ATTENTION: Julian Hosp is actively promoting himself on other platforms. Many of you may know him as the co-founder of TenX and DeFiChain, two projects that lost the vast majority of their value over time.
Despite these outcomes, he often presents both ventures as successful business exits. Critics argue that this description leaves out important context about what happened to investors and community members who supported these projects.
This may be one reason why his reach on X and YouTube appears to be much smaller than it once was. However, many people on LinkedIn may not be familiar with the history of these projects.
As always, do your own research and look at the full track record before trusting any financial influencer.
The internet never forgets.
🚨 NÄCHTE WOCHE WIRD ABGERECHNET!
Du wartest seit Wochen, dass die Fed kippt. Diese Woche bekommst du die Antwort. Sie kommt von Kevin Warsh - 48 Stunden im Amt, kein einziger eigener Datenpunkt zum Festhalten.
Donnerstag, 14:30. Der PCE-Datenpunkt fällt aus dem Drucker. Warsh sitzt zum ersten Mal allein am Schreibtisch. Reuters-Ökonomen sehen Core PCE über 3,3%, die Prediction-Märkte preisen eine Inflations-Reacceleration Richtung 5%. Core PCE März stand schon bei 3,20% YoY, CPI im April bei 3,78% nach 3,29% im März. Die Beschleunigung ist messbar. Niemand muss sie noch glauben.
Und genau hier liegt die Lücke, über die in den Feeds keiner redet.
Der Markt handelt diese Woche Warshs erste öffentliche Reaktion. Die Zahl selbst ist nur der Auslöser. Ob er ein Statement rausgibt oder schweigt - beides wird durchgepreist. Ich warte nicht auf den PCE. Ich warte auf das, was Warsh danach tut.
Die Tageskette dahin:
→ Mo: Memorial Day, US-Börsen geschlossen. Bücher dünn ab Dienstag.
→ Di: Consumer Confidence 16:00.
→ Mi: New Home Sales 16:00.
→ Do 14:30: Triple-Schlag. GDP zweite Schätzung, Durable Goods, Core PCE.
→ Fr: Atlanta-Fed Nowcast und Monatsende-Rebalancing.
Während du auf Warsh wartest, läuft am Krypto-Markt eine zweite Geschichte, die noch leiser ist. Sieben Handelstage in Folge sind aus den Bitcoin-ETFs 1,42 Mrd. USD abgeflossen, allein der 18. Mai kostete 648 Mio. an einem Tag. Ethereum-ETFs verloren 287 Mio. ohne einen einzigen grünen Tag. #Bitcoin steht bei $76.800, #Ethereum bei $2.120, Fear and Greed seit einer Woche bei 26.
Sieht auf den ersten Blick nach Kapitulation aus. Bis du siehst, was Goldman parallel macht.
Goldman hat im Q1-13F vollständig aus den XRP- und SOL-ETFs verkauft. $700 Mio. in $BTC wurden gehalten, $ETH um 70% gekürzt. Neu im Korb: Circle plus 249%, Galaxy Digital plus 205%, Hyperliquid frisch dazu. Ich lese die 13F anders als die Schlagzeilen-Outflows. Goldman rotiert innerhalb von Krypto - raus aus den Tokens, rein in die Infrastruktur. Wer Outflows sieht und Tod schreibt, übersieht die Rotation, die parallel läuft.
#Optimism entlädt am Samstag 31 Mio. Token an Insider, beim aktuellen $OP-Preis um die 4 Mio. USD. Klein in Dollar, 1,5% der gesamten Marktkapitalisierung in dünne Wochenend-Liquidität. Andere L2-Charts werden das mitfühlen.
Sein Schweigen am Donnerstag verrät dir, wo er steht. Redet er, wird die Ansage nur noch klarer.
Deine Interaktion mit diesem Beitrag ist Gold für mich - Zeige Support! 🤝
bitcoin:native Hedge Short
Still valid. Yes, the timeframe in which I expected drawdown was wrong, I take it.
After our 81K "all longs target" hit, we opened a short with 50% entry now. Remaining DCA entry is around 84K levels (also our final long's TP).
For the new followers: I am macro bearish since my 98K swing long target hit. This up-move from 60K to 80K was a Lower-high plan drafted long ago, & now fully executed.
Now 79,700 is local pivot for me... bitcoin:native is fine above it, but once below, quick 76k flush. This small hedge short is based on breaking of this level.
For second TP, it's all the way down to 69K levels. No small cuts between. Enjoy peaceful trading with Mr. P.
Remember that the full sized swing short's entry is around the final target of our latest long which we entered at 75K levels. So make sure you're treating this as a bonus hedge.
Also, in my last Macro Report, I gave two 'X b4 Y' predictions:
1. "No New Lower Lows Until 81K" ✅
2. "84K Comes Before 55K" ✅
Both correct. Even though these X b4 Y predictions seem very simple & easiest way of trading a bias, but actually finding these precise levels is much harder. I continued this series after June Macro Report (2025) because of all the positive response I got.
Now it's your time to appreciate the edge by showing your love on this post.
And to give you another perspective in favor of this short: See solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr, it is reacting to 7,300 P-Level. Since October, last year, it has been struggling in this range I gave (6,700-7,300). I stand my bias that S&P500 will struggle a lot trying to break this range & eventually breakdown.
As it's too close, & our tip from the source also expects War Escalation soon... I am very confident in our Hedge Short too. Kept the size small due to my trading discipline alone.
If any questions, feel free to ask in the comments.
Short term Positions Update:
A) $BTC $XRP $BCH $ETH $VIRTUAL Continue to be with Stoploss at Entry on all these from $62K - $67K levels as we have had multiple entries for early and late joiners, And these have all Already done Target 1-3. Newest BTC from $67K levels we have 75% size open with 25% booked at Wide Target 1✅ but these are all risk-free. And it makes sense because locally I don't like 4H below $70,295. Our 67K Positions SLEs are all well below Previous ATH $69498 luckily, so, not all that worried yet as long as it is still held on 3D timeframe. And Genuinely there needs to be some short term sideways too. Notice 3D close yesterday was below $71,700 so we have not yet broken Resistance, know that. And why is that important, well, because Remember we are 5 Days away from QUARTERLY CANDLE CLOSE for Q1 2026 and as I have said by All Means I expect it to close RED. And Quarterly open was at $87K levels so that Clearly reminds us to keep expectations real because getting a Move into $80K+ as I've said is HIGHLY UNLIKELY during remainder days of March 2026 as the Candle is to Close Red and Not Green. Is why $72K levels were Smart Target 1s on ALL these latest positions from even 67K Levels! So TLDR short term be prepared for Sideways till Quarterly close with muted volatility and another Fact that supports this theory is, If you check Liq (attached) there is no wide-spread of Liq between $74K - $65K levels, perfectly tells you we can be sideways for longer and it won't be anything out of cards. Only being a smarty in range middles will get you Rekt, avoid that, avoid mid-range entries in any direction and sit calm till New Quarterly open because neither major up nor major down happens till then. Likely. Next Quarter, we likely take $80K levels so save energy. And ULTIMATELY, ULTIMATELY I am still macro bearish as from there we Make new Lower Lows likely. To that, later. But I'm telling you to guard your energy till Quarterly open, no New Lower Lows are expected next 5 days. Look at $SPX perfectly sideways after hitting local bottom target, bounced and now it also is finding resistance locally. Even if SPX may make new Local lows before Quarterly Close, BTC, will likely not. But BTC makes New Lows next Quarter. Hopefully, know that. Bearish Macro.
B) $LTC is not yet at Target, still lurking around entry, remains open. Details are in Premium. E2/3 Valid. No change.
C) $XLM from X, did sizeable move, again T1 done✅ unfilled entries are invalid and SL is at Entry.
D) $ETH the Longs from $18,80 & $1980 & $2024 are all at Wide T1s. However, the latest small Size ultra late joiners I gave at $2150 levels yesterday not as official signal but as updated, For that one I'll actually use $2000 as SL. Not personally in that one as I have all from lower alongside you guys. But if from $2150 levels then remember you need to do SLE by $72.6K levels as said; Which closely Missed around $72,100 pump yesterday. And be with small size on this one, because This was an update and not an official signal like $XLM. But bias is valid.
Cheers, hope all Timeframes are Clear!
Love,
Mr. P
🚨 2025 Macro Report (2) is LIVE NOW
It covers full outlook for 2025 → 2026 → early 2027, especially for SPOT-focused family.
Report A — Released NOW
- $BTC mid–short macro, clean, focused, noob-friendly.
- If you want immediate clarity on Bitcoin’s next steps, start here.
Report B — Coming Next
- $BTC- HTF (a different lens than Macro)
- Macro suite: $SPX, $GOLD, $SILVER, $ETH, $ETHBTC, $ALTBTC
- A full section on Navigating 2026 & preparing for the Next Cycle
Report A is live. Report B is coming up next.
Both are 100% free for Premium members.
👉 If you’re not Premium yet, you can get access instantly with a Premium subscription — DM @PremiumSupportLine on TG to join (link in bio)
The Most Important Question in Crypto Right Now — “When Should I Sell My Alts?”
1/8
For the last few weeks…My inbox has been full of one question:
“Mr. P… what should I do with my alts now? Sell? Hold? Exit?”
Everyone is confused because the market looks strong one day…and weak the next day. So let me explain this in the simplest way possible — and I hope this thread saves you from the mistakes most people repeat every cycle.
I’m getting flooded with one common question:
“Mr. P… when should we sell Alts? What’s the right Exit strategy?”
I’ve finally prepared a full, noob-friendly breakdown thread. If this post gets 100 reposts, I’ll share it for FREE today at 6 PM UTC.
Meanwhile, you can drop your spot holdings in the comments section.
☠️ 🩸 Bitcoin Special: Death Cross & Supply Shock Paradoxon
🔴 $BTC Death Cross aktiviert – Bitcoin schließt unter der 50-Wochen-MA. Der 50W-EMA kreuzt die 200W-MA von oben nach unten – historisch ein Bärenmarkt-Indikator. -23% vom ATH.
🟠 Supply Shock auf ATH, aber Preis fällt – Illiquide Bitcoin-Bestände erreichen Allzeithoch. Langfristige Holder kontrollieren mehr BTC als je zuvor, aber der Preis sinkt trotzdem.
⚫ ETF-Tsunami: $1,22Mrd Abflüsse – BlackRock verkauft $728Mio. BTC in einer Woche. Zweithöchste ETF-Abflüsse seit Launch. Institutionelle Investoren ziehen Kapital ab – aber Harvard verdreifacht Bitcoin-Position auf $443Mio (+257% in Q3).
🔵 Liquidations-Massaker: $2,1Mrd in 48h – Über 225.000 Trader liquidiert. Long-Positionen dominieren mit 85% der Liquidationen. Fear & Greed Index bei 10 – Extreme Fear. Korrelation zu Nasdaq auf 0,80 (höchster Stand seit 2022).
🟡 MicroStrategy verlangsamt stark – Nur 487 BTC gekauft (vs. üblich 55.000 BTC/Woche). MSTR-Aktie -45% vom Peak. mNAV erstmals unter 1,0 – Aktie handelt unter Bitcoin-Wert. Aber: Saylor kündigt „pleasant surprise" für Montag an.
🟢 Institutionelle Adoption beschleunigt – Abu Dhabi Investment Council hält $517Mio IBIT. Japan plant 20% Steuer auf Bitcoin (runter von 55%). Tschechische Zentralbank kauft als erste Zentralbank weltweit Bitcoin. 11 Länder minen jetzt staatlich.
⚪ Makro-Druck: Fed, Dollar, Shutdown – US-Regierungs-Shutdown beendet. Fed-Signale für Dezember-Zinssenkung schwach. Bitcoin-Korrelation zu Tech-Aktien auf 2-Jahres-Hoch. Open Interest -26,7% in 7 Tagen – schärfster Rückgang seit September 2023.
🇺🇸 ERIC TRUMP SAGTE LIVE AUF BLOOMBERG MIT #BITCOIN SIE KÖNNEN AM SONNTAGABEND 500 MILLIONEN DOLLAR OHNE GEBÜHREN ÜBERWEISEN.
„DAS MACHT GROSSEN FINANZINSTITUTIONEN ANGST“
🚨 SO VERHALTE ICH MICH
👉 Strategie: KAPITALERHALT mit selektiver Akkumulation
⚠️ Die aktuelle Lage ist kritisch aber chancenreich:
✅ Death Cross = Historisch Kaufsignal – Klingt paradox, aber: Nach jedem Death Cross seit 2018 folgte 70-195% Rally in 3-6 Monaten. Contrarian-Signal.
⚠️ Crash-Risiko besteht – Open Interest -30%, aber $9,6Mrd Shorts könnten bei $115K liquidieren. Wenn ETF-Abflüsse weitergehen: Retest $85-90K möglich.
🔥 KPIs warnen:
🟢 Open Interest: -26,7% in 7 Tagen (größter Flush seit September 2023) 👍 Bullish – Leverage raus
🟢 Fear & Greed: 10 (Extreme Fear) 👍 Bullish
🔴 ETF-Flows: -$728Mio/Woche ⚠️ Bearish – Institutionelle verkaufen
🔴 Long-Term-Holder: -400K BTC verkauft in 30 Tagen ⚠️ Bearish – OGs verkaufen!
🟢 Aber: Whales akkumulieren 30-45K BTC in 7 Tagen 👍 Bullish
🔮 Meine Vorahnung:
✅ Kurzfristig (2-4 Wochen): Seitwärts $92K-$102K mit Volatilität. Risiko für Dip auf $85K bei 20-30%.
✅ Mittelfristig (3-6 Monate): Bullish $120K-$150K nach Leverage-Flush und ETF-Flows stabilisieren.
⚠️ Vermeide:
❌ Overleverage (max 3x)
❌ FOMO-Käufe über $100K
❌ Altcoins ohne BTC-Bestätigung
❌ Panik-Verkäufe unter $92K
🤝 Mache:
✅ DCA $BTC $92-96K
✅ Cash-Position 30-40%
✅ Small Longs mit Stops
✅ Beobachte: ETF-Flows, JPMorgan $94K Support, Fed-Signale
🎯 Crash Warscheinlichkeit: 30% für Dip auf $85-90K in nächsten 30 Tagen.
🚀 Bullish-Szenario: 70% für $120K+ in Q1 2026 nach Flush.
Support ist Ehrensache 🤝 - Ich bedanke mich für Dein Like, Kommentar und Retweet!
Keine finanzielle Anlageberatung!
Yes, it's not easy to find the right pick in 50 million Cryptocurrencies.
Yet, being able to find the right EDGE on Market, using just CONVICTION. You're able to Align Your Selective Alts with the Market Direction.
$ARKM/USDT [SPOT]
0.31 Entered
0.36 Target 1
+16.13% Profits without Leverage!✅
Precisely Gave LIMIT ORDERS 5 Days in Advance! Aligning with $BTC 107K Levels with Conviction.