ManWithoutACountry

Nah

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@rickjeff78 Well, I think that anybody who thinks Syria is a perfect analogue to Iran doesn't know anything about the Middle East

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@DerekJGrossman Does Iran ship oil in container trucks? That's the main point of the blockade. Without energy and liquidity, Iran has little to export.

[Will Chamberlain @willchamberlain]

"Continuing the blockade puts far more pressure on us than on Iran. Iran has proven it can endure economic pain—it has been doing so since 1979."

I keep seeing this talking point. It's Iranian cope. Iran massively subsidizes gasoline purchases by Iranians - when the price went up 50%, there were riots in the streets. And given that the President of Iran was talking about how Iranians should use less electricity (while pretending the blockade had no effect), this is dumb.

"The blockade will not force Iran to abandon uranium enrichment, ballistic missiles, or its proxy networks."

Did you just get off the phone with Aragchi? Of course the Iranians will claim this. When they have to shut in their oil wells and the Rial is at 5 million to the dollar, let's see what they say.

"Instead, the blockade is hurting the American people and creating serious domestic pressure on POTUS: Gas prices will continue to rise as we head into the midterms, harming the working class voters who overwhelmingly backed Trump and Republicans—putting GOP majorities in serious jeopardy."

Everything Strait of Hormuz related has already been priced in. Oil producers around the world are increasing production - including here in the United States, which is the biggest oil exporter in the world. We are doing just fine. Literally the news this week has been about random stuff. No domestic voter is thinking "man I wish the Iranian blockade was over," and they certainly won't be thinking about that six months from now.

"Staging three carrier battle groups plus a massive build up of airpower in CENTCOM to enforce the blockade is unsustainable—it hands an emboldened IRGC ample opportunities to strike U.S. forces and drag America back into war on Iran’s terms."

It's not unsustainable - it's not even half of our carrier groups. We're also the wealthiest nation in the world. Moreover, if the IRGC had the ability to hit the carriers, they would have hit them in the six weeks we were engaged in active major military operations. They didn't because they can't, OBVIOUSLY.

"The global fallout only increases the pressure on us, not Iran: Beyond the oil and gas crisis, the blockade is now triggering a global fertilizer shortage that will cause major food security crises and potential famines in vulnerable regions."

Iranian fertilizer is not underpinning the global economy, so this is silly. Moreover, is America a vulnerable region? No. You just assume that second-order effects on Africa are relevant to the United States' foreign policy. What happened to America First, Joe?

"The smarter path is clear: withdraw, declare victory, and use sanctions relief as our negotiating leverage with Iran. This resets the talks on our terms, avoids war, and prevents further escalation of the energy crisis at home and abroad."

A withdrawal will obviously be seen as a defeat. All our gulf allies will see it as a defeat, and will re-orient their alliances away from the United States and towards China. We would give up our primary leverage - the blockade is an existential threat to Iranian oil infrastructure because they are running out of storage and you can' just turn oil wells off and on. We have our boot on their throat, and you suggest that our negotiating position would improve if we took it off? Completely and utterly retarded.

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@joekent16jan19 This blockade may not force Iran to capitulate, but your first sentence proves that you're a moron who had no place in this or any administration.

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@foolishduck3 @20thcentury Every ethnic group has its share of losers

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@Grunge_Bob @20thcentury How are they even remotely similar?

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@ZaidJilani I still don't think we have a good idea who exactly Mamdani is. His current incarnation is promising, but that doesn't excuse problematic prior statements & positions. If you carried water for jihadists in the past, it's going to take a lot of bridge building to have trust now

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@LadyOfMichigan @RapidResponse47 @michaelsolakie Join the secret service, go through their training and come back here

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@Bobby_LaVallley @DanaBashCNN Thank you @DanaBashCNN for being the one credulous reporter in MSM when it's comes to the radical, terrorist sympathizing Hassan Piker

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@mehdirhasan Iran is on the side of Russia. They've assisted in the bombing of thousands of Ukrainian civilians. If you don't understand that you're defending the bad guys, there's no point in listening to you

[Ida Turan 🇮🇷 ایده توران @iranidaturan]

It’s day 33 of the war, and my hometown is still being heavily bombed.

Iranians are only now, with great difficulty, realizing that for all these years, they have essentially been living inside a massive military base the size of a country.

They’re finally understanding why Iran, despite all its resources, has remained so poor: because all the money has been spent preparing the regime for its apocalyptic final war.

None of this is defensive. It’s all offensive.

After every strike, Israel posts reports in Persian explaining exactly what it has hit. The main reason for cutting off the internet is so that people won’t see or understand what’s really happening.

Underground missile cities, bunkers built beneath residential neighborhoods, tunnels upon tunnels upon tunnels. It’s horrifying. This regime must go.

#IranWar‌ #ThankYouTrump‌

[Yaroslav Trofimov @yarotrof]

Iran believes, not incorrectly, that it can bomb Kuwait or Oman, blame Israel, and millions around the world will lap it up.

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@cdebru @WarMonitor3 Russia, a supposed peer military, lost 25+ soldiers in a downed transport over their own air space this week. Compare apples to apples, man.

[Ian M Gaudreau @IanGaudrea30195]

My painting of Iryna Zarutska that is being removed after the mayor has declared it divisive

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@araghchi Show me when Iran condemned Russia's invasion in Ukraine...

It never did because it was too busy selling shaheds to Putin.

International law is a lie used by totalitarian regimes to bludgeon western morons in passivity.

[Piers Morgan @piersmorgan]

So not only has Iran brazenly lied about its ballistic missile range capacity, but this means it can probably hit the UK with them - and we have zero, I repeat ZERO, defence against these missiles. Very worrying.

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@araghchi @grok what are IEDs and did Iran supply them to conflicts in which they weren't directly attacked?

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@PastorMarvy I see you got your IRGC talking points

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@Jakolabo1 @IredcapI @calvinfroedge Look in a mirror bub

[ManWithoutACountry @ManWithoutACou3]

@maverick150392 @clashreport The Islamic regime in Iran has done everything in its power to erase those 2500 years of Persian history. They can even celebrate the holidays for fear of being executed for celebrating pagan traditions