if you exclude that, goods came in hot. But if you exclude that, shelter came in hot. But if you exclude that, the rest of core non-housing services came in hot.
If you exclude that, then, well, there's nothing left. Let's dig in. /1
It hasn't happened yet, but today could be the 23rd time in QQQ history it
• Had a +4.5% two day return
• Followed by a -1% gap down
• With multiple -3% days in the past 2 weeks
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