Crop year 2025-26 is the year when Brazil & Indian cotton will compete for export share, While US cotton will sit on the sidelines…..
US cotton Ending stock > 5.0M+ bales…..
Unless and until ICE drops below 60???
@OAcotton , @billcrowder13
Cotton Weekly Highlights
1) Tariff News… not helping World Demand
2) Dollar Index is weak
3) what does 25% tariff on Indian Textile means?? Cotton will be locked in CCI warehouse…. “World- India” balance sheet should look bullish?🤔
@OAcotton@OGTCHedger@billcrowder13
Texas gonna loose 2M bales??where is this estimate coming from?? @OAcotton@loucottonballs@billcrowder13 Drought Monitor has considerably improved in past 4 weeks….
@loucottonballs@OAcotton@billcrowder13 You will make better guesstimate than me at this stage of the crop….
All we can agree the conditions have significantly improved over past 5 weeks….
USDA published the most optimistic cotton balance sheet in May, while Cotlok says more than 11M bales will be added to the ending stock (24/25+ 25/26 crop year)…
Where is the bull case…. Not in the Fundamentals🤔 @OAcotton@billcrowder13
@loucottonballs@OAcotton@billcrowder13 You have really little knowledge outside US cotton…. we went above $1 because seed price in China went above 10yuan…. And not the other way around…