🦔Meta is in talks to lease AI computing power to Anthropic for up to $10 billion over two years. Anthropic is also renting compute from SpaceX ($45 billion over three years), a Bitcoin miner called TeraWulf ($19 billion over 20 years), and CoreWeave. That's over $90 billion in infrastructure commitments from a company that has never turned a profit, heading into an IPO at a $965 billion valuation.
My Take
Meta spent $125 to $145 billion on AI infrastructure this year and needs tenants. Anthropic needs compute it can't build fast enough. So Meta is becoming a landlord for the company it competes with. Two weeks ago I posted about Meta floating the idea of renting excess capacity from its Louisiana campus. Now we know who the renter is.
The circular financing here is getting hard to keep track of. Anthropic pays Meta with money from investors betting on the IPO. The IPO valuation depends on revenue growth fueled by spending faster than revenue comes in. A Bitcoin mining company just staked its future on a 20-year lease with an AI startup that didn't exist four years ago. Blue Owl, which froze its own investor withdrawals, is funding the data center Meta plans to lease from. Everyone in this chain is financing everyone else, and none of them are profitable yet.
Hedgie🤗
@BrianRoemmele@grok So, when US Politicians and interested people like Mr. Dick-head aka Kevin O'Leary spew fake news like "We can't let China to beat in AI, it will be dangerous" nothing happens - apparently they can beat and all is ok, and we move on with our daily lives.
@DavidDTawil From US schools, US education. I don't think Trump following through on any of that, he is busy enriching himself. He is busy selling his tweets milliseconds early to Hedge funds.
@DavidDTawil Brandon, Trump is biggest grifter. He lied just to get elected. Good point about why not keeping Kimi CEO in the US. I remember during the election Trump did The All in podcast, and he said there that US needs to come up with method to keep foreigners/ talent graduating 1/2
People still don't understand... LLMs are not AI.
They are auto complete spell checkers. They tell you what should come next, not what is happening.
They are not intelligent. They are not AI.
We've just spent trillions of dollars on a glorified spell checker.
@WorldStrategist Created havoc, made Oil prices go up, crack spreads never came down, crude is back up again. Supporting AI bubble, not doing anything about circular financing, people can't even buy a stick of RAM, consumer electronics are going up. What a disaster he has been.
@Pirat_Nation These fucking grifters never learn, look at what's fucking happening over at Xbox. Because of people like fucking Ben companies listen to them and make mistakes.
Now, Class, repeat after me. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings. Say it again. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings.
Michael Burry: Donald Trump could not in a million years understand or make his way through any of my substack essays. But he can shoot from the hip and make money for him and his cronies better than anyone