MacrometR

Views on Global Macro | Economics | Multi-Asset | Technicals | DM & EM | No financial advice.

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Inflation Down, Sentiment Up: It Can Be That Easy

#UnitedStates #inflation #consumerbehavior #Sentiment

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

China Faces Deflation Dilemma https://t.co/Rni6bWT6XK

This time different?

#China #Deflation #PBOC #MonetaryPolicy

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

ISM Services Prices Paid jumped 7.3 to 64, sharpest increase since 2012

Another Warning Sign That The Inflation Genie Isn't Back in the Bottle Just Yet

#UnitedStates #inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Hard to see the USDTRY train turning with real policy rate that loose.
New CBRT governor, new luck?

#Turkey #inflation #TRY

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Kiss any FED March rate cut hopes goodbye

#UnitedStates #FOMC #inflation #employment

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

The Significant Increase in Today's ISM New Orders Could Raise Concerns for the Fed, as New Orders Often Precede Price Changes.

#UnitedStates #FOMC #inflation

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Disinflation in Eurozone Continues, Sticky Service Price Inflation Will Keep the ECB on Hold for now

Betting on a March cut is only for the brave...

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

US JOLTS Openings suggest more a no landing than a soft landing.

Is this the time to prepare the first rate cut? Probably not...

#UnitedStates #labor #FOMC

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Germany falling behind in Europe.

Time to wake up "Ampel Regierung"

#GDP #Europe #Germany #France #Italy

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Is the latest Evergrande news signaling the (beginning of the) end of the China crisis? Is this a buy the rumour, sell the news event?

We think l-t risk/reward looks very positive here...

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Brits are becoming happier while German sentiment sours on politics and strikes.

EURGBP lower, anyone?

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Looking for an out-of-consensus view for 2024?

Germany's economy rising from the ashes...

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Looking for a reason to be bullish EURUSD?

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Germany's economy shrank in 2024
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Germany decreased by 0.3% in Q4 of 2024, according to preliminary estimates. However, Germany avoided a technical recession...

https://t.co/iTx6IBO3xH

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

China's Continued Deflation Spurs Calls for Increased Policy Action
https://t.co/yjN00BL3sg

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Review 18Dec - 22Dec23 - Equities up for the 8th week in a row, another good week for bonds but long end underperforming, USD lower again
https://t.co/9wrAO72WAk

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Fed's Prefered Inflation Gauge Approaches Target
https://t.co/1N56PTMVph

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Happy Holidays
https://t.co/Xje3k6JawW

[MacrometR @MacrometR_]

Sharp downside surprise in UK CPI at 3.9% YoY%. Food inflation in single digits again for first time since mid 2022.

Hard to see the BoE resisting rate cuts for long given the rapid rise in real policy rates. That said, current pricing of more than five 25bp cuts looks overly optimistic.

#UKInflation #BoE #EconomicUpdate #FinanceNews #RateCutSpeculation #MonetaryPolicy